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Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation $13.93, price $7.88, upside +76.9%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · US

TF Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation

TTUUF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $13.93 · Strongly undervalued (+76.9%)
!Quality 48/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.8% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!3.8% dividend yield · Watch coverage
✓Ranks above peers (6/10)
!Narrow moat 43/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on balance sheet: 20 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$9.18 $4.08 Fair Value $13.93 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.08 – $9.18 · fair‑value band $6.75 – $17.34 · the $7.88 price screens below the $13.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in Japan and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Urban Development, Strategic Investment, Property Management & Operation, and Real Estate Agents.

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Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in Japan and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Urban Development, Strategic Investment, Property Management & Operation, and Real Estate Agents. The Urban Development segment develops and operates office buildings, commercial facilities, condominiums, and other facilities. The Strategic Investment segment develops, leases, and operates renewable energy power generation facilities and logistics facilities, as well as engages in REIT and fund management business. The Property Management & Operation segment engages in providing management services and renovation work for condominiums and buildings; sales and operation of membership resort hotels, urban hotels, golf courses, ski resorts, senior housing, and other; environmental greening business; new businesses based on the internal entrepreneurship program, and other services. The Real-Estate Agents segment is involved in Real estate brokerage, purchase, and resale business; sales agency business; and managing and operating rental housing and student apartments. Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Stock analysis

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF) currently trades at $7.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.93, implying the stock looks roughly 43.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $14.71 per share, and 8 of the 14 models we run sit above the $7.88 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $3.90, and 6 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $6.75 (bear) to $17.34 (bull), the price of $7.88 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation reported revenue of ¥1.3T in FY2026 versus ¥989B in FY2022, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥97.3B in FY2026, compounding +29.0%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $3.7B · P/E ratio 9.4 · P/S ratio 0.73 · EPS (TTM) $0.8400 · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin 7.8% · Return on equity 11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 77%, TTUUF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $6.75 Fair Value $13.93 Bull $17.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $7.13 $7.95 $10.28 76
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.03 $20.20 $37.09 70
5Y Revenue Exit n/a $6.26 $16.19 69
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit n/a $6.26 $16.19 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.03 $20.20 $37.09 70
10Y Revenue Exit n/a $2.44 >$9.76 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.11 $11.96 $27.09 60
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.35 $4.68 $7.08 67
DDM Multi-Stage $2.35 $3.90 $4.94 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple $11.03 $14.71 $18.38 58
P/B Multiple $11.03 $14.71 $18.38 55
EV/EBIT $13.48 $21.69 $29.90 64
EV/EBITDA $16.30 $25.45 $34.60 66
EV/Revenue $2.44 $8.26 $14.08 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.02 $5.38 $8.03 54
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF n/a $6.07 $14.64 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.13 $7.95 $10.28 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 45/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.4% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.2% (2021) → 13.4% (2026)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 130 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +71.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 11.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.60× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.4× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)35 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)45 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)20 · sector 74
DIVIDEND (yield)76 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD ₹1,978 ₹405.25 −80%
Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE ₹1,478 ₹297.85 −80%
Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 17.15 SAR 15.41 SAR −10%
Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 ¥2.69 ¥0.7900 −71%
Allreal Holding ALLN CHF 193.00 CHF 84.23 −56%
Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,630 CLP 3,708 CLP +2%
The St. Joe Company JOE $66.01 $34.53 −48%

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Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation · Fair Value
$13.93 +43%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TTUUF

Frequently asked questions

Is Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.93 versus a price of $7.88, about +77% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TTUUF?
Our model-based fair value for Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation is $13.93 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.88.
What is the quality score of TTUUF?
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $13.93 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.75, optimistic scenario $17.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $13.93, about +77% upside versus a price of $7.88 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $6.75, optimistic scenario $17.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥1.2T (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation pay a dividend?
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.82% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation it is $13.93 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $7.88. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TTUUF trades below its calculated fair value: price $7.88, fair value $13.93, a gap of about +77% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TTUUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($13.93). For Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation the two are $6.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation worth?
The market values Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation at about $3.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $7.88; our models calculate a fair value of $13.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TTUUF?
Our models span a range for Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation: cautious scenario $6.75, base $13.93, optimistic $17.34 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $7.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TTUUF?
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $13.93 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.2%, debt of 1.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TTUUF from its 52-week high?
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation trades at $7.88, about 14% below its 52-week high of $9.18 and 4% above the low of $7.57 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $13.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Henderson Land Development Company, Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $7.88, calculated fair value $13.93 (+77%), Quality Score 48/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TTUUF calculated?
We run Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $13.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation currently trades 43 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $7.88. Our model-based fair value is $13.93, about +77% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation right now?
Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($6.75 to $17.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF) come from?
Earnings per share at Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation grew +15.4 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.2 %, EBIT margin +4.0 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
The market capitalisation of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation is $3.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation is 0.73 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
Earnings per share at Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation are $0.8400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
The dividend yield of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation is 3.8% (payout 35.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
The net margin of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation is 7.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
The operating margin of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation is 15.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
Revenue at Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation is growing +6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF)?
Earnings per share at Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation are growing +14.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF) generate?
The free cash flow of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation is ¥27.6B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation (TTUUF) carry?
The net debt of Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation is ¥1.6T (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 59.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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