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Tilly's, Inc (TLYS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $143M

Price$4.30
Fair Value$2.46
Upside-42.8%
Quality97/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.84 – $3.67

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

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Analysis

Tilly's, Inc (TLYS) currently trades at $4.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.46 — implying the stock looks roughly 42.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 97/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Tilly's, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women, boys, and girls in the United States. Its apparel merchandise comprising branded, fashion, and styles for tops, outerwear, bottoms, swim and dresses; and accessories merchandise consist of backpacks, hydration bottles, hats, sunglasses, handbags, watches, jewelry, and others. The company also provides third-party merchandise assortment across its various product categories. It sells its merchandise through its stores and e-commerce website, www.tillys.com. Tilly's, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tilly's, Inc (TLYS) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.46 versus a price of $4.30 — about −43% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TLYS?
Our 21-model fair value for Tilly's, Inc is $2.46 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.30.
What is the quality score of TLYS?
Tilly's, Inc has a Quality Score of 97/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.