Grupo Traxión S.A.B. de C.V (TRAXIONA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 13, 2026: fair value of Grupo Traxión S.A.B. de C.V MXN 25.51, price MXN 13.03, upside +95.8%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Grupo Traxión S.A.B. de C.V
TRAXIONA · MXCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
The stock costs 49% less than our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.91 MXN – 39.94 MXN · fair‑value band 17.85 MXN – 33.16 MXN · the 13.03 MXN price screens below the 25.51 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Company profile
Grupo Traxión, S.A.B. de C.V. provides logistics and mobility solutions in Mexico and Latin America. The company operates through three segments: Mobility of Cargo, Logistics and Technology, and Mobility of Personnel.
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Grupo Traxión, S.A.B. de C.V. provides logistics and mobility solutions in Mexico and Latin America. The company operates through three segments: Mobility of Cargo, Logistics and Technology, and Mobility of Personnel. It offers logistics solutions, including 4PL logistics services, 3PL warehouse management, distribution, last-mile, brokerage and forwarding, parcel and courier services, technology applications, rail logistics coordination services, as well as logistics solutions for pharmaceuticals and medical supplies. Cargo solutions comprise regular and refrigerated truckload, intermodal and cross-border cargo, less-than-truckload, and moving and relocation services, as well as specialized transportation for food-grade products, petrochemicals, and hazardous materials. Additionally, it provides personnel, school, and tourism transportation services. The company is also involved in general merchandise packaging, tracto maintenance, cash transfers, and general, refrigerated, and/or specialized cargo transportation for cross-border and customs procedures. It offers storage services and intermediation services through technological platforms, as well as storage, import, export, labeling, assembly, and distribution services for all kinds of goods, such as medical items. In addition, it establishes, organizes, and manages a private transport club; manages and operates online pharmacies; supplies treatments for chronic conditions; sells, distributes, and delivers medicines and medical equipment; provides logistics coordination and transportation services, personnel, advertising, and financial services; leases buses; and operates a non-profit association. The company was formerly known as Fondo de Transporte México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. and changed its name to Grupo Traxión, S.A.B. de C.V. in September 2017. Grupo Traxión, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Grupo Traxión S.A.B. de C.V (TRAXIONA) currently trades at 13.03 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25.51 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 48.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 96.82 MXN per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the 13.03 MXN price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 17.35 MXN, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 17.85 MXN (bear) to 33.16 MXN (bull), the price of 13.03 MXN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Grupo Traxión S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 33.8B MXN in FY2025 versus 17.1B MXN in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was 535M MXN in FY2025, compounding −10.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.3B MXN (≈ $396M) · P/E ratio 20.4 · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) 0.6400 MXN · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3% · Operating margin 4.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 96%, TRAXIONA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Grupo Traxión S.A.B. de C.V with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 104 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥6.39 | ¥9.21 | +44% | vs TRAXIONA |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.92 | ¥5.65 | +15% | vs TRAXIONA |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.95 | ¥5.48 | +11% | vs TRAXIONA |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $285.43 | $290.92 | +2% | vs TRAXIONA |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $117.78 | $98.68 | −16% | vs TRAXIONA |
| Getlink SE GET | €18.74 | €10.42 | −44% | vs TRAXIONA |
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $277.06 | $153.47 | −45% | vs TRAXIONA |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $84.46 | $37.30 | −56% | vs TRAXIONA |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $316.31 | $133.05 | −58% | vs TRAXIONA |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $47.50 | $12.91 | −73% | vs TRAXIONA |
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Key figures of Grupo Traxión S.A.B. de C.V
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