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TZ Ltd (TZL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of TZ Ltd stock A$0.02, price A$0.02, that is 14.6% below the price, quality 15 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Industrials AU · ISIN AU000000TZL7

TL TZ Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

TZ Ltd

TZL · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 15% below what the stock costs today.

Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Revenue last quarter 11% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0154 · Overvalued
Quality 15/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −9.4 %/yr in AUD)
Loss-making · -44.5% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate⚠ Thinly traded
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1750 A$0.0150 Fair Value A$0.0154 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0150 – A$0.1750 · fair‑value band A$0.0147 – A$0.0160 · the A$0.0180 price screens above the A$0.0154 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

TZ Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops intelligent and smart device systems that enable the commercialization of hardware and software solutions for the management, control, and monitoring of business assets.

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It offers data centre cabinet security, such as enterprise, colocation, managed services, and cloud data centres; smart locker solutions comprising employee storage, end of trip lockers, corporate mail, university mail centres, residential, click n' collect, and portal and logistics; and tenant and property services app.

The company is selling software and hardware products; and engages in the installation commissioning, and maintenance services. It operates in Australia, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Woolloomooloo, Australia.

Stock analysis

TZ Ltd (TZL) currently trades at A$0.0180, while our estimate is A$0.0154, 15% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0147 (bear) to A$0.0160 (bull), the price of A$0.0180 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 15/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

TZ Ltd reported revenue of A$10.0M in FY2026 versus A$20.4M in FY2022, a compound −16.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.5M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$6.5M (≈ $4.5M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.69 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Net margin −44.5% · Return on equity −3,971% · Return on assets (EBIT) −27.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −28.8% · Revenue (TTM) A$10.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −15%, TZL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0147 Fair Value A$0.0154 Bull A$0.0160
Price A$0.0180 · Downside -14.6%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 15/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 16
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 3
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 4
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 61
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 7
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.1% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−12.2% (2021) → −28.7% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TZL screens overvalued: fair value 15% below the price. Compare with Allegion plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 115 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 15 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −14.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −40.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −44.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −28.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −10.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.65× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.65× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)14 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 46
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥14.36 ¥32.12 +124% vs TZL
ADT Inc ADT $9.90 $10.67 +8% vs TZL
Brady Corporation BRC $80.00 $84.37 +5% vs TZL
The Brink's Company BCO $116.60 $121.16 +4% vs TZL
S-1 Corporation 012750 98,100 KRW 99,629 KRW +2% vs TZL
Loomis AB LOOMIS kr 517.50 kr 496.43 −4% vs TZL
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $175.24 $121.81 −30% vs TZL
Allegion plc ALLE $189.49 $129.15 −32% vs TZL
CoreCivic, Inc CXW $31.59 $18.76 −41% vs TZL
The GEO Group GEO $31.94 $13.08 −59% vs TZL

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TZ Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TZ Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TZL

Frequently asked questions

Is TZ Ltd (TZL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0154 versus a price of A$0.0180, about 15% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TZL?
Our estimate for TZ Ltd is A$0.0154 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0180.
What is the quality score of TZL?
TZ Ltd has a Quality Score of 15/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TZ Ltd (TZL)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0154 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0147, optimistic scenario A$0.0160. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the TZ Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0154, about 15% lower versus a price of A$0.0180 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0147, optimistic scenario A$0.0160. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
TZ Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$10.0M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TZ Ltd it is A$0.0154 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0180.
Is TZ Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, TZL trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0180, fair value A$0.0154, a gap of about −15% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TZL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0180); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0154). For TZ Ltd the two are A$0.0026 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TZ Ltd worth?
The market values TZ Ltd at about A$6.5M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0180; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0154 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TZL?
Our models span a range for TZ Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0147, base A$0.0154, optimistic A$0.0160 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0180). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of TZL?
The PEG ratio of TZ Ltd is 0.65 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 10, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
Balance-sheet figures for TZ Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 15/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TZL from its 52-week high?
TZ Ltd trades at A$0.0180, about 65% below its 52-week high of A$0.0510 and 20% above the low of A$0.0150 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0154 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TZ Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, ADT Inc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TZ Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0180, calculated fair value A$0.0154 (−15%), Quality Score 15/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. TZ Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was A$0.0180. Our estimate is A$0.0154, about 15% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TZ Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0160). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0147 to A$0.0160), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of TZ Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
The market capitalisation of TZ Ltd is A$6.5M (≈ $4.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TZ Ltd is 0.69 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
Earnings per share at TZ Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
The net margin of TZ Ltd is −44.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TZ Ltd is −3,971% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TZ Ltd is −27.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TZ Ltd (TZL)?
The operating margin of TZ Ltd is −28.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TZ Ltd (TZL)?
Revenue at TZ Ltd is growing −10.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does TZ Ltd (TZL) generate?
The free cash flow of TZ Ltd is −A$2.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does TZ Ltd (TZL) carry?
The net debt of TZ Ltd is A$4.8M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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