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Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Toppoint Holdings Inc. $0.18, price $0.13, upside +40.2%, quality 21 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN US89078D1019

TH Toppoint Holdings Inc. logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Toppoint Holdings Inc.

TOPP · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $0.1753 · Undervalued (+40.2%)
!Quality 21/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −8.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -44.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$3.75 $0.1250 Fair Value $0.1753 Jan 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

20‑month range $0.1250 – $3.75 · fair‑value band $0.1252 – $0.2254 · the $0.1250 price screens below the $0.1753 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Toppoint Holdings Inc., through its subsidiary, Toppoint Inc., engages in the provision of truckload services and solutions focused on the recycling export supply chain in the United States.

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Toppoint Holdings Inc., through its subsidiary, Toppoint Inc., engages in the provision of truckload services and solutions focused on the recycling export supply chain in the United States. It transports food waste, wastepaper, scrap metal, logs, batteries, and import products; and manages 20', 40', and 45' containers, including refrigerated and Hazmat cargo. The company also coordinates import brokers to customer's docks. In addition, it offers trucking services for plastic and other commodities, as well as provides logistics brokerage solutions. The company serves waste and recycling companies, recycling centers, and commodity traders. Toppoint Holdings Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in North Wales, Pennsylvania.

Stock analysis

Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP) currently trades at $0.1250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1753, implying the stock looks roughly 28.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.1252 (bear) to $0.2254 (bull), the price of $0.1250 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Toppoint Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $16.5M in FY2025 versus $21.5M in FY2022, a compound −8.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $25.4M · P/S ratio 1.51 · EPS (TTM) $−0.4100 · Net margin −44.4% · Return on equity −82.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.3% · Operating margin −17.4% · Revenue (TTM) $16.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 95% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −60% fair-value upside, at 40%, TOPP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1252 Fair Value $0.1753 Bull $0.2254
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.2200 $0.2900 $0.4400 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2200 $0.2900 $0.4400 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.4% (2022) → −44.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Toppoint Holdings Inc. with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Trucking · 45 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +40.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −42.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −44.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −17.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)87 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)39 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 35

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL $176.85 $175.98 +0%
XPO, Inc XPO $177.37 $70.97 −60%
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX $64.19 $54.80 −15%
TFI International Inc TFII $122.37 $112.10 −8%
Saia, Inc SAIA $324.22 $126.27 −61%
Schneider National, Inc SNDR $31.58 $12.37 −61%
ArcBest Corporation ARCB $127.07 $45.71 −64%
Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN $33.98 $8.24 −76%
Mullen Group MTL C$27.30 C$19.77 −28%
Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611 ¥4.29 ¥0.9800 −77%

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Toppoint Holdings Inc. · Fair Value
$0.1753 +29%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Toppoint Holdings Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TOPP

Frequently asked questions

Is Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1753 versus a price of $0.1250, about +40% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TOPP?
Our model-based fair value for Toppoint Holdings Inc. is $0.1753 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1250.
What is the quality score of TOPP?
Toppoint Holdings Inc. has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1753 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1252, optimistic scenario $0.2254. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Toppoint Holdings Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1753, about +40% upside versus a price of $0.1250 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1252, optimistic scenario $0.2254. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP)?
Toppoint Holdings Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Toppoint Holdings Inc. it is $0.1753 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.1250. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Toppoint Holdings Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, TOPP trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.1250, fair value $0.1753, a gap of about +40% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TOPP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1753). For Toppoint Holdings Inc. the two are $0.0503 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Toppoint Holdings Inc. worth?
The market values Toppoint Holdings Inc. at about $25.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.1250; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1753 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TOPP?
Our models span a range for Toppoint Holdings Inc.: cautious scenario $0.1252, base $0.1753, optimistic $0.2254 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $0.1250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Toppoint Holdings Inc. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −82.8%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TOPP from its 52-week high?
Toppoint Holdings Inc. trades at $0.1250, about 95% below its 52-week high of $2.75 and at the low of $0.1250 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1753 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Toppoint Holdings Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc, XPO, Inc, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings, TFI International Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Toppoint Holdings Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.1250, calculated fair value $0.1753 (+40%), Quality Score 21/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TOPP calculated?
We run Toppoint Holdings Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1753, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Toppoint Holdings Inc. currently trades 29 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.1250. Our model-based fair value is $0.1753, about +40% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Toppoint Holdings Inc. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (21/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.1252 to $0.2254) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Toppoint Holdings Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP)?
The market capitalisation of Toppoint Holdings Inc. is $25.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Toppoint Holdings Inc. is 1.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP)?
Earnings per share at Toppoint Holdings Inc. are $−0.4100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP)?
The net margin of Toppoint Holdings Inc. is −44.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Toppoint Holdings Inc. is −82.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Toppoint Holdings Inc. is −3.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP)?
The operating margin of Toppoint Holdings Inc. is −17.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP)?
Revenue at Toppoint Holdings Inc. is growing +7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP) generate?
The free cash flow of Toppoint Holdings Inc. is −$2.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Toppoint Holdings Inc. (TOPP) carry?
The net debt of Toppoint Holdings Inc. is $262K (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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