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TZ Ltd (TZL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what TZ Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · AU · ISIN AU000000TZL7

TL Thin data Sep 13, 2026

TZ Ltd

TZL · AU

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value A$0.0551 · Strongly undervalued (+130%)
!Quality 23/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -41.7% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 11 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1750 A$0.0150 Fair Value A$0.0551 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0150 – A$0.1750 · fair‑value band A$0.0386 – A$0.0716 · the A$0.0240 price screens below the A$0.0551 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

TZ Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops intelligent and smart device systems that enable the commercialization of hardware and software solutions for the management, control, and monitoring of business assets.

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TZ Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops intelligent and smart device systems that enable the commercialization of hardware and software solutions for the management, control, and monitoring of business assets. It offers data centre cabinet security, such as enterprise, colocation, managed services, and cloud data centres; smart locker solutions comprising employee storage, end of trip lockers, corporate mail, university mail centres, residential, click n' collect, and portal and logistics; and tenant and property services app. The company is selling software and hardware products; and engages in the installation commissioning, and maintenance services. It operates in Australia, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Woolloomooloo, Australia.

Stock analysis

TZ Ltd (TZL) currently trades at A$0.0240, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0551, implying the stock looks roughly 56.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0386 (bear) to A$0.0716 (bull), the price of A$0.0240 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

TZ Ltd reported revenue of A$10.4M in FY2025 versus A$16.4M in FY2021, a compound −10.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$10.5M (≈ $7.4M) · P/S ratio 1.00 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Net margin −33.8% · Return on equity −3,971% · Return on assets (EBIT) −26.8% · Operating margin −27.3% · Revenue (TTM) A$10.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 130%, TZL screens cheaper than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 6
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 21
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−41.5% (2020) → −16.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 116 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +97% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −26% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −42% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −27% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.70× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.65× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)11 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 43

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Allegion plc ALLE $153.95 $127.80 −17%
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥15.89 ¥31.47 +98%
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $178.91 $120.92 −32%
ADT Inc ADT $6.54 $19.32 +195%
The Brink's Company BCO $107.12 $121.18 +13%
Brady Corporation BRC $83.39 $72.97 −12%
The GEO Group GEO $29.74 $12.89 −57%
Loomis AB LOOMIS kr 568.00 kr 496.43 −13%
CoreCivic, Inc CXW $31.47 $18.76 −40%

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TZ Ltd · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TZ Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TZL

Frequently asked questions

Is TZ Ltd (TZL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0551 versus a price of A$0.0240, about +130% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TZL?
Our model-based fair value for TZ Ltd is A$0.0551 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0240.
What is the quality score of TZL?
TZ Ltd has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TZ Ltd (TZL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0551 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0386, optimistic scenario A$0.0716. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TZ Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0551, about +130% upside versus a price of A$0.0240 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0386, optimistic scenario A$0.0716. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
TZ Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$10.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TZ Ltd it is A$0.0551 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.0240. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TZ Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, TZL trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0240, fair value A$0.0551, a gap of about +130% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TZL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0240); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0551). For TZ Ltd the two are A$0.0311 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TZ Ltd worth?
The market values TZ Ltd at about A$10.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0240; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0551 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TZL?
Our models span a range for TZ Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0386, base A$0.0551, optimistic A$0.0716 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price A$0.0240). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of TZL?
The PEG ratio of TZ Ltd is 0.65 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
Balance-sheet figures for TZ Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TZL from its 52-week high?
TZ Ltd trades at A$0.0240, about 53% below its 52-week high of A$0.0510 and 9% above the low of A$0.0220 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0551 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TZ Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Verisure plc, Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TZ Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.0240, calculated fair value A$0.0551 (+130%), Quality Score 23/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TZL calculated?
We run TZ Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0551, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. TZ Ltd currently trades 130 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0240. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0551, about +130% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TZ Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (23/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0386). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0386 to A$0.0716) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of TZ Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
The market capitalisation of TZ Ltd is A$10.5M (≈ $7.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TZ Ltd is 1.00 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
Earnings per share at TZ Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
The net margin of TZ Ltd is −33.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TZ Ltd is −3,971% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TZ Ltd is −26.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
The operating margin of TZ Ltd is −27.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TZ Ltd (TZL)?
Revenue at TZ Ltd is growing +2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does TZ Ltd (TZL) generate?
The free cash flow of TZ Ltd is −A$2.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does TZ Ltd (TZL) carry?
The net debt of TZ Ltd is A$6.0M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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