U.S. Energy Corp (USEG) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $51.6M
U.S. Energy Corp
USEG · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +9.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3910). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (17/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.1955 to $0.3910) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.6900 – $7.47 · fair‑value band $0.1955 – $0.3910 · the $1.21 price screens above the $0.2635 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
U.S. Energy Corp (USEG) currently trades at $1.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2635, implying the stock looks roughly 78.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $6.2M. Revenue declined 27.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -40.1%. Net debt stands at $2.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1955 (bear case) to $0.3910 (bull case); at $1.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at -78%, USEG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 20 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
U.S. Energy Corp., an independent energy company, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, and development of industrial gas, and oil and natural gas properties in the continental United States.
Full company description
U.S. Energy Corp., an independent energy company, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, and development of industrial gas, and oil and natural gas properties in the continental United States. The company's principal properties and operations are located in the Rockies region, including Montana and Wyoming; the Mid-Continent region comprising Oklahoma, and North and East Texas; West Texas; South Texas; and the Gulf Coast regions. U.S. Energy Corp. was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
U.S. Energy Corp reported revenue of $7.4M in FY2025 versus $6.2M in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$14.4M in FY2025.
USEG screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Arabian Oil Company →
Peer Group
Energy · 1218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Energy median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Energy stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 | 26.72 SAR | 20.14 SAR | -25% |
| PetroChina Company 601857 | ¥10.29 | ¥16.51 | +60% |
| Shell plc SHELL | 854.00 CZK | 1,073 CZK | +26% |
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PETR3 | 12,540 ARS | 30,914 ARS | +147% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹3,157 | ₹901.17 | -71% |
| Oil and Natural Gas Corporation ONGC | ₹244.96 | ₹490.40 | +100% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹427.65 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
| YPF Sociedad Anónima, an energy company, YPFD | 76,675 ARS | 43,512 ARS | -43% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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