Umiya Tubes Ltd (UMIYA) Fair Value & Analysis
Materials · IN · Market cap ₹430M (≈ $4.6M) · ISIN INE173U01015
What is Umiya Tubes Ltd really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of ₹24.27.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 3, 2026, revised from ₹32.27 to ₹24.27 (−24.8%) since Aug 13, 2026.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (₹17.26 to ₹31.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹5.47 – ₹43.20 · fair‑value band ₹17.26 – ₹31.27 · the ₹24.81 price screens above the ₹24.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Umiya Tubes Ltd (UMIYA) currently trades at ₹24.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹24.27, implying the stock looks roughly 2.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹93.16 per share, and 7 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹24.81 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹13.42, and 7 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Umiya Tubes Ltd generated revenue of ₹128M at a net margin of 22.0%. Revenue declined 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. Net debt stands at ₹48.5M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹17.26 (bear case) to ₹31.27 (bull case); at ₹24.81, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Materials peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −2%, UMIYA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹0.9308 per share, which is 3.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹93.16) versus Asset-Based (₹13.42). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Umiya Tubes Ltd reported revenue of ₹128M in FY2025 versus ₹212M in FY2021, a compound −11.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹28.0M in FY2025, compounding +170.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Steel · 400 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nucor Corporation NUE | $250.50 | $116.05 | −54% |
| ArcelorMittal S.A MT | €64.60 | €46.04 | −29% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,296 | ₹1,119 | −14% |
| Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD | $234.67 | $127.14 | −46% |
| 500228 500228 | ₹1,292 | ₹1,079 | −16% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹186.80 | ₹145.39 | −22% |
| Reliance, Inc RS | $387.59 | $217.81 | −44% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.91 | ¥8.07 | +37% |
| POSCO Holdings PKX | $63.13 | $85.21 | +35% |
| Jindal Steel & Power Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,114 | ₹429.44 | −61% |
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