Tekfen Holding (TKFEN) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · TR · Market cap 57.0B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated today
Share price +8.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and the price sits another 39% above our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (125.99 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (62.48 TRY to 125.99 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.90 TRY – 157.00 TRY · fair‑value band 62.48 TRY – 125.99 TRY · the 154.50 TRY price screens above the 94.25 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Tekfen Holding (TKFEN) currently trades at 154.50 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 94.25 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 39.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tekfen Holding generated revenue of 50.9B TRY at a net margin of -10.4%. Revenue declined 16.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.5%. Net debt stands at 5.8B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 62.48 TRY (bear case) to 125.99 TRY (bull case); at 154.50 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 132% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -39%, TKFEN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (150.79 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (6.42 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tekfen Holding Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering and contracting, agriculture, and investment businesses in Turkey, CIS, the Middle Eastern countries, and internationally.
Full company description
Tekfen Holding Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering and contracting, agriculture, and investment businesses in Turkey, CIS, the Middle Eastern countries, and internationally. The company provides turnkey solutions for various facilities, including pipelines, oil and gas terminals, tank farms, oil refineries, offshore oil rigs, pump and compressor stations, power plants, industrial plants, petrochemical plants, highway and metro projects, sports complexes, steel structures, and superstructure and infrastructure projects. It is also involved in the agricultural input production of seeds and saplings, as well as the production of fertilizers. In addition, the company engages in trading, agriculture shipping agent, fruit manufacturing, fertilizer trade, and energy activities. Further, it provides insurance and management services. Tekfen Holding Anonim Sirketi was founded in 1956 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tekfen Holding reported revenue of 53.9B TRY in FY2025 versus 16.2B TRY in FY2021, a compound +35.0%/yr. Reported net income was −5.7B TRY in FY2025.
TKFEN sits 39% above fair value. Compare with Corteva, Inc →
Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 181 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥28.98 | ¥42.12 | +45% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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