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Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Touchstone Exploration Inc C$0.43, price C$0.19, upside +134.3%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · CA · ISIN CA89156L1085

TE Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Touchstone Exploration Inc

TXP · TO

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value C$0.4335 · Strongly undervalued (+134.3%)
!Quality 27/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +18.8 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 23.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/13)
!Narrow moat 39/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$2.63 C$0.1200 Fair Value C$0.4335 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.1200 – C$2.63 · fair‑value band C$0.3315 – C$0.5440 · the C$0.1850 price screens below the C$0.4335 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Touchstone Exploration Inc. engages in the exploration, development, acquisition, production, and sale of petroleum and natural gas properties in the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago.

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Touchstone Exploration Inc. engages in the exploration, development, acquisition, production, and sale of petroleum and natural gas properties in the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago. The company also operates upstream petroleum and natural gas activities under Lease Operatorship Agreements and an Enhanced Production Service Contract with Heritage and exploration and production licences with the Government of the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago's Ministry of Energy and Energy Industries, as well as holds private subsurface and surface leases with individual landowners. In addition, it focuses on onshore oil and natural gas properties comprising approximately 149,000 working interest acres of exploration and development rights located in southern Trinidad; and holds 3,898 gross and net acres of undeveloped land in Saskatchewan, Canada. The company was formerly known as Petrobank Energy and Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Touchstone Exploration Inc. in May 2014. Touchstone Exploration Inc. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Stock analysis

Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP) currently trades at C$0.1850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.4335, implying the stock looks roughly 57.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$0.7300 per share, and 7 of the 9 models we run sit above the C$0.1850 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$0.1800, and 2 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: C$0.3315 (bear) to C$0.5440 (bull), the price of C$0.1850 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Touchstone Exploration Inc reported revenue of $46.3M in FY2025 versus $29.6M in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was $10.9M in FY2025, compounding +17.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap C$48.3M (≈ $34.1M) · P/E ratio 4.6 · P/S ratio 1.09 · EPS (TTM) C$0.0400 · Net margin 23.5% · Return on equity 10.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% · Operating margin −2.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 134%, TXP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.3315 Fair Value C$0.4335 Bull C$0.5440
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.0297 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income C$0.2400 C$0.2800 C$0.3800 71
Growth-Adj P/E C$0.5100 C$0.7300 C$0.9500 67
Graham-Dodd C$0.2100 C$1.47 C$2.06 63
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$0.2100 C$1.47 C$2.06 63
Lynch FV C$0.4400 C$0.6300 C$0.8100 61
PEG = 1.0 C$0.4400 C$0.6300 C$0.8100 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$0.3300 C$0.4300 C$0.5400 63
P/S Multiple C$0.1200 C$0.1600 C$0.2000 58
P/B Multiple C$0.3600 C$0.4800 C$0.6000 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.1300 C$0.1800 C$0.2700 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$0.2400 C$0.2800 C$0.3800 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$0.5100 C$0.7300 C$0.9500 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 4
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.9% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−21% → −3%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 288 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +134.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10.5% · Above median
Return on assets −0.8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 23.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) −2.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 14.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.48× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.36× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.95× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.27× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)71 · sector 46
PAST (return on equity)42 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)76 · sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 73

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.86 $33.18 −42%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $47.05 $51.76 +10%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $186.67 $243.76 +31%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.72 A$23.84 −25%
EQT Corporation EQT $50.81 $55.89 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $341.07 $317.06 −7%

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Touchstone Exploration Inc · Fair Value
C$0.4335 +57%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Touchstone Exploration Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TXP

Frequently asked questions

Is Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.4335 versus a price of C$0.1850, about +134% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TXP?
Our model-based fair value for Touchstone Exploration Inc is C$0.4335 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.1850.
What is the quality score of TXP?
Touchstone Exploration Inc has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.4335 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.3315, optimistic scenario C$0.5440. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Touchstone Exploration Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.4335, about +134% upside versus a price of C$0.1850 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$0.3315, optimistic scenario C$0.5440. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Touchstone Exploration Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $35.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Touchstone Exploration Inc it is C$0.4335 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$0.1850. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Touchstone Exploration Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, TXP trades below its calculated fair value: price C$0.1850, fair value C$0.4335, a gap of about +134% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TXP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.1850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.4335). For Touchstone Exploration Inc the two are C$0.2485 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Touchstone Exploration Inc worth?
The market values Touchstone Exploration Inc at about C$48.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$0.1850; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.4335 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TXP?
Our models span a range for Touchstone Exploration Inc: cautious scenario C$0.3315, base C$0.4335, optimistic C$0.5440 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$0.1850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TXP?
Touchstone Exploration Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$0.4335 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 0.4, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
What is the PEG ratio of TXP?
The PEG ratio of Touchstone Exploration Inc is 0.27 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Touchstone Exploration Inc (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 10.5%, debt of 0.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TXP from its 52-week high?
Touchstone Exploration Inc trades at C$0.1850, about 29% below its 52-week high of C$0.2600 and 54% above the low of C$0.1200 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.4335 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Touchstone Exploration Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Touchstone Exploration Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$0.1850, calculated fair value C$0.4335 (+134%), Quality Score 27/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TXP calculated?
We run Touchstone Exploration Inc through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.4335, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Touchstone Exploration Inc currently trades 134 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was C$0.1850. Our model-based fair value is C$0.4335, about +134% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Touchstone Exploration Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (27/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$0.3315). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Touchstone Exploration Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
The market capitalisation of Touchstone Exploration Inc is C$48.3M (≈ $34.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Touchstone Exploration Inc is 1.09 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Earnings per share at Touchstone Exploration Inc are C$0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
The net margin of Touchstone Exploration Inc is 23.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Touchstone Exploration Inc is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Touchstone Exploration Inc is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
The operating margin of Touchstone Exploration Inc is −2.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Revenue at Touchstone Exploration Inc is growing +14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Earnings per share at Touchstone Exploration Inc are growing −98.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP) generate?
The free cash flow of Touchstone Exploration Inc is −$6.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP) carry?
The net debt of Touchstone Exploration Inc is $47.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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