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Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited ₹14.79, price ₹103, upside -85.6%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · IN

UD Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Uravi Defence and Technology Limited

URAVIDEF · NSE

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹14.79 · Strongly overvalued (−85.6%)

!Quality 30/100

!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +4.6 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 2.7% net margin (TTM)

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

!Trails peers (1/12)

!Narrow moat 14/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 9 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear ₹10.35 to bull ₹19.22 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 30/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹54.95 – ₹643.55 · fair‑value band ₹10.35 – ₹19.22 · the ₹103.00 price screens above the ₹14.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Uravi Defence and Technology Limited manufactures and sells wedge and various types of lamps for automobiles in India.

Uravi Defence and Technology Limited manufactures and sells wedge and various types of lamps for automobiles in India. The company provides incandescent and halogen head lamps; stop, tail, and indicator signal lamps; wedge base lamps; wedge base lamps holders and silicon caps; and LED filament lamps for use in two-wheelers, three-wheelers, passenger vehicles, light and heavy commercial vehicles, house, and tractors applications. It offers its products under the UVAL brand name. Uravi Defence and Technology Limited was formerly known as Uravi T & Wedge Lamps Limited and changed its name to Uravi Defence and Technology Limited in November 2024. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Stock analysis

Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF) currently trades at ₹103.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹14.79, 85.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹29.89 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the ₹103.00 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹5.06, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹10.35 (bear) to ₹19.22 (bull), the price of ₹103.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Uravi Defence and Technology Limited reported revenue of ₹386M in FY2026 versus ₹313M in FY2022, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹10.4M in FY2026, compounding +9.2%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹1.5B (≈ $15.3M) · P/E ratio 107.3 · P/S ratio 2.90 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.9600 · Net margin 2.7% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% · Operating margin −3.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −86%, URAVIDEF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹10.35 Fair Value ₹14.79 Bull ₹19.22

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.4866 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Owner Earnings ₹16.26 ₹21.71 ₹30.09 74

EPV ₹4.52 ₹5.06 ₹5.52 74

ROIC Compounder ₹4.52 ₹5.06 ₹5.52 69

All 13 models by family

DCF Models

Owner Earnings ₹16.26 ₹21.71 ₹30.09 74

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ₹6.23 ₹11.98 ₹14.95 63

EPV ₹4.52 ₹5.06 ₹5.52 74

Multiples

P/E Multiple ₹14.42 ₹19.23 ₹24.03 63

P/S Multiple ₹11.67 ₹15.57 ₹19.46 58

P/B Multiple ₹11.67 ₹15.57 ₹19.46 55

EV/EBIT ₹10.70 ₹13.90 ₹17.11 66

EV/EBITDA ₹24.70 ₹32.57 ₹40.44 67

EV/Revenue ₹7.95 ₹10.89 ₹13.83 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ₹22.30 ₹29.89 ₹44.61 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income ₹31.10 ₹29.52 ₹28.91 68

ROIC Compounder ₹4.52 ₹5.06 ₹5.52 69

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ₹10.35 ₹14.79 ₹19.22 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 24

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 17

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 5

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 58

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 37

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 71

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 10

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 0

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 64

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

−11.2%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+4.6%

’22

’23

’24

’25

’26

What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.

−7.1%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−7.1%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 2%

URAVIDEF screens overvalued: fair value 86% below the price. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 666 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −85.6% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 2.2% · Bottom 25%

Return on assets 0.6% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) 2.7% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) −3.9% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −13.5% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 107.3× · Priciest 25%

P/B 2.90× · Priciest 25%

P/S (TTM) 3.82× · Priciest 25%

EV/EBITDA 50.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 24

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 29

PAST (return on equity)9 · sector 30

HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 95

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY	$86.07	$49.20	−43%
AutoZone, Inc AZO	$2,872	$2,468	−14%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330	367,500 KRW	638,183 KRW	+74%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660	¥52.47	¥78.11	+49%
Knorr-Bremse AG KBX	€107.70	€72.88	−32%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON	₹165.71	₹96.97	−41%
Genuine Parts Company GPC	$126.95	$57.98	−54%
Magna International Inc MGA	$65.00	$69.37	+7%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD	₹48,250	₹25,213	−48%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689	¥46.44	¥28.28	−39%

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Uravi Defence and Technology Limited · Fair Value
₹14.79 −86%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/URAVIDEF" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Uravi Defence and Technology Limited · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">₹14.79</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−86%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Uravi Defence and Technology Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/URAVIDEF

Frequently asked questions

Is Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹14.79 versus a price of ₹103.00, about −86% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of URAVIDEF?

Our model-based fair value for Uravi Defence and Technology Limited is ₹14.79 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹103.00.

What is the quality score of URAVIDEF?

Uravi Defence and Technology Limited has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹14.79 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹10.35, optimistic scenario ₹19.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Uravi Defence and Technology Limited stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ₹14.79, about −86% upside versus a price of ₹103.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹10.35, optimistic scenario ₹19.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

Uravi Defence and Technology Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹386M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Uravi Defence and Technology Limited it is ₹14.79 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹103.00. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Uravi Defence and Technology Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, URAVIDEF trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹103.00, fair value ₹14.79, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of URAVIDEF?

No. The price is what the market pays today (₹103.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹14.79). For Uravi Defence and Technology Limited the two are ₹88.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Uravi Defence and Technology Limited worth?

The market values Uravi Defence and Technology Limited at about ₹1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹103.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹14.79 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about URAVIDEF?

Our models span a range for Uravi Defence and Technology Limited: cautious scenario ₹10.35, base ₹14.79, optimistic ₹19.22 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹103.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of URAVIDEF?

Uravi Defence and Technology Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 107.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹14.79 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.9, P/S 3.8, EV/EBITDA 50.9.

How solid is the balance sheet of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

Balance-sheet figures for Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 2.2%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is URAVIDEF from its 52-week high?

Uravi Defence and Technology Limited trades at ₹103.00, about 60% below its 52-week high of ₹257.78 and at the low of ₹102.50 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹14.79 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Uravi Defence and Technology Limited?

From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Uravi Defence and Technology Limited stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹103.00, calculated fair value ₹14.79 (−86%), Quality Score 30/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of URAVIDEF calculated?

We run Uravi Defence and Technology Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹14.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Uravi Defence and Technology Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹103.00. Our model-based fair value is ₹14.79, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Uravi Defence and Technology Limited right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹19.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹10.35 to ₹19.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

The market capitalisation of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited is ₹1.5B (≈ $15.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited is 2.90 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

Earnings per share at Uravi Defence and Technology Limited are ₹0.9600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 107.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

The net margin of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited is 2.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

The operating margin of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited is −3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

Revenue at Uravi Defence and Technology Limited is growing −13.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF)?

Earnings per share at Uravi Defence and Technology Limited are growing −33.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF) generate?

The free cash flow of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited is −₹16.3M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Uravi Defence and Technology Limited (URAVIDEF) carry?

The net debt of Uravi Defence and Technology Limited is ₹215M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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