CreateAI Holdings (TSPH) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $61.6M
CreateAI Holdings
TSPH · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +14.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 104% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.3100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.3100 to $0.5900) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1400 – $71.24 · fair‑value band $0.3100 – $0.5900 · the $0.2299 price screens below the $0.4700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
CreateAI Holdings (TSPH) currently trades at $0.2299, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4700, implying the stock looks roughly 104.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $96.0K. It earns a return on equity of -33.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $119M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.3100 (bear case) to $0.5900 (bull case); at $0.2299, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 104%, TSPH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CreateAI Holdings Inc. operates as an applied artificial intelligence company in the United States and the Asia Pacific. It engages in the provision of AI solutions primarily for autonomous driving; and generative AI for video game and anime production. The company was formerly known as TuSimple Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CreateAI Holdings Inc.
Full company description
CreateAI Holdings Inc. operates as an applied artificial intelligence company in the United States and the Asia Pacific. It engages in the provision of AI solutions primarily for autonomous driving; and generative AI for video game and anime production. The company was formerly known as TuSimple Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CreateAI Holdings Inc. in December 2024. CreateAI Holdings Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CreateAI Holdings reported revenue of $96.0K in FY2025 versus $1.8M in FY2020, a compound −44.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$88.2M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Software - Application · 710 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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