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Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Touchstone Exploration Inc stock C$0.35, price C$0.18, upside +99.1%, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Energy CA · ISIN CA89156L1085

TE Touchstone Exploration Inc logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Touchstone Exploration Inc

TXP · TO
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 50% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value C$0.3485 · Strongly undervalued
Low debt
Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Positive coverage
Costs just 2.9 times its yearly profit.
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +18.8 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 28.3% net margin (TTM) · excl. one-off gain FY2025 4.6%
Wide moat 67/100 · thin data
Quality 30/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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Price vs Fair Value

C$2.63 C$0.1200 Fair Value C$0.3485 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.1200 – C$2.63 · fair‑value band C$0.2635 – C$0.4335 · the C$0.1750 price screens below the C$0.3485 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Touchstone Exploration Inc. engages in the exploration, development, acquisition, production, and sale of petroleum and natural gas properties in the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago.

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The company also operates upstream petroleum and natural gas activities under Lease Operatorship Agreements and an Enhanced Production Service Contract with Heritage and exploration and production licences with the Government of the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago's Ministry of Energy and Energy Industries, as well as holds private subsurface and surface leases with individual landowners.

In addition, it focuses on onshore oil and natural gas properties comprising approximately 149,000 working interest acres of exploration and development rights located in southern Trinidad; and holds 3,898 gross and net acres of undeveloped land in Saskatchewan, Canada.

The company was formerly known as Petrobank Energy and Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Touchstone Exploration Inc. in May 2014. Touchstone Exploration Inc. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Stock analysis

Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP) currently trades at C$0.1750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.3485, implying the stock looks roughly 50% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$0.7200 per share, and 8 of the 9 models we run sit above the C$0.1750 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$0.1500, and 1 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: C$0.2635 (bear) to C$0.4335 (bull), the price of C$0.1750 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Touchstone Exploration Inc reported revenue of $46.3M in FY2025 versus $29.6M in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was $10.9M in FY2025, compounding +17.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap C$92.6M (≈ $65.0M) Micro · P/E ratio 2.9 · P/S ratio 0.69 · EPS (TTM) C$0.0600 · Net margin 23.5% · Return on equity 13.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 37.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 67 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 99%, TXP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.2635 Fair Value C$0.3485 Bull C$0.4335
Price C$0.1750 · Upside +99.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.0519 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income C$0.2600 C$0.2900 C$0.3700 71
Growth-Adj P/E C$0.5100 C$0.7200 C$0.9400 67
Graham-Dodd C$0.2400 C$1.44 C$2.01 63
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$0.2400 C$1.44 C$2.01 63
Lynch FV C$0.4100 C$0.5900 C$0.7600 61
PEG = 1.0 C$0.4100 C$0.5900 C$0.7600 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$0.3700 C$0.4900 C$0.6200 63
P/S Multiple C$0.1300 C$0.1800 C$0.2200 58
P/B Multiple C$0.3100 C$0.4100 C$0.5200 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.1100 C$0.1500 C$0.2300 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$0.2600 C$0.2900 C$0.3700 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$0.5100 C$0.7200 C$0.9400 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 41
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 48
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 34
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 27
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 37
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 30
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.9% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−21% → −3%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (86 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 287 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +99.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 13.6% · Above median
Return on assets 4.5% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 28.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 37.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 58.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.48× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 2.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.69× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.59× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.27× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)54 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)76 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Expand Energy Corporation EXE $88.63 $164.80 +86% vs TXP
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $180.98 $242.64 +34% vs TXP
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$22.72 HK$26.80 +18% vs TXP
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $48.89 $53.78 +10% vs TXP
EQT Corporation EQT $52.69 $54.90 +4% vs TXP
Woodside Energy Group WDS $21.23 $19.51 −8% vs TXP
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $44.95 $40.59 −10% vs TXP
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $137.86 $92.89 −33% vs TXP
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.24 $33.18 −42% vs TXP
Aker BP ASA AKRBP kr 322.20 kr 127.39 −60% vs TXP

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Touchstone Exploration Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Touchstone Exploration Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TXP

Frequently asked questions

Is Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.3485 versus a price of C$0.1750, about +99% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TXP?
Our model-based fair value for Touchstone Exploration Inc is C$0.3485 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.1750.
What is the quality score of TXP?
Touchstone Exploration Inc has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.3485 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.2635, optimistic scenario C$0.4335. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Touchstone Exploration Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.3485, about +99% upside versus a price of C$0.1750 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$0.2635, optimistic scenario C$0.4335. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Touchstone Exploration Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $40.8M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Touchstone Exploration Inc it is C$0.3485 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of C$0.1750. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Touchstone Exploration Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, TXP trades below its calculated fair value: price C$0.1750, fair value C$0.3485, a gap of about +99% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TXP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.1750); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.3485). For Touchstone Exploration Inc the two are C$0.1735 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Touchstone Exploration Inc worth?
The market values Touchstone Exploration Inc at about C$92.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is C$0.1750; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.3485 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TXP?
Our models span a range for Touchstone Exploration Inc: cautious scenario C$0.2635, base C$0.3485, optimistic C$0.4335 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price C$0.1750). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TXP?
Touchstone Exploration Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.9 (as of Nov 10, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$0.3485 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 0.7, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 6.2.
What is the PEG ratio of TXP?
The PEG ratio of Touchstone Exploration Inc is 0.27 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 10, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Touchstone Exploration Inc (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity 13.6%, debt of 0.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TXP from its 52-week high?
Touchstone Exploration Inc trades at C$0.1750, about 24% below its 52-week high of C$0.2300 and 46% above the low of C$0.1200 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.3485 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Touchstone Exploration Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, Diamondback Energy, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Touchstone Exploration Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price C$0.1750, calculated fair value C$0.3485 (+99%), Quality Score 30/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TXP calculated?
We run Touchstone Exploration Inc through 9 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$0.3485 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Touchstone Exploration Inc currently trades 50% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was C$0.1750. Our model-based fair value is C$0.3485, about +99% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Touchstone Exploration Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$0.2635). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Touchstone Exploration Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
The market capitalisation of Touchstone Exploration Inc is C$92.6M (≈ $65.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Touchstone Exploration Inc is 0.69 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Earnings per share at Touchstone Exploration Inc are C$0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 2.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
The net margin of Touchstone Exploration Inc is 23.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Touchstone Exploration Inc is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Touchstone Exploration Inc is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
The operating margin of Touchstone Exploration Inc is 37.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Revenue at Touchstone Exploration Inc is growing +58.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP)?
Earnings per share at Touchstone Exploration Inc are growing −98.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP) generate?
The free cash flow of Touchstone Exploration Inc is −$6.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Touchstone Exploration Inc (TXP) carry?
The net debt of Touchstone Exploration Inc is $47.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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