Troax Group AB (TROAX) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 7.9B SEK (≈ $824M) · ISIN SE0012729366
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from kr 53.14 to kr 69.94 (+31.6%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +8.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 111% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 87.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 46.45 to kr 87.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 89.83 – kr 423.00 · fair‑value band kr 46.45 – kr 87.43 · the kr 147.80 price screens above the kr 69.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Troax Group AB (TROAX) currently trades at kr 147.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 69.94, implying the stock looks roughly 52.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Troax Group AB generated revenue of 266M SEK at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue grew 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. Net debt stands at 103M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 46.45 (bear case) to kr 87.43 (bull case); at kr 147.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -53%, TROAX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 1.02 SEK per share, which is 1.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 59.22) versus Earnings-Based (kr 20.59). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Troax Group AB (publ), through its subsidiaries, produces and sells mesh panels in the Nordic region, the United Kingdom, North America, Europe, and internationally.
Full company description
Troax Group AB (publ), through its subsidiaries, produces and sells mesh panels in the Nordic region, the United Kingdom, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers machine guarding systems, including fixings, posts, panels, accessories, barrier protection, locks and switches, doors, quickguard aluminum, blueguard stainless steel, and belt conveyor guarding products, as well as smart fix, rapid fix, and strong fix systems; warehouse partitioning products, such as partition walls, anti-collapse systems, data centers, shelves, mezzanine, cage storages, single and double locker systems, and art storages; and warehouse partitioning system accessories that include raising and end raising foot UR/UX, corner bracket, cut profiles UR/UX, smart splice, tubes, extension bracket, power door, door closer partitioning, espagnolette, bracket double post, horizontal top panels, and secure fasteners. It also provides lock options comprising padlocks, cylinder locks electric strike, electromagnetic locks, panic bars, knobs and handles, Abloy EL460, and safe escape locks; Troax Classic mesh partitions; Troax Medium mesh partition systems; Troax Safe storage systems; vehicle and bicycle storage systems; and property protection accessories, including chipboard shelf, store room numbering, door system holder numberplate, door system kit silence, spare parts securing plates, door reinforcement, and door closers. In addition, the company offers active safety solutions that include pedestrian alert, visual alert, and narrow aisle systems; forklift safety systems comprising collision avoidance, low-speed area, blind spot, and crossing guard systems; traffic control and pedestrian crossing systems; and docking safety solutions, such as truck docking and visual alert systems. Troax Group AB (publ) was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Hillerstorp, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Troax Group AB reported revenue of €267M in FY2025 versus €252M in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was €13.8M in FY2025, compounding −23.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +11.2 % · buybacks/dilution −0.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
TROAX screens 111% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 255 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $490.58 | $101.35 | -79% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $210.76 | $35.74 | -83% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $64.08 | $59.33 | -7% |
| Aurubis AG NDA | €178.90 | €223.43 | +25% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥8.87 | ¥3.39 | -62% |
| Commercial Metals Company CMC | $68.16 | $13.01 | -81% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥27.08 | ¥8.34 | -69% |
| Viohalco S.A VIO | €17.90 | €14.98 | -16% |
| ESAB Corporation ESAB | $86.05 | $52.40 | -39% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥104.36 | ¥44.23 | -58% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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