TESGAS S.A. (TSG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of TESGAS S.A. PLN 2.26, price PLN 1.64, upside +37.8%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.63 PLN – 4.58 PLN · fair‑value band 1.50 PLN – 2.82 PLN · the 1.64 PLN price screens below the 2.26 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Tesgas S.A. engages in the construction, renovation, and modernization of gas facilities in Poland. The company invests in activities related to the transmission and distribution of natural gas.
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Tesgas S.A. engages in the construction, renovation, and modernization of gas facilities in Poland. The company invests in activities related to the transmission and distribution of natural gas. It is also involved in the construction and renovation of gas networks of high, medium, and low pressures; gas stations and boiler rooms; and facilities related to the extraction of natural gas and crude oil. In addition, the company engages in the construction of LNG, LPG, and CNG gas stations, as well as micro-generation systems; and manufacture of pressure vessels. Further, it operates medium and high-pressure gas stations and gas pipelines; and other gas facilities, including LNG installations, gas boilers, industrial gas installations, etc. Additionally, the company engages in the distribution of natural gas odorizing agent" THT (tetrahydrogen thiophen), a colorless agent that is added to odorless natural gas to make the gas detectable; delivery of THT and filling odorizing installations; adjusting odorizing installations to the possibility of hermetic filling with THT agent; and elimination of small THT leaks from installations, tanks, etc. It also offers design services in the field of gas infrastructure, such as undertaking projects, including high, medium, and low-pressure gas networks; high and medium pressure gas stations; and installations in oil and gas mines. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Dopiewo, Poland.
Stock analysis
TESGAS S.A. (TSG) currently trades at 1.64 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.26 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 27.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 1.50 PLN (bear) to 2.82 PLN (bull), the price of 1.64 PLN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
TESGAS S.A. reported revenue of 71.8M PLN in FY2025 versus 114M PLN in FY2021, a compound −10.8%/yr. Reported net income was −10.7M PLN in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 20.5M PLN (≈ $5.3M) · P/S ratio 0.29 · EPS (TTM) −0.9300 PLN · Net margin −14.9% · Return on equity −13.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% · Operating margin −23.7% · Revenue (TTM) 71.9M PLN.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 38%, TSG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.50 PLNFair Value 2.26 PLNBull 2.82 PLN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.6% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.1% (2020) → −15.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+38% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−15% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−24% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TESGAS S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TSG
Frequently asked questions
Is TESGAS S.A. (TSG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.26 PLN versus a price of 1.64 PLN, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TSG?
Our model-based fair value for TESGAS S.A. is 2.26 PLN (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.64 PLN.
What is the quality score of TSG?
TESGAS S.A. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.26 PLN (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.50 PLN, optimistic scenario 2.82 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TESGAS S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.26 PLN, about +38% upside versus a price of 1.64 PLN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1.50 PLN, optimistic scenario 2.82 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
TESGAS S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 71.9M PLN (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TESGAS S.A. it is 2.26 PLN per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 1.64 PLN. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TESGAS S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TSG trades below its calculated fair value: price 1.64 PLN, fair value 2.26 PLN, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TSG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.64 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.26 PLN). For TESGAS S.A. the two are 0.6200 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TESGAS S.A. worth?
The market values TESGAS S.A. at about 20.5M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 1.64 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 2.26 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TSG?
Our models span a range for TESGAS S.A.: cautious scenario 1.50 PLN, base 2.26 PLN, optimistic 2.82 PLN per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 1.64 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
Balance-sheet figures for TESGAS S.A. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −13.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TSG from its 52-week high?
TESGAS S.A. trades at 1.64 PLN, about 42% below its 52-week high of 2.81 PLN and 1% above the low of 1.63 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.26 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TESGAS S.A.?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, NiSource Inc, Uniper SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TESGAS S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 1.64 PLN, calculated fair value 2.26 PLN (+38%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TSG calculated?
We run TESGAS S.A. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.26 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. TESGAS S.A. currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1.64 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 2.26 PLN, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TESGAS S.A. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (1.50 PLN to 2.82 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of TESGAS S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
The market capitalisation of TESGAS S.A. is 20.5M PLN (≈ $5.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TESGAS S.A. is 0.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
Earnings per share at TESGAS S.A. are −0.9300 PLN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
The net margin of TESGAS S.A. is −14.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TESGAS S.A. is −13.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TESGAS S.A. is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
The operating margin of TESGAS S.A. is −23.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
Revenue at TESGAS S.A. is growing +0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TESGAS S.A. (TSG)?
Earnings per share at TESGAS S.A. are growing +39.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does TESGAS S.A. (TSG) generate?
The free cash flow of TESGAS S.A. is −7.2M PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does TESGAS S.A. (TSG) hold?
TESGAS S.A. holds more cash than debt, 8.2M PLN net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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