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UNITIL Corporation (UTL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of UNITIL Corporation $41.72, price $50.85, upside -18.0%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · US · ISIN US9132591077

UC UNITIL Corporation logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

UNITIL Corporation

UTL · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $41.72 · Overvalued (−18%)
!Quality 33/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +8.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.6% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·3.59% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Moderate moat 55/100
!Insider activity 38/100
!Weak on valuation: 9 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$58.78 $35.35 Fair Value $41.72 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $35.35 – $58.78 · fair‑value band $29.20 – $54.24 · the $50.85 price screens above the $41.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Unitil Corporation, a public utility holding company, engages in the distribution of electricity and natural gas. It operates through two segments, Utility Electric Operations and Utility Gas Operations.

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Unitil Corporation, a public utility holding company, engages in the distribution of electricity and natural gas. It operates through two segments, Utility Electric Operations and Utility Gas Operations. The company distributes electricity in the southeastern seacoast and state capital regions of New Hampshire, and the greater Fitchburg area of north central Massachusetts; and distributes natural gas in southeastern New Hampshire and portions of southern and central Maine, including the city of Portland and the Lewiston-Auburn area; greater Bangor area of central Maine; and capital city of Augusta, as well as electricity and natural gas in the greater Fitchburg area of north central Massachusetts. It also operates 85 miles of interstate underground natural gas transmission pipeline that provides interstate natural gas pipeline access and transportation services primarily in Maine and New Hampshire. In addition, the company provides real estate management services. It serves approximately 110,100 electric customers and 105,000 natural gas customers. Unitil Corporation was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Hampton, New Hampshire.

Stock analysis

UNITIL Corporation (UTL) currently trades at $50.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $41.72, implying the stock looks roughly 21.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $47.44 per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the $50.85 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $9.11, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $29.20 (bear) to $54.24 (bull), the price of $50.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

UNITIL Corporation reported revenue of $536M in FY2025 versus $473M in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $50.2M in FY2025, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $981M · P/E ratio 16.2 · P/S ratio 1.52 · EPS (TTM) $3.13 · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 9.4% · Return on equity 9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −18%, UTL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $29.20 Fair Value $41.72 Bull $54.24
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.9546 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $26.70 $28.05 $29.78 76
EPV $3.90 $9.11 $13.45 69
ROIC Compounder $3.90 $9.11 $13.45 69
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $18.97 $46.44 $60.09 65
PEG = 1.0 $8.32 $11.89 $15.45 57
EPV $3.90 $9.11 $13.45 69
Multiples
P/E Multiple $37.67 $50.23 $62.78 63
P/S Multiple $35.58 $47.44 $59.29 58
P/B Multiple $35.58 $47.44 $59.29 55
EV/EBIT $28.99 $50.08 $71.18 64
EV/EBITDA $44.87 $71.26 $97.65 66
EV/Revenue $16.89 $38.83 $60.77 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.94 $22.70 $33.88 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.70 $28.05 $29.78 76
ROIC Compounder $3.90 $9.11 $13.45 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $29.20 $41.72 $54.24 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 25
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+9.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4% vs 4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 19%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

UTL screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −19% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.04× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.61× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.69× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.37× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)9 · sector 3
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 6
PAST (return on equity)38 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)48 · sector 49
DIVIDEND (yield)72 · sector 83

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Iberdrola, S.A IBE €20.37 €10.04 −51%
Enel SpA ENEL €8.92 €3.30 −63%
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Sempra SRE $80.98 $43.35 −46%
E.ON SE EOAN €17.47 €9.09 −48%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and RWE €60.38 €47.21 −22%
ACWA Power Company 2082 172.50 SAR 27.47 SAR −84%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIP $35.78 $42.92 +20%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €68.00 €21.11 −69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.86 €3.81 −22%

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UNITIL Corporation · Fair Value
$41.72 −22%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UNITIL Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UTL

Frequently asked questions

Is UNITIL Corporation (UTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $41.72 versus a price of $50.85, about −18% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UTL?
Our model-based fair value for UNITIL Corporation is $41.72 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $50.85.
What is the quality score of UTL?
UNITIL Corporation has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $41.72 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $29.20, optimistic scenario $54.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the UNITIL Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $41.72, about −18% upside versus a price of $50.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $29.20, optimistic scenario $54.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
UNITIL Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $582M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does UNITIL Corporation pay a dividend?
UNITIL Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.59% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For UNITIL Corporation it is $41.72 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $50.85. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is UNITIL Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, UTL trades above its calculated fair value: price $50.85, fair value $41.72, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UTL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($50.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($41.72). For UNITIL Corporation the two are $9.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is UNITIL Corporation worth?
The market values UNITIL Corporation at about $981M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $50.85; our models calculate a fair value of $41.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UTL?
Our models span a range for UNITIL Corporation: cautious scenario $29.20, base $41.72, optimistic $54.24 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $50.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of UTL?
UNITIL Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $41.72 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.4, P/B 1.6, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 7.9.
What is the PEG ratio of UTL?
The PEG ratio of UNITIL Corporation is 3.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
Balance-sheet figures for UNITIL Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 9.6%, debt of 1.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UTL from its 52-week high?
UNITIL Corporation trades at $50.85, about 9% below its 52-week high of $55.99 and 14% above the low of $44.64 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $41.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to UNITIL Corporation?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Iberdrola, S.A, Enel SpA, Engie SA, Sempra, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is UNITIL Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $50.85, calculated fair value $41.72 (−18%), Quality Score 33/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UTL calculated?
We run UNITIL Corporation through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $41.72, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. UNITIL Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $50.85. Our model-based fair value is $41.72, about −18% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with UNITIL Corporation right now?
Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($29.20 to $54.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of UNITIL Corporation (UTL) come from?
Earnings per share at UNITIL Corporation grew +4.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.8 %, EBIT margin +1.6 %, tax rate +2.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of UNITIL Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The market capitalisation of UNITIL Corporation is $981M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of UNITIL Corporation is 1.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
Earnings per share at UNITIL Corporation are $3.13 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The dividend yield of UNITIL Corporation is 3.6% (payout 58.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The net margin of UNITIL Corporation is 9.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of UNITIL Corporation is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of UNITIL Corporation is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The operating margin of UNITIL Corporation is 26.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
Revenue at UNITIL Corporation is growing +27.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
Earnings per share at UNITIL Corporation are growing +9.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does UNITIL Corporation (UTL) generate?
The free cash flow of UNITIL Corporation is −$53.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does UNITIL Corporation (UTL) carry?
The net debt of UNITIL Corporation is $923M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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