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TRF Limited (TRF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹2.7B

TL TRF Limited TRF · NSE
Price₹230.57
Fair Value₹24.60
Upside-89.3%
Quality26/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -5.3% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹16.23 – ₹30.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −4.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹30.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹16.23 to ₹30.75) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹662.55 ₹81.30 Fair Value ₹24.60 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹81.30 – ₹662.55 · fair‑value band ₹16.23 – ₹30.75 · the ₹230.57 price screens above the ₹24.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

TRF Limited (TRF) currently trades at ₹230.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹24.60, implying the stock looks roughly 89.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, TRF Limited generated revenue of ₹850M at a net margin of -5.3%. Revenue declined 28.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.3%. Net debt stands at ₹1.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹16.23 (bear case) to ₹30.75 (bull case); at ₹230.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -89%, TRF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ₹0.2000 ₹0.2200 ₹0.2500 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹0.2000 ₹0.2500 ₹0.3100 61
NCAV (Graham) ₹38.33 ₹51.37 ₹76.67 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹0.2000 ₹0.2200 ₹0.2500 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹0.2000 ₹0.2500 ₹0.3100 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹38.33 ₹51.37 ₹76.67 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹51.37) versus Dividend Discount (₹0.2200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹850M
Revenue growth (YoY) -28.5%
Net margin -5.3%
Return on equity -5.3%
Free cash flow ₹45.5M FY2026
Operating margin -34.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹-4.07
EPS growth (YoY) -49.0%
Net debt ₹1.2B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TRF Limited undertakes turnkey projects of material handling in India. It operates in Products & Services and Project & Services segments.

Full company description

TRF Limited undertakes turnkey projects of material handling in India. It operates in Products & Services and Project & Services segments. The company offers hydraulic cone and double roll crushers, load haul dumpers, roller screens, grab type ship unloaders, stacker cum reclaimers, unabalance motor feeders and screens, rotary plough and apron feeders, travelling wagon and side discharge loaders, goose neck level luffing crane, ring granulators, rotary breakers, truflo screens, travelling trippers, ultraflo vibrating feeders and screens, pulleys, and wagon-tippler-with-side-arm-charger, as well as sectional and mine conveyors. It also provides services relating to design and engineering, supervision, manpower deployment, leasing of facilities, etc.; spare parts; and construction contracts and related services; life cycle services; operations and maintenance services; and undertakes refurbishment jobs of steel plant equipment, such as ladle and tundish repair, as well as electrical repair works. The company serves the infrastructure sector, including power and ports; and industrial sector, such as steel plants, cement, fertilizers, and mining. TRF Limited was incorporated in 1962 and is based in Jamshedpur, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

TRF Limited reported revenue of ₹850M in FY2026 versus ₹1.3B in FY2022, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −₹44.7M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹850M
Latest YoY
−29.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.0%
Revenue −9.6%/yr
FY22 ₹1.3B
FY23 ₹1.8B
FY24 ₹1.4B
FY25 ₹1.2B
FY26 ₹850M
Net income
FY22 −₹230M
FY23 ₹886M
FY24 ₹346M
FY25 ₹258M
FY26 −₹44.7M

TRF screens 89% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TRF Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRF

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 805 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -35% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -29% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.53× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 22
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 23 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €899.80 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €281.75 €91.93 -67%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.75 -28%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 210.00 kr 112.59 -46%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 358.60 kr 193.01 -46%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥39.17 ¥22.68 -42%
ABB India Limited ABB ₹7,645 ₹1,322 -83%
Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND ₹5,315 ₹1,355 -75%
Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL ₹421.70 ₹96.51 -77%
Siemens Limited SIEMENS ₹4,019 ₹746.83 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TRF Limited (TRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹24.60 versus a price of ₹230.57, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRF?
Our model-based fair value for TRF Limited is ₹24.60 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹230.57.
What is the quality score of TRF?
TRF Limited has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TRF Limited (TRF)?
TRF Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹850M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TRF?
The net profit margin of TRF Limited is about -5.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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