TZ Limited (TZL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$10.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from A$0.0414 to A$0.0496 (+19.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −14.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 107% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (23/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0351). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.0351 to A$0.0641) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0150 – A$0.1750 · fair‑value band A$0.0351 – A$0.0641 · the A$0.0240 price screens below the A$0.0496 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
TZ Limited (TZL) currently trades at A$0.0240, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0496, implying the stock looks roughly 106.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, TZ Limited generated revenue of A$10.5M at a net margin of -41.7%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. Net debt stands at A$6.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0351 (bear case) to A$0.0641 (bull case); at A$0.0240, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 107%, TZL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TZ Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops intelligent and smart device systems that enable the commercialization of hardware and software solutions for the management, control, and monitoring of business assets.
Full company description
TZ Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops intelligent and smart device systems that enable the commercialization of hardware and software solutions for the management, control, and monitoring of business assets. It offers data centre cabinet security, such as enterprise, colocation, managed services, and cloud data centres; smart locker solutions comprising employee storage, end of trip lockers, corporate mail, university mail centres, residential, click n' collect, and portal and logistics; and tenant and property services app. The company is selling software and hardware products; and engages in the installation commissioning, and maintenance services. It operates in Australia, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Woolloomooloo, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TZ Limited reported revenue of A$10.4M in FY2025 versus A$16.4M in FY2021, a compound −10.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.5M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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