Uni-President China Holdings (UPCHY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $3.7B
Uni-President China Holdings
UPCHY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $134.92 to $118.83 (−11.9%) since Jun 25, 2026.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $45.66 – $116.98 · fair‑value band $87.13 – $156.18 · the $86.50 price screens below the $118.83 fair value. As of Jul 21, 2026.
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Uni-President China Holdings (UPCHY) currently trades at $86.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $118.83, implying the stock looks roughly 37.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Uni-President China Holdings generated revenue of $31.7B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue declined 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.2%. Net debt stands at $644M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $87.13 (bear case) to $156.18 (bull case); at $86.50, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 37%, UPCHY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Uni-President China Holdings Ltd, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells beverages and food in the People's Republic of China. It offers instant noodles, tea drinks, juices, milk tea, coffee, bottled water, and bottle can drinks. The company also engages in the wholesale of pre-packaged food and dairy products, and forage and fertilizers, as well as manufactures and sells mineral water and seasonings. In addition, it is involved in the trading, leasing, real estate, catering, management consulting, and human resource management related activities. Uni-President China Holdings Ltd was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. Uni-President China Holdings Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Cayman President Holdings Limited.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Uni-President China Holdings reported revenue of $30.9B in FY2025 versus $25.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was $2.0B in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company CCC3 | €72.40 | €21.88 | -70% |
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| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $91.21 | $40.91 | -55% |
| Nongfu Spring Co NNFSF | $5.34 | $9.48 | +78% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | $91.00 | $50.41 | -45% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. C2CA34 | R$108.87 | R$48.98 | -55% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $31.70 | $21.94 | -31% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG CCHGY | $60.50 | $48.95 | -19% |
| Arca Continental, S.A. EMBVF | $12.24 | $11.49 | -6% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹495.70 | ₹187.49 | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.