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Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A stock €7.08, price €9.63, that is 26.5% below the price, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services GR · ISIN GRS831003009

PF Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A logo Broad data Nov 6, 2026

Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A

TPEIR · AT
Solid, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 27% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 42.5% net margin (TTM)
4.2% dividend yield · Low payout
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Positive coverage
Broad data
Quality 52/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.5 %/yr in EUR)
Wide moat 67/100 · thin data
Fair value €7.08 · Overvalued (−26.5%)

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Neobanks pressuring retail margins🚩DTCs weigh on capital quality
Watch Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€10.97 €0.6605 Fair Value €7.08 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.6605 – €10.97 · fair‑value band €5.79 – €8.63 · the €9.63 price screens above the €7.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of banking products and services in Greece and internationally. It operates through Retail Banking, Corporate Banking, Piraeus Financial Markets, Other, and NPE Management Unit segments.

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The company offers time, saving, and current deposits, as well as personal banking and payroll accounts; credit, debit, and prepaid cards; mortgage, commercial real estate, corporate, consumer, motor vehicle, sovereign, personal, home, farming, restructuring, and working capital loans; overdrafts; mutual funds, corporate and treasury bonds, equities, energy finance, and treasury products; and car, home and civil liability, health, endowment, accident/life, lifestyle, and corporate insurances.

It also provides financial planning, asset management, payment/remittance, cash management, settlement, payroll, fixed income, foreign exchange, restructuring, risk management, stock exchange, corporate factoring, financial and operating leasing, and digital banking services.

In addition, the company offers infrastructure advisory, project and real estate finance, remote banking, debt securities issuance, and commercial debt assessment and collection services.

Further, it is involved in group life and health, and electronic and cyber risks insurance programs; portfolio, yachting, shopping center, property, city link areas, and real estate management services; insurance agency, land and real estate property development, and construction services; trading of boat vehicle, cars, and equipment; real estate purchase, sales, and rentals; and consulting, hotel and training, financial, telecommunication, and information technology services.

Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A. was formerly known as Piraeus Bank S.A. The company was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Athens, Greece.

Stock analysis

Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR) currently trades at €9.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €7.08, 27% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €7.71 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the €9.63 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €3.82, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €5.79 (bear) to €8.63 (bull), the price of €9.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A reported revenue of €2.7B in FY2025 versus €2.3B in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was €1.1B in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €12.5B Large · P/E ratio 10.9 · P/S ratio 4.63 · EPS (TTM) €0.8800 · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 42.5% · Return on equity 12.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 67 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −27%, TPEIR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €5.79 Fair Value €7.08 Bull €8.63
Price €9.63 · Downside -26.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.4103 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income €6.41 €7.08 €8.63 76
Gordon GGM €2.26 €3.96 €5.32 68
DDM Multi-Stage €2.26 €3.67 €4.24 67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.26 €3.96 €5.32 68
DDM Multi-Stage €2.26 €3.67 €4.24 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €8.47 €11.29 €14.11 63
P/B Multiple €3.10 €4.13 €5.16 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.44 €4.61 €6.88 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €6.41 €7.08 €8.63 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 36
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 98
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 28
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 55
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 59
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 59
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 73
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+57.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+53.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−28% → 51%

TPEIR screens overvalued: fair value 27% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (47 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Note from the team Oct 14, 2026
AI conclusion: The regional Greek bank shows decent margins and cash conversion, yet lacks visible durable moat signals in a commoditized sector.
Main risk: Neobanks such as Revolut with Greek IBAN and low-fee digital services could draw retail customers away from traditional banks like Piraeus and force lower prices or margins on deposits, payments and basic accounts.
Bull case: By scaling its own neobank Snappi and embedding AI across operations, Piraeus could capture digital customers and lift efficiency to offset margin pressure from rivals.
Bear case: If neobanks capture a larger share of everyday banking and DTC amortisation strains capital ratios, the bank might face slower organic growth and tighter regulatory constraints on expansion or distributions.
Piraeus Bank keeps cleaning its balance sheet by selling a large portfolio of non-performing corporate loans secured by real estate. This move supports further de-risking and capital strength after strong first-half results. Our models currently see the stock as overvalued. Will the ongoing cleanup drive lasting efficiency gains or merely mask slower underlying growth in a recovering but uncertain economy?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 998 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −26.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 12.1% · Above median
Return on assets 1.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 42.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 59.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 9.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 4.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 10.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.34× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 4.63× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 5.7× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.6× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.91× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)46 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)49 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)83 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.53 ¥7.59 +37% vs TPEIR
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.88 ¥52.73 +23% vs TPEIR
BNP Paribas SA BNP €91.93 €106.01 +15% vs TPEIR
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.18 €4.49 −27% vs TPEIR
State Bank of India SBIN ₹1,019 ₹736.65 −28% vs TPEIR
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €76.80 €50.44 −34% vs TPEIR
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.40 $5.90 −37% vs TPEIR
DBS Group D05 69.72 SGD 40.39 SGD −42% vs TPEIR
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹788.25 ₹406.39 −48% vs TPEIR
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,571 ₹615.63 −61% vs TPEIR

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Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TPEIR

Frequently asked questions

Is Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €7.08 versus a price of €9.63, about 27% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TPEIR?
Our model-based fair value for Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A is €7.08 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €9.63.
What is the quality score of TPEIR?
Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €7.08 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €5.79, optimistic scenario €8.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €7.08, about 27% lower versus a price of €9.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €5.79, optimistic scenario €8.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A pay a dividend?
Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A currently shows a dividend yield of 4.15% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A pays a dividend of €0.4 per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.2%. The next ex-dividend date is Dec 21, 2026. The payout ratio is 45.5% of earnings. Our assessment: Low payout. A low payout ratio: the dividend takes at most 60 % of earnings. Whether free cash flow covers it as well, we cannot see for this company.
What is the intrinsic value of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A it is €7.08 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of €9.63. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, TPEIR trades above its calculated fair value: price €9.63, fair value €7.08, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TPEIR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€9.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€7.08). For Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A the two are €2.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A worth?
The market values Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A at about €12.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is €9.63; our models calculate a fair value of €7.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TPEIR?
Our models span a range for Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A: cautious scenario €5.79, base €7.08, optimistic €8.63 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price €9.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TPEIR?
Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €7.08 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 1.3, P/S 4.6, EV/EBITDA 3.6.
What is the PEG ratio of TPEIR?
The PEG ratio of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A is 0.91 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 12.1%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TPEIR from its 52-week high?
Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A trades at €9.63, about 12% below its 52-week high of €10.97 and 46% above the low of €6.62 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €7.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price €9.63, calculated fair value €7.08 (−27%), Quality Score 52/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TPEIR calculated?
We run Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €7.08 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €9.63. Our model-based fair value is €7.08, about 27% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€8.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
The market capitalisation of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A is €12.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A is 4.63 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
Earnings per share at Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A are €0.8800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
The dividend yield of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A is 4.2% (payout 45.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
The net margin of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A is 42.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A is 12.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
The operating margin of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A is 59.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
Revenue at Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A is growing +9.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR)?
Earnings per share at Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A are growing +6.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR) generate?
The free cash flow of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A is €2.2B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A (TPEIR) carry?
The net debt of Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A is €3.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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