Grupo Traxión S.A.B. de C.V (TRAXIONA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · MX · Market cap 5.8B MXN (≈ $342M) · ISIN MX01TR0H0006
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price +6.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 45% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (17.85 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.91 MXN – 39.94 MXN · fair‑value band 17.85 MXN – 25.28 MXN · the 11.12 MXN price screens below the 20.22 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
Analysis
Grupo Traxión S.A.B. de C.V (TRAXIONA) currently trades at 11.12 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.22 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 81.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo Traxión S.A.B. de C.V generated revenue of 35.6B MXN at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 24.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. Net debt stands at 12.4B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 17.85 MXN (bear case) to 25.28 MXN (bull case); at 11.12 MXN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 82%, TRAXIONA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (80.92 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (0.3000 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Grupo Traxión, S.A.B. de C.V. provides logistics and mobility solutions in Mexico and Latin America. The company operates through three segments: Mobility of Cargo, Logistics and Technology, and Mobility of Personnel.
Full company description
Grupo Traxión, S.A.B. de C.V. provides logistics and mobility solutions in Mexico and Latin America. The company operates through three segments: Mobility of Cargo, Logistics and Technology, and Mobility of Personnel. It offers logistics solutions, including 4PL logistics services, 3PL warehouse management, distribution, last-mile, brokerage and forwarding, parcel and courier services, technology applications, rail logistics coordination services, as well as logistics solutions for pharmaceuticals and medical supplies. Cargo solutions comprise regular and refrigerated truckload, intermodal and cross-border cargo, less-than-truckload, and moving and relocation services, as well as specialized transportation for food-grade products, petrochemicals, and hazardous materials. Additionally, it provides personnel, school, and tourism transportation services. The company is also involved in general merchandise packaging, tracto maintenance, cash transfers, and general, refrigerated, and/or specialized cargo transportation for cross-border and customs procedures. It offers storage services and intermediation services through technological platforms, as well as storage, import, export, labeling, assembly, and distribution services for all kinds of goods, such as medical items. In addition, it establishes, organizes, and manages a private transport club; manages and operates online pharmacies; supplies treatments for chronic conditions; sells, distributes, and delivers medicines and medical equipment; provides logistics coordination and transportation services, personnel, advertising, and financial services; leases buses; and operates a non-profit association. The company was formerly known as Fondo de Transporte México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. and changed its name to Grupo Traxión, S.A.B. de C.V. in September 2017. Grupo Traxión, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grupo Traxión S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 33.8B MXN in FY2025 versus 17.1B MXN in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was 535M MXN in FY2025, compounding −10.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Railroads · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $307.41 | $141.29 | -54% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $51.76 | $12.62 | -76% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $94.71 | $34.38 | -64% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $352.68 | $114.36 | -68% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNR | C$175.06 | C$92.68 | -47% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $297.57 | $144.80 | -51% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.87 | ¥5.65 | +16% |
| MTR Corporation 0066 | HK$32.30 | HK$17.85 | -45% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.98 | ¥9.53 | +59% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.72 | ¥6.22 | +32% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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