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UAC Global Public Company (UAC) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TH · Market cap 1.7B THB

UG UAC Global Public Company UAC · BK
Price2.70 THB
Fair Value2.26 THB
Upside-16.4%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
7.87% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range 1.70 THB – 2.82 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from 1.67 THB to 2.26 THB (+35.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from 1.70 THB (bear) to 2.82 THB (bull), base 2.26 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

5.52 THB 2.22 THB Fair Value 2.26 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.22 THB – 5.52 THB · fair‑value band 1.70 THB – 2.82 THB · the 2.70 THB price screens above the 2.26 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

UAC Global Public Company (UAC) currently trades at 2.70 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.26 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 16.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, UAC Global Public Company generated revenue of 1.6B THB at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue declined 23.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.8%. Net debt stands at 112M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.70 THB (bear case) to 2.82 THB (bull case); at 2.70 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -16%, UAC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 4.39 THB 6.24 THB 8.72 THB 80
Residual Income 1.60 THB 1.59 THB 1.40 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 2.66 THB 3.53 THB 4.60 THB 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 4.38 THB 6.37 THB 9.11 THB 38
Owner Earnings 2.42 THB 3.41 THB 4.78 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 2.66 THB 3.48 THB 4.46 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 3.22 THB 4.56 THB 6.11 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 2.67 THB 3.51 THB 4.36 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 3.29 THB 4.19 THB 5.32 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 3.65 THB 4.89 THB 6.50 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 3.33 THB 4.21 THB 5.25 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.6700 THB 2.36 THB 3.18 THB 54
Lynch FV 0.5500 THB 0.7900 THB 1.03 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 0.5500 THB 0.7900 THB 1.03 THB 46
EPV 0.9500 THB 1.02 THB 1.08 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.94 THB 3.50 THB 4.82 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.94 THB 3.20 THB 3.74 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.26 THB 1.67 THB 2.09 THB 63
P/S Multiple 1.26 THB 1.67 THB 2.09 THB 58
P/B Multiple 1.26 THB 1.67 THB 2.09 THB 55
EV/EBIT 1.77 THB 2.21 THB 2.65 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 2.72 THB 3.48 THB 4.24 THB 54
EV/Revenue 1.59 THB 2.08 THB 2.57 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.11 THB 1.49 THB 2.23 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 4.39 THB 6.24 THB 8.72 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 2.66 THB 3.53 THB 4.60 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.60 THB 1.59 THB 1.40 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 0.9500 THB 1.02 THB 1.08 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.9400 THB 1.35 THB 1.75 THB 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (4.19 THB) versus Earnings-Based (0.7900 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.6B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -23.2%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 0.8%
Free cash flow 271M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 36.3
More key figures
Operating margin 14.4%
EPS (TTM) 0.0700 THB
Dividend yield 7.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -36.0%
Net debt 112M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

UAC Global Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the trading, alternative and renewable energy, and petroleum businesses in Thailand and internationally. The company operates through Trading, Manufacturing and Sales of Petroleum, Consulting, and Others segments.

Full company description

UAC Global Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the trading, alternative and renewable energy, and petroleum businesses in Thailand and internationally. The company operates through Trading, Manufacturing and Sales of Petroleum, Consulting, and Others segments. It imports and distributes chemicals and equipment used in various industries, such as off-shore natural gas exploration and production, oil refinery and upstream petrochemicals, engine oil lubricant manufacturing plant, polymer and plastic manufacturing plant, chemical industrial plant, power plant, and utilities system as well as investment in alternative energy and utilities system. The company also provides consultant and advising for marketing products and services; produces and distributes biogas used in power generation, transportation, and industries; and produces and distributes petroleum manufacturing such as compressed natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas, and natural gas liquid, as well as engages in the subcontracting of construction of machines and equipment. In addition, it engages in the generation and sale of electricity and alternative energy; land development business for construction of waste management plant to produce renewable energy; and production and distribution of fuel briquette and refuse derived fuel. UAC Global Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

UAC Global Public Company reported revenue of 1.7B THB in FY2025 versus 1.5B THB in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was 65.7M THB in FY2025, compounding −28.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.7B THB
Latest YoY
−23.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Revenue +3.4%/yr
FY21 1.5B THB
FY22 1.7B THB
FY23 1.6B THB
FY24 2.2B THB
FY25 1.7B THB
Net income −28.2%/yr
FY21 247M THB
FY22 59.2M THB
FY23 278M THB
FY24 169M THB
FY25 65.7M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +12.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.0 pp

of which total revenue +4.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp

EBIT margin +7.1 pp
Tax rate −2.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

UAC screens 16% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UAC Global Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UAC

Peer Group

Chemicals · 338 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -23% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.11× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.14× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.07× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 3 · sector 19
HEALTH 95 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is UAC Global Public Company (UAC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.26 THB versus a price of 2.70 THB, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UAC?
Our model-based fair value for UAC Global Public Company is 2.26 THB (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.70 THB.
What is the quality score of UAC?
UAC Global Public Company has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of UAC Global Public Company (UAC)?
UAC Global Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UAC?
The net profit margin of UAC Global Public Company is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does UAC Global Public Company pay a dividend?
UAC Global Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.63% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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