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Takeuchi Mfg. Co (TKUGF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.2B

TM Takeuchi Mfg. Co logo Takeuchi Mfg. Co TKUGF · US
Price$48.54
Fair Value$77.01
Upside+58.7%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
2.85% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/10)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range $47.93 – $96.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

A solid business, screening 59% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($47.93 to $96.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$48.54 $28.28 Fair Value $77.01 Jul 2024 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

25‑month range $28.28 – $48.54 · fair‑value band $47.93 – $96.79 · the $48.54 price screens below the $77.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Takeuchi Mfg. Co (TKUGF) currently trades at $48.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $77.01, implying the stock looks roughly 58.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Takeuchi Mfg. Co generated revenue of $225B at a net margin of 12.6%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.0%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 12.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $47.93 (bear case) to $96.79 (bull case); at $48.54, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 59%, TKUGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $40.88 $60.52 $90.52 72
Growth-Adj P/E $47.18 $67.40 $87.62 68
Rev-Margin DCF $45.50 $71.57 $103.28 67
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $40.79 $61.44 $93.68 38
Owner Earnings $54.96 $84.60 $130.89 31
5Y Revenue Exit $45.50 $72.06 $107.14 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $53.52 $87.78 $129.35 41
5Y P/E Exit $57.52 $95.61 $137.49 38
10Y Revenue Exit $42.18 $66.06 $100.53 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $48.54 $77.01 $117.84 37
10Y P/E Exit $51.08 $82.46 $124.18 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $27.82 $106.75 $144.64 54
Lynch FV $26.04 $37.20 $48.35 50
PEG = 1.0 $26.04 $37.20 $48.35 46
EPV $47.46 $53.64 $58.98 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $64.45 $85.93 $107.41 63
P/S Multiple $48.91 $65.22 $81.52 58
P/B Multiple $52.17 $69.56 $86.95 55
EV/EBIT $77.83 $101.02 $124.21 53
EV/EBITDA $65.94 $85.16 $104.38 54
EV/Revenue $49.36 $66.97 $84.58 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.53 $18.13 $27.06 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $40.88 $60.52 $90.52 72
Rev-Margin DCF $45.50 $71.57 $103.28 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.72 $34.60 $89.61 61
ROIC Compounder $51.35 $63.65 $78.52 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $47.18 $67.40 $87.62 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($77.01) versus Asset-Based ($18.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $225B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.0%
Net margin 12.6%
Return on equity 16.0%
Free cash flow $19.6B FY2026
P/E ratio 12.8
More key figures
Operating margin 11.9%
EPS (TTM) $3.79
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +76.6%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 92
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Takeuchi Mfg. Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells construction machinery in Japan and internationally. The company offers mini and hydraulic excavators, crawler loader, crawler carrier, deep foundation excavator, and other construction machinery. Takeuchi Mfg. Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1963 and is headquartered in Hanishina, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Takeuchi Mfg. Co reported revenue of $225B in FY2026 versus $141B in FY2022, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was $28.3B in FY2026, compounding +20.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$225B
Latest YoY
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.9%
Revenue +12.5%/yr
FY22 $141B
FY23 $179B
FY24 $213B
FY25 $213B
FY26 $225B
Net income +20.6%/yr
FY22 $13.3B
FY23 $16.0B
FY24 $26.1B
FY25 $26.1B
FY26 $28.3B

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Takeuchi Mfg. Co · Fair Value
$77.01 +59%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Takeuchi Mfg. Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TKUGF

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +59% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 22
FUTURE 60 · sector 30
PAST 64 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 57 · sector 40

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $952.41 $307.83 -68%
Deere & Company DE $597.24 $187.86 -69%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 336.60 kr 288.08 -14%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $126.20 $94.80 -25%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 251.90 kr 144.14 -43%
Exor N.V EXO €69.40 €219.41 +216%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥18.65 ¥20.84 +12%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.39 ¥11.79 +41%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$41.00 HK$53.51 +31%
Yutong Bus Co 600066 ¥32.29 ¥42.00 +30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Takeuchi Mfg. Co (TKUGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $77.01 versus a price of $48.54, about +59% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TKUGF?
Our model-based fair value for Takeuchi Mfg. Co is $77.01 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $48.54.
What is the quality score of TKUGF?
Takeuchi Mfg. Co has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Takeuchi Mfg. Co (TKUGF)?
Takeuchi Mfg. Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $225B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TKUGF?
The net profit margin of Takeuchi Mfg. Co is about 12.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Takeuchi Mfg. Co pay a dividend?
Takeuchi Mfg. Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.85% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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