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Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Townsquare Media Inc $13.03, price $5.09, upside +156.0%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · US · ISIN US8922311019

TM Townsquare Media Inc logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Townsquare Media Inc

TSQ · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $13.03 · Strongly undervalued (+156%)
!Quality 42/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
·15.72% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (7/11)
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $2.61 to $24.90
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$10.99 $4.11 Fair Value $13.03 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.11 – $10.99 · fair‑value band $2.61 – $24.90 · the $5.09 price screens below the $13.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Townsquare Media, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a digital and broadcast media, and digital marketing solutions company for small and medium-sized businesses in the United States. It operates through Subscription Digital Marketing Solutions, Digital Advertising, Broadcast Advertising, and Other segments.

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Townsquare Media, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a digital and broadcast media, and digital marketing solutions company for small and medium-sized businesses in the United States. It operates through Subscription Digital Marketing Solutions, Digital Advertising, Broadcast Advertising, and Other segments. The Subscription Digital Marketing Solutions segment offers Townsquare Business Management Platform, a SAAS solution that provides website design, creation, and development, as well as hosting services; and search engine optimization, online directory optimization, e-commerce solutions, online reputation monitoring, social media management, appointment scheduling, payment and invoice, customer relationship management, and email and SMS marketing services. Its Digital Advertising segment provides digital advertising on its owned and operated, digital programmatic advertising, and data analytics and management platform. The Broadcast Advertising segment engages in the sale of advertising on local radio stations to local, regional, and national spot advertisers, as well as national network advertisers. Its Other segment owns and operates live events, including concerts, expositions, and other experiential events. The company was formerly known as Regent Communications, Inc. and changed its name to Townsquare Media, Inc. in May 2010. Townsquare Media, Inc. is headquartered in Purchase, New York.

Stock analysis

Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ) currently trades at $5.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.03, implying the stock looks roughly 60.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $28.75 per share, and 12 of the 12 models we run sit above the $5.09 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $7.20, and 0 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $2.61 (bear) to $24.90 (bull), the price of $5.09 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Townsquare Media Inc reported revenue of $427M in FY2025 versus $418M in FY2021, a compound +0.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$11.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $116M · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) $−0.4300 · Net margin −2.7% · Return on equity −116% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% · Operating margin 8.2% · Revenue (TTM) $425M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at 156%, TSQ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.61 Fair Value $13.03 Bull $24.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $2.00 $9.28 $17.58 74
Growth DCF $2.40 $9.09 $16.43 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.63 $21.83 $38.57 71
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.00 $9.28 $17.58 74
5Y Revenue Exit $2.75 $15.08 $30.07 66
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.63 $21.83 $38.57 71
10Y Revenue Exit $1.53 $11.24 $22.67 60
10Y EBITDA Exit $4.21 $15.10 $27.86 64
Earnings-Based
EPV n/a n/a $1.27 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.53 $7.39 $8.99 69
DDM Multi-Stage $5.53 $7.20 $8.77 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT $15.30 $28.75 $42.19 63
EV/EBITDA $15.98 $29.64 $43.31 65
EV/Revenue $5.55 $18.66 $31.77 49
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.40 $9.09 $16.43 73
Rev-Margin DCF $2.75 $15.57 $29.11 67
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder n/a n/a $2.37 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 22/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.3% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−20.2% (2020) → 13.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.3% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 197 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +156% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 15.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 7.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.96× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 59

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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AppLovin Corporation APP $328.73 $361.60 +10%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €97.48 €146.36 +50%
Omnicom Group OMC $75.34 $110.54 +47%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥4.75 ¥5.71 +20%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $13.18 $47.32 +259%
Leo Group 002131 ¥4.66 ¥1.14 −76%
JCDecaux SE DEC €25.10 €20.99 −16%
WPP plc WPP $25.71 $41.10 +60%
Magnite, Inc MGNI $24.80 $27.28 +10%
Ströer SE SAX €37.22 €41.69 +12%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Townsquare Media Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TSQ

Frequently asked questions

Is Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.03 versus a price of $5.09, about +156% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TSQ?
Our model-based fair value for Townsquare Media Inc is $13.03 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.09.
What is the quality score of TSQ?
Townsquare Media Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $13.03 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.61, optimistic scenario $24.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Townsquare Media Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $13.03, about +156% upside versus a price of $5.09 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.61, optimistic scenario $24.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
Townsquare Media Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $425M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Townsquare Media Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +28.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TSQ use?
Our models discount Townsquare Media Inc at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.19, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Townsquare Media Inc that is +28.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Townsquare Media Inc grew +2.9 % a year. The price currently implies +28.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Townsquare Media Inc (+28.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.67 %: that much free cash flow Townsquare Media Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Townsquare Media Inc it is $13.03 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $5.09. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Townsquare Media Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TSQ trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.09, fair value $13.03, a gap of about +156% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TSQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($13.03). For Townsquare Media Inc the two are $7.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Townsquare Media Inc worth?
The market values Townsquare Media Inc at about $116M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $5.09; our models calculate a fair value of $13.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TSQ?
Our models span a range for Townsquare Media Inc: cautious scenario $2.61, base $13.03, optimistic $24.90 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $5.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of TSQ?
The PEG ratio of Townsquare Media Inc is 0.96 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Townsquare Media Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TSQ from its 52-week high?
Townsquare Media Inc trades at $5.09, about 32% below its 52-week high of $7.48 and 24% above the low of $4.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $13.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Townsquare Media Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Townsquare Media Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $5.09, calculated fair value $13.03 (+156%), Quality Score 42/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TSQ calculated?
We run Townsquare Media Inc through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $13.03, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Townsquare Media Inc currently trades 156 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $5.09. Our model-based fair value is $13.03, about +156% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Townsquare Media Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide ($2.61 to $24.90). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Townsquare Media Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
The market capitalisation of Townsquare Media Inc is $116M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Townsquare Media Inc is 0.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
Earnings per share at Townsquare Media Inc are $−0.4300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
The net margin of Townsquare Media Inc is −2.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Townsquare Media Inc is −116% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Townsquare Media Inc is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
The operating margin of Townsquare Media Inc is 8.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
Revenue at Townsquare Media Inc is growing −1.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ)?
Earnings per share at Townsquare Media Inc are growing +177% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Townsquare Media Inc (TSQ) carry?
The net debt of Townsquare Media Inc is $478M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 31.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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