Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · MX · Market cap 1.7B MXN
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 13.93 MXN to 4.87 MXN (−65.0%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price −2.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6.44 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.24 MXN – 14.00 MXN · fair‑value band 3.69 MXN – 6.44 MXN · the 9.80 MXN price screens above the 4.87 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA) currently trades at 9.80 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.87 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 50.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo TMM S.A.B generated revenue of 1.7B MXN at a net margin of 17.4%. Revenue declined 40.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.9%. Net debt stands at 686M MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 3.69 MXN (bear case) to 6.44 MXN (bull case); at 9.80 MXN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at -50%, TMMA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (34.36 MXN) versus Asset-Based (9.17 MXN). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Grupo TMM, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a logistics and transportation company in Mexico. The company offers maritime services; intermodal terminal services; services for the automotive industry; land cargo transportation services, including mobilization of goods using various types of vehicles for cargo transportation, use of trains …
Full company description
Grupo TMM, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a logistics and transportation company in Mexico. The company offers maritime services; intermodal terminal services; services for the automotive industry; land cargo transportation services, including mobilization of goods using various types of vehicles for cargo transportation, use of trains for the movement of large volumes of goods, and rental and management of storage spaces to store products, as well as packaging, labeling, and order preparation; container maintenance and repair; and port operations comprising management of specialized products, loading and unloading of ships, vessel mooring/unmooring services, continuous ship operations, and control of operations and logistics coordination. It also provides warehousing services for local and international merchandise; and shipyard services. As of March 31, 2025, the company operates a fleet of 8 vessels, which includes 1 chemical tanker, 1 tanker, 1 LPG tanker, and 5 offshore vessels. The company was founded in 1955 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grupo TMM S.A.B reported revenue of 1.9B MXN in FY2025 versus 1.4B MXN in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was 310M MXN in FY2025.
TMMA screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →
Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 237 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,658 | ₹1,041 | -37% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 19,990 | kr 32,156 | +61% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 21,350 KRW | 33,795 KRW | +58% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹346.60 | ₹126.31 | -64% |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 87.10 TWD | 212.79 TWD | +144% |
| PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk, a shipping company, TCPI | 3,060 IDR | 368.32 IDR | -88% |
| Pan Ocean Co 028670 | 5,630 KRW | 11,840 KRW | +110% |
| Sociedad Matriz SAAM S.A SMSAAM | 137.00 CLP | 146.51 CLP | +7% |
| PT Ancara Logistics Indonesia Tbk ALII | 795.00 IDR | 350.80 IDR | -56% |
| PT Pelayaran Nasional Ekalya Purnamasari Tbk ELPI | 700.00 IDR | 298.20 IDR | -57% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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