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TOTVS S.A (TTVSY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $3.0B

TS TOTVS S.A logo TOTVS S.A TTVSY · US
Price$12.86
Fair Value$13.23
Upside+2.9%
Quality73/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.01% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range $8.62 – $19.95 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $13.43 to $13.23 (−1.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +15.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($8.62 to $19.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$18.00 $8.15 Fair Value $13.23 Oct 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

34‑month range $8.15 – $18.00 · fair‑value band $8.62 – $19.95 · the $12.86 price screens below the $13.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

TOTVS S.A (TTVSY) currently trades at $12.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.23, implying the stock looks roughly 2.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, TOTVS S.A generated revenue of $6.1B at a net margin of 15.2%. Revenue grew 22.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.9%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.62 (bear case) to $19.95 (bull case); at $12.86, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 3%, TTVSY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $44.42 $87.34 $153.31 80
Residual Income $19.60 $25.92 $77.04 76
Rev-Margin DCF $40.79 $74.97 $123.29 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $45.88 $80.88 $168.11 38
Owner Earnings $47.28 $94.77 $184.05 31
5Y Revenue Exit $40.79 $76.49 $127.65 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $61.18 $122.27 $204.52 41
5Y P/E Exit $57.36 $113.69 $183.19 38
10Y Revenue Exit $40.77 $76.15 $135.56 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $55.81 $110.62 $204.89 37
10Y P/E Exit $53.25 $104.16 $185.89 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $20.90 $126.48 $176.35 54
Lynch FV $36.13 $51.61 $67.09 50
PEG = 1.0 $36.13 $51.61 $67.09 46
EPV $30.05 $34.63 $38.58 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $64.55 $86.07 $107.59 63
P/S Multiple $39.19 $52.26 $65.32 58
P/B Multiple $39.19 $52.26 $65.32 55
EV/EBIT $73.72 $97.93 $122.15 53
EV/EBITDA $71.43 $94.88 $118.33 54
EV/Revenue $37.79 $53.54 $69.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.38 $12.57 $18.76 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $44.42 $87.34 $153.31 80
Rev-Margin DCF $40.79 $74.97 $123.29 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $19.60 $25.92 $77.04 76
ROIC Compounder $35.45 $49.85 $68.89 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $60.37 $86.25 $112.12 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($94.77) versus Asset-Based ($12.57). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.4%
Net margin 15.2%
Return on equity 16.9%
Free cash flow $946M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.3
More key figures
Operating margin 20.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.5700
Dividend yield 3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.3%
Net debt $1.5B FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TOTVS S.A. develops and sells management software, and productivity and collaboration platforms in Brazil and internationally.

Full company description

TOTVS S.A. develops and sells management software, and productivity and collaboration platforms in Brazil and internationally. It offers an ERP platform, which integrates software management, social networks, real-time reporting, and other applications; business intelligence solutions comprising data integration; Fluig platform; and HR solutions, such as payroll, electronic point, social security and safety, and human capital management services. The company also provides implementation, consulting, advisory, maintenance services, e-commerce, and mobility solutions, as well as digital marketing solutions. In addition, it offers financial services, issuance, and credit card management services, including credit analysis and intermediation of financing requests. Further, the company is involved in investment and equity investment fund activities. It serves services, manufacturing, agribusiness, logistics, education, construction, healthcare, financial services, retail, legal, distribution, and hospitality industries. TOTVS S.A. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TOTVS S.A reported revenue of $5.8B in FY2025 versus $3.0B in FY2021, a compound +18.0%/yr. Reported net income was $892M in FY2025, compounding +24.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.8B
Latest YoY
+17.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.3%
Revenue +18.0%/yr
FY21 $3.0B
FY22 $3.8B
FY23 $4.4B
FY24 $4.9B
FY25 $5.8B
Net income +24.7%/yr
FY21 $368M
FY22 $498M
FY23 $735M
FY24 $718M
FY25 $892M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TOTVS S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TTVSY

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.3× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 37 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 38
PAST 68 · sector 13
HEALTH 86 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 60 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAPS C$12.69 C$16.26 +28%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$173.23 C$20.54 -88%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TOTVS S.A (TTVSY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.23 versus a price of $12.86, about +3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TTVSY?
Our model-based fair value for TOTVS S.A is $13.23 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $12.86.
What is the quality score of TTVSY?
TOTVS S.A has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TOTVS S.A (TTVSY)?
TOTVS S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TTVSY?
The net profit margin of TOTVS S.A is about 15.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does TOTVS S.A pay a dividend?
TOTVS S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.01% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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