True Corporation (TRUE) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · TH · Market cap 484B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 5.88 THB to 4.55 THB (−22.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6.44 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
41‑month range 4.88 THB – 14.66 THB · fair‑value band 4.41 THB – 6.44 THB · the 13.50 THB price screens above the 4.55 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
True Corporation (TRUE) currently trades at 13.50 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.55 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 66.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, True Corporation generated revenue of 191B THB at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue declined 9.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.9%. Net debt stands at 506B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 4.41 THB (bear case) to 6.44 THB (bull case); at 13.50 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -66%, TRUE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (14.56 THB) versus Asset-Based (1.46 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
True Corporation Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications and value-added services in Thailand. The company operates through Mobile, Pay TV, and Broadband internet and others segments. It offers mobile, broadband Internet, Wi-Fi, television, and digital platforms and solutions.
Full company description
True Corporation Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications and value-added services in Thailand. The company operates through Mobile, Pay TV, and Broadband internet and others segments. It offers mobile, broadband Internet, Wi-Fi, television, and digital platforms and solutions. The company is also involved in entertainment, mobile equipment lessor, program production, non-government telecommunication, artist management, Internet services provider and distributor, and marketing management activities. In addition, it operates news channel; and provides business solutions, online digital media services on website and telecommunication devices, distribution center services, advertising sale and agency services, wireless telecommunication services, pay television, and football club and related activities management services. Further, the company designs, develops, produces, and sells software products; and offers digital solutions, and privilege and online-to-offline platforms, as well as business process outsourcing services in technical service, marketing, and customer relations. The company was formerly known as TelecomAsia Corporation Public Company Limited and changed its name to True Corporation Public Company Limited in April 2004. True Corporation Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
True Corporation reported revenue of 196B THB in FY2025 versus 144B THB in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was 9.2B THB in FY2025.
TRUE screens 66% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Peer Group
Telecom Services · 252 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥89.98 | ¥109.88 | +22% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $187.61 | $172.67 | -8% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,922 | ₹941.55 | -51% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.01 | ¥8.36 | +39% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMXB | 23.07 MXN | 30.35 MXN | +32% |
| Vodafone Group VODN | 259.50 MXN | 507.27 MXN | +95% |
| Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC | 379.00 THB | 286.77 THB | -24% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 | 133.50 TWD | 100.00 TWD | -25% |
| China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 | HK$6.50 | HK$13.03 | +100% |
| Telefónica, S.A TEFN | 75.67 MXN | 111.01 MXN | +47% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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