Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Grupo TMM S.A.B MXN 13.93, price MXN 10.65, upside +30.8%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Grupo TMM, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a logistics and transportation company in Mexico.
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Grupo TMM, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a logistics and transportation company in Mexico. The company offers maritime services; intermodal terminal services; services for the automotive industry; land cargo transportation services, including mobilization of goods using various types of vehicles for cargo transportation, use of trains for the movement of large volumes of goods, and rental and management of storage spaces to store products, as well as packaging, labeling, and order preparation; container maintenance and repair; and port operations comprising management of specialized products, loading and unloading of ships, vessel mooring/unmooring services, continuous ship operations, and control of operations and logistics coordination. It also provides warehousing services for local and international merchandise; and shipyard services. As of March 31, 2025, the company operates a fleet of 8 vessels, which includes 1 chemical tanker, 1 tanker, 1 LPG tanker, and 5 offshore vessels. The company was founded in 1955 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA) currently trades at 10.65 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.93 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 23.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 34.36 MXN per share, and 11 of the 14 models we run sit above the 10.65 MXN price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 9.17 MXN, and 3 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 10.13 MXN (bear) to 18.40 MXN (bull), the price of 10.65 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Grupo TMM S.A.B reported revenue of 1.9B MXN in FY2025 versus 1.4B MXN in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was 310M MXN in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.9B MXN (≈ $102M) · P/E ratio 10.1 · P/S ratio 1.65 · EPS (TTM) 1.05 MXN · Net margin 16.2% · Return on equity 7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Operating margin 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 59% fair-value upside, at 31%, TMMA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 10.13 MXNFair Value 13.93 MXNBull 18.40 MXN
Price 10.65 MXN · Upside +30.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7968 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +41.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+41.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−6% → 16%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 11.8%/yr over ~7Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 1,434% above its own trend.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 229 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+30.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.8% · Below median
Return on assets0.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)12.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)10.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−45.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.38× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
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Is Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.93 MXN versus a price of 10.65 MXN, about +31% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TMMA?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo TMM S.A.B is 13.93 MXN (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 10.65 MXN.
What is the quality score of TMMA?
Grupo TMM S.A.B has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.93 MXN (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 10.13 MXN, optimistic scenario 18.40 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo TMM S.A.B stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.93 MXN, about +31% upside versus a price of 10.65 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 10.13 MXN, optimistic scenario 18.40 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
Grupo TMM S.A.B reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B MXN (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupo TMM S.A.B it is 13.93 MXN per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 10.65 MXN. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grupo TMM S.A.B stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, TMMA trades below its calculated fair value: price 10.65 MXN, fair value 13.93 MXN, a gap of about +31% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TMMA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (10.65 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.93 MXN). For Grupo TMM S.A.B the two are 3.28 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupo TMM S.A.B worth?
The market values Grupo TMM S.A.B at about 1.9B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 10.65 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 13.93 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TMMA?
Our models span a range for Grupo TMM S.A.B: cautious scenario 10.13 MXN, base 13.93 MXN, optimistic 18.40 MXN per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 10.65 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TMMA?
Grupo TMM S.A.B trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.1 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 13.93 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 15.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupo TMM S.A.B (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 7.8%, debt of 0.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TMMA from its 52-week high?
Grupo TMM S.A.B trades at 10.65 MXN, about 24% below its 52-week high of 14.00 MXN and 94% above the low of 5.50 MXN (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.93 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupo TMM S.A.B?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupo TMM S.A.B stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 10.65 MXN, calculated fair value 13.93 MXN (+31%), Quality Score 40/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TMMA calculated?
We run Grupo TMM S.A.B through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 13.93 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Grupo TMM S.A.B currently trades 24 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 10.65 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 13.93 MXN, about +31% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupo TMM S.A.B right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (10.13 MXN to 18.40 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Grupo TMM S.A.B
How large is the market capitalisation of Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
The market capitalisation of Grupo TMM S.A.B is 1.9B MXN (≈ $102M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupo TMM S.A.B is 1.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
Earnings per share at Grupo TMM S.A.B are 1.05 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
The net margin of Grupo TMM S.A.B is 16.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupo TMM S.A.B is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupo TMM S.A.B is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
The operating margin of Grupo TMM S.A.B is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
Revenue at Grupo TMM S.A.B is growing −45.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA)?
Earnings per share at Grupo TMM S.A.B are growing −69.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA) generate?
The free cash flow of Grupo TMM S.A.B is −658M MXN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Grupo TMM S.A.B (TMMA) carry?
The net debt of Grupo TMM S.A.B is 686M MXN (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 2, 2026