Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co (TOKSF) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $931M
Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co
TOKSF · US
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from $25.72 to $26.55 (+3.2%) since Jun 29, 2026.
A solid business, screening 192% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($19.91). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.97 – $10.78 · fair‑value band $19.91 – $33.19 · the $9.11 price screens below the $26.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co (TOKSF) currently trades at $9.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.55, implying the stock looks roughly 191.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co generated revenue of $268B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 13.0. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $19.91 (bear case) to $33.19 (bull case); at $9.11, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 192%, TOKSF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($43.68) versus DCF Models ($10.67). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells various steel products in Japan, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Full company description
Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells various steel products in Japan, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers steel building materials, such as H-beams, high-standard electric furnace H-beam, special size H-beam (tuned-H), striped H-beams, grooved steel, I-beams, U-shape sheet pile, deformed bars, and cold rolled square steel pipes. It also provides steel plate products, including hot coils, pickling coils, hot-dip galvanized coils, striped coils, cut sheets, and high-standard electric arc furnace steel sheets. Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1934 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co reported revenue of ¥327B in FY2025 versus ¥141B in FY2021, a compound +23.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥21.2B in FY2025, compounding +37.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Steel · 378 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $0.2010 | $0.2000 | -0% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,227 | ₹1,140 | -7% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.89 | ¥8.07 | +37% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.55 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 313,500 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -50% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,940 ARS | +17% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,028 | ₹545.12 | -47% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,844 | ₹1,098 | -40% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 42.64 MXN | -49% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,210 ARS | +53% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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