Uma Exports Limited (UMAEXPORTS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹743M
Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 16, 2026, revised from ₹6.88 to ₹13.76 (+100.0%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +3.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹18.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹7.84 to ₹18.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range ₹18.53 – ₹141.33 · fair‑value band ₹7.84 – ₹18.72 · the ₹21.73 price screens above the ₹13.76 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
Analysis
Uma Exports Limited (UMAEXPORTS) currently trades at ₹21.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹13.76, implying the stock looks roughly 36.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Uma Exports Limited generated revenue of ₹15.3B at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue declined 42.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Net debt stands at ₹1.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹7.84 (bear case) to ₹18.72 (bull case); at ₹21.73, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 97% fair-value upside, at -37%, UMAEXPORTS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹104.00) versus Earnings-Based (₹2.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
UMA Exports Limited engages in the trading and marketing of agricultural produce and commodities. The company offers sugar, wheat flour, and tea; spices, such as dry red chilies, turmeric, coriander, jeera, and cumin seeds; food grains, including rice, wheat, tea, sorghum, maize, and corn; pulses comprising lentils, faba beans, black gram, green gram, …
Full company description
UMA Exports Limited engages in the trading and marketing of agricultural produce and commodities. The company offers sugar, wheat flour, and tea; spices, such as dry red chilies, turmeric, coriander, jeera, and cumin seeds; food grains, including rice, wheat, tea, sorghum, maize, and corn; pulses comprising lentils, faba beans, black gram, green gram, chickpeas, tyson chickpeas, and green peas; and agricultural feeds, such as soyabean meal and rice bran de-oiled cake. It also exports fresh fruits comprising grapes, pomegranate, and orange as well as garlic, ginger, groundnuts, potato, onion, wheat sugar, bajra, salt, and barley. The company exports its products to Sri Lanka, Singapore, Australia, Canada, the Netherlands, Benin, Malaysia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, the United Arab Emirates, Djibouti, Asia, the Middle East Asia, Dubai, and internationally. Uma Exports Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Kolkata, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Uma Exports Limited reported revenue of ₹15.3B in FY2026 versus ₹12.8B in FY2022, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹8.4M in FY2026, compounding −56.8%/yr from FY2022.
UMAEXPORTS screens 37% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 297 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 21.90 THB | 43.24 THB | +97% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,150 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +116% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,805 IDR | 3,087 IDR | +71% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,350 IDR | 6,420 IDR | -13% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,260 IDR | 6,974 IDR | +209% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,890 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -68% |
| PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS | 860.00 IDR | 402.24 IDR | -53% |
| PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR | 5,625 IDR | 16,227 IDR | +188% |
| PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG | 1,320 IDR | 2,696 IDR | +104% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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