Ushio Inc (UHOIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.3B

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($16.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.88 – $28.64 · fair‑value band $9.74 – $16.24 · the $24.48 price screens above the $12.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Ushio Inc (UHOIF) currently trades at $24.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.99, implying the stock looks roughly 46.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ushio Inc generated revenue of $179B at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.74 (bear case) to $16.24 (bull case); at $24.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 158% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -47%, UHOIF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($13.66) versus Earnings-Based ($7.17). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Ushio Inc. operates as a light solutions company in Japan and internationally. It offers light sources, such as lamps, lasers, and LEDs; light source units; injection-molding machines; mold protecting devices; joints and tubing; plastic materials; factory automation products; sound systems; cinema servers; and organs on chip.

Full company description

Ushio Inc. operates as a light solutions company in Japan and internationally. It offers light sources, such as lamps, lasers, and LEDs; light source units; injection-molding machines; mold protecting devices; joints and tubing; plastic materials; factory automation products; sound systems; cinema servers; and organs on chip. The company also provides optical equipment and systems, including lithography tools and aligners, cleaning and modification systems, measurement equipment, photoheating equipment, laboratory instruments, environment and sanitation related equipment, imaging and illumination systems, and photo alignment systems. Ushio Inc. was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Ushio Inc reported revenue of $180B in FY2026 versus $149B in FY2022, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was $8.0B in FY2026, compounding −10.6%/yr from FY2022.

UHOIF screens 47% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.