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The Ugar Sugar Works Limited (UGARSUGAR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹4.5B

TU The Ugar Sugar Works Limited UGARSUGAR · NSE
Price₹40.56
Fair Value₹25.41
Upside-37.4%
Quality46/100
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Evidence: High Range ₹16.62 – ₹31.76

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Share price +0.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

₹50.14 ₹35.36 Fair Value ₹25.41 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range ₹35.36 – ₹50.14 · fair‑value band ₹16.62 – ₹31.76 · the ₹40.56 price screens above the ₹25.41 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

The Ugar Sugar Works Limited (UGARSUGAR) currently trades at ₹40.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹25.41 — implying the stock looks roughly 37.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, The Ugar Sugar Works Limited generated revenue of ₹14.8B at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue declined 23.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. Net debt stands at ₹6.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹14.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -23.8%
Net margin 0.9%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow −₹548M FY2026
P/E ratio 33.3
More key figures
Operating margin 15.6%
EPS (TTM) ₹1.21
EPS growth (YoY) -10.4%
Net debt ₹6.5B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

The Ugar Sugar Works Limited manufactures and sells sugar, and industrial and potable alcohol in India. The company operates through Sugar, Industrial Alcohol, Potable Alcohol, Co-Generation, and Petroleum Products Sales segments. It offers white crystal sugar and its byproducts, including bagasse, filter cake, and final molasses. The company also provides various distillery products, such as IML products under the Old Castle Premium Whisky, U.S. Whisky, U.S. Brandy, U.S. Gin, Ugar XXX Rum, Gokak Falls Whisky, Milan Whisky, Hawk Gin, and Gagarin Vodka brands; ethanol; rectified spirit; malt spirit; and extra neutral alcohol. In addition, it offers distillery byproducts comprising fermentation sludge, which is used in poultry feeds; fusel oil that is used in amyl alcohols/perfumes; and carbon dioxide for industrial purpose, as well as low grade potash. Further, it generates and distributes electricity. The company also exports its products through merchant exporters. The Ugar Sugar …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

The Ugar Sugar Works Limited reported revenue of ₹14.8B in FY2026 versus ₹11.1B in FY2022, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹136M in FY2026, compounding −25.1%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +7.4%/yr
FY22 ₹11.1B
FY23 ₹17.9B
FY24 ₹11.5B
FY25 ₹13.3B
FY26 ₹14.8B
Net income −25.1%/yr
FY22 ₹433M
FY23 ₹1.0B
FY24 ₹211M
FY25 −₹162M
FY26 ₹136M

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Ugar Sugar Works Limited (UGARSUGAR) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹25.41 versus a price of ₹40.56 — about −37% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of UGARSUGAR?
Our model-based fair value for The Ugar Sugar Works Limited is ₹25.41 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹40.56.
What is the quality score of UGARSUGAR?
The Ugar Sugar Works Limited has a Quality Score of 46/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of The Ugar Sugar Works Limited (UGARSUGAR)?
The Ugar Sugar Works Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹14.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UGARSUGAR?
The net profit margin of The Ugar Sugar Works Limited is about 0.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.