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tk accelis Group (TKCC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of tk accelis Group stock €23.64, price €24.78, that is 4.6% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials DE

TA Thin data Nov 9, 2026

tk accelis Group

TKCC · XETRA
Neutral

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Generates free cash flow
Fair value €23.64 · Fairly valued
Quality 51/100
Weak Growth (revenue YoY −5.8 %/yr in EUR)
Loss-making · -0.3% net margin (FY2025)
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 20/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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Company profile

tk accelis Group AG & Co. KGaA is headquartered in Essen, Germany. tk accelis Group AG & Co. KGaA operates as a subsidiary of thyssenkrupp AG.

Stock analysis

tk accelis Group (TKCC) currently trades at €24.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €23.64, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.8%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €23.64 per share, and 1 of the 10 models we run sit above the €24.78 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €17.27, and 9 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €18.77 (bear) to €30.98 (bull), the price of €24.78 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

tk accelis Group reported revenue of €11.4B in FY2025 versus €13.6B in FY2023, a compound −8.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€34.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €1.6B Small · Net margin −0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.8% (3-year average) · Free cash flow €40.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −5%, TKCC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €18.77 Fair Value €23.64 Bull €30.98
Price €24.78 · Downside -4.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF €18.23 €23.36 €31.98 72
Growth DCF €18.77 €23.64 €31.19 70
Owner Earnings €16.31 €20.86 €28.51 68
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €18.23 €23.36 €31.98 72
Owner Earnings €16.31 €20.86 €28.51 68
5Y Revenue Exit €11.68 €14.34 €18.15 65
5Y EBITDA Exit €17.29 €24.04 €32.97 66
10Y Revenue Exit €14.36 €16.47 €18.53 60
10Y EBITDA Exit €17.60 €21.94 €26.47 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €19.11 €25.05 €30.98 64
EV/Revenue €7.04 €9.49 €11.95 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €14.17 €21.47 €26.84 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €18.77 €23.64 €31.19 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100
Profitability 37
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 12
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 51
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.3% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 260 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −4.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −0.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.76× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 43.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)27 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 68
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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tk accelis Group: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "tk accelis Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TKCC

Frequently asked questions

Is tk accelis Group (TKCC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €23.64 versus a price of €24.78, about 5% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TKCC?
Our model-based fair value for tk accelis Group is €23.64 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €24.78.
What is the quality score of TKCC?
tk accelis Group has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for tk accelis Group (TKCC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €23.64 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario €18.77, optimistic scenario €30.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the tk accelis Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €23.64, about 5% lower versus a price of €24.78 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €18.77, optimistic scenario €30.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into tk accelis Group (TKCC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, tk accelis Group would have to grow free cash flow by +10.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew -8.4 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TKCC use?
Our models discount tk accelis Group at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For tk accelis Group that is +10.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has tk accelis Group (TKCC) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at tk accelis Group grew -8.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +10.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of tk accelis Group (TKCC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into tk accelis Group (+10.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of tk accelis Group (TKCC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.98 %: that much free cash flow tk accelis Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of tk accelis Group (TKCC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For tk accelis Group it is €23.64 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of €24.78. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is tk accelis Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, TKCC trades above its calculated fair value: price €24.78, fair value €23.64, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TKCC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€24.78); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€23.64). For tk accelis Group the two are €1.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is tk accelis Group worth?
The market values tk accelis Group at about €1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is €24.78; our models calculate a fair value of €23.64 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TKCC?
Our models span a range for tk accelis Group: cautious scenario €18.77, base €23.64, optimistic €30.98 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price €24.78). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
Which stocks are comparable to tk accelis Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is tk accelis Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price €24.78, calculated fair value €23.64 (−5%), Quality Score 51/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TKCC calculated?
We run tk accelis Group through 10 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €23.64 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. tk accelis Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of tk accelis Group (TKCC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €24.78. Our model-based fair value is €23.64, about 5% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with tk accelis Group right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of tk accelis Group

How large is the market capitalisation of tk accelis Group (TKCC)?
The market capitalisation of tk accelis Group is €1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the net margin of tk accelis Group (TKCC)?
The net margin of tk accelis Group is −0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of tk accelis Group (TKCC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of tk accelis Group is −0.8% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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