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Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd $37.08, price $33.88, upside +9.5%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US

TC Toukei Computer Co., Ltd logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Toukei Computer Co., Ltd

TKCCF · US

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $37.08 · Fairly valued (+9%)
!Quality 62/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.6 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 26.6% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
·4.12% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (11/13)
✓Wide moat 80/100
!Weak on future: 22 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$33.88 $24.47 Fair Value $37.08 Jan 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

20‑month range $24.47 – $33.88 · fair‑value band $24.44 – $53.43 · the $33.88 price screens below the $37.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Toukei Computer Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the system design, development, and operation of solutions for various industries and businesses in Japan. It operates through Information Processing/Software Development Work, Equipment Sales Business, and Other Operations such as Leasing segments.

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Toukei Computer Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the system design, development, and operation of solutions for various industries and businesses in Japan. It operates through Information Processing/Software Development Work, Equipment Sales Business, and Other Operations such as Leasing segments. The company also provides network and cloud services, such as data center information, data center services, network services, and security services; and facility services, including data entry service, contact center services, IT personnel dispatch and recruitment BPO services, and digital BPO services. It is also involved in software and system development; system design, system development, system operation, specialized solutions for specific industries and business functions, outsourcing services utilizing an IDC with seismic isolation devices and proprietary security systems, operation management, network service construction, information system construction and implementation, and consulting services. The company serves construction, housing, real estate and condominiums, building maintenance, equipment installation and maintenance, control and devices, settlement, payroll and accounting, shift and attendance, hospitals and nursing care, security, distribution and eating out, retail and department stores, steel material, trading company, global, manufacturing, manufacturing of automotive parts, mail order, logistics, shipping, transportation, AI-OCR, SFA/CRM, business applications, system integration, network cloud, and facility industries. Toukei Computer Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Kawasaki, Japan.

Stock analysis

Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF) currently trades at $33.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.08, implying the stock looks roughly 8.6% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $48.00 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the $33.88 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $11.49, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $24.44 (bear) to $53.43 (bull), the price of $33.88 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Toukei Computer Co., Ltd reported revenue of ¥20.8B in FY2025 versus ¥16.8B in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥5.4B in FY2025, compounding +15.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $609M · P/E ratio 19.6 · P/S ratio 5.05 · EPS (TTM) $1.73 · Dividend yield 4.1% · Net margin 25.8% · Return on equity 12.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at 9%, TKCCF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $24.44 Fair Value $37.08 Bull $53.43
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $21.24 $29.51 $40.25 79
Growth DCF $21.45 $28.74 $37.68 77
Owner Earnings $19.63 $27.24 $37.11 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $21.24 $29.51 $40.25 79
Owner Earnings $19.63 $27.24 $37.11 74
5Y Revenue Exit $21.41 $32.43 $46.22 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $27.61 $43.80 $62.36 72
5Y P/E Exit $31.69 $51.30 $71.51 68
10Y Revenue Exit $20.57 $29.94 $42.01 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $24.70 $37.08 $53.06 66
10Y P/E Exit $27.07 $41.79 $59.33 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $13.90 $39.45 $51.96 65
Lynch FV $8.04 $11.49 $14.93 61
PEG = 1.0 $8.04 $11.49 $14.93 57
EPV $16.14 $18.19 $19.91 68
Multiples
P/E Multiple $42.92 $57.22 $71.53 63
P/S Multiple $26.06 $34.74 $43.43 58
P/B Multiple $26.06 $34.74 $43.43 55
EV/EBIT $43.99 $58.30 $72.61 63
EV/EBITDA $36.16 $47.86 $59.56 64
EV/Revenue $22.77 $32.07 $41.37 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.60 $12.87 $19.21 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $21.45 $28.74 $37.68 77
Rev-Margin DCF $21.41 $32.57 $45.11 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $16.14 $17.72 $23.32 71
ROIC Compounder $16.14 $18.19 $20.41 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $33.60 $48.00 $62.40 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+18.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 30%

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.8% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 710 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.91× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.59× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 13.5× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)46 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)22 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)50 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)82 · sector 33

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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SAP SE SAP €182.32 €159.06 −13%
Shopify Inc SHOP $147.74 $64.36 −56%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.89 $104.82 +50%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $233.28 $344.41 +48%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $137.00 $150.70 +10%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $302.95 $225.14 −26%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $336.59 $75.08 −78%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $247.48 $32.92 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $238.25 $454.04 +91%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $269.64 $177.51 −34%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Toukei Computer Co., Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TKCCF

Frequently asked questions

Is Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $37.08 versus a price of $33.88, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TKCCF?
Our model-based fair value for Toukei Computer Co., Ltd is $37.08 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $33.88.
What is the quality score of TKCCF?
Toukei Computer Co., Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $37.08 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $24.44, optimistic scenario $53.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Toukei Computer Co., Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $37.08, about +9% upside versus a price of $33.88 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $24.44, optimistic scenario $53.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
Toukei Computer Co., Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥21.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Toukei Computer Co., Ltd pay a dividend?
Toukei Computer Co., Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.12% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Toukei Computer Co., Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +6.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TKCCF use?
Our models discount Toukei Computer Co., Ltd at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.28, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Toukei Computer Co., Ltd that is +6.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Toukei Computer Co., Ltd grew +5.6 % a year. The price currently implies +6.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (+6.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.98 %: that much free cash flow Toukei Computer Co., Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Toukei Computer Co., Ltd it is $37.08 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $33.88. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Toukei Computer Co., Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TKCCF trades below its calculated fair value: price $33.88, fair value $37.08, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TKCCF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($33.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($37.08). For Toukei Computer Co., Ltd the two are $3.20 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Toukei Computer Co., Ltd worth?
The market values Toukei Computer Co., Ltd at about $609M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $33.88; our models calculate a fair value of $37.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TKCCF?
Our models span a range for Toukei Computer Co., Ltd: cautious scenario $24.44, base $37.08, optimistic $53.43 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $33.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TKCCF?
Toukei Computer Co., Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $37.08 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 4.6, EV/EBITDA 13.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 12.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TKCCF from its 52-week high?
Toukei Computer Co., Ltd trades at $33.88, at its 52-week high of $33.88 and 35% above the low of $25.04 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $37.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Toukei Computer Co., Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Toukei Computer Co., Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $33.88, calculated fair value $37.08 (+9%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TKCCF calculated?
We run Toukei Computer Co., Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $37.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Toukei Computer Co., Ltd currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $33.88. Our model-based fair value is $37.08, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Toukei Computer Co., Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($24.44 to $53.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
The market capitalisation of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd is $609M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd is 5.05 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
Earnings per share at Toukei Computer Co., Ltd are $1.73 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
The dividend yield of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd is 4.1% (payout 80.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
The net margin of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd is 25.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd is 12.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd is 11.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
The operating margin of Toukei Computer Co., Ltd is 30.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
Revenue at Toukei Computer Co., Ltd is growing +4.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Toukei Computer Co., Ltd (TKCCF)?
Earnings per share at Toukei Computer Co., Ltd are growing +17.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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