Unitil Corporation (UTL) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $981M
Unitil Corporation
UTL · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +2.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 22% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($29.20 to $54.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $35.35 – $58.78 · fair‑value band $29.20 – $54.24 · the $53.73 price screens above the $41.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Unitil Corporation (UTL) currently trades at $53.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $41.72, implying the stock looks roughly 22.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Unitil Corporation generated revenue of $582M at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue grew 27.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at $923M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $29.20 (bear case) to $54.24 (bull case); at $53.73, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -22%, UTL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($47.44) versus Economic Profit ($9.11). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Unitil Corporation, a public utility holding company, engages in the distribution of electricity and natural gas. It operates through two segments, Utility Electric Operations and Utility Gas Operations.
Full company description
Unitil Corporation, a public utility holding company, engages in the distribution of electricity and natural gas. It operates through two segments, Utility Electric Operations and Utility Gas Operations. The company distributes electricity in the southeastern seacoast and state capital regions of New Hampshire, and the greater Fitchburg area of north central Massachusetts; and distributes natural gas in southeastern New Hampshire and portions of southern and central Maine, including the city of Portland and the Lewiston-Auburn area; greater Bangor area of central Maine; and capital city of Augusta, as well as electricity and natural gas in the greater Fitchburg area of north central Massachusetts. It also operates 85 miles of interstate underground natural gas transmission pipeline that provides interstate natural gas pipeline access and transportation services primarily in Maine and New Hampshire. In addition, the company provides real estate management services. It serves approximately 110,100 electric customers and 105,000 natural gas customers. Unitil Corporation was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Hampton, New Hampshire.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Unitil Corporation reported revenue of $536M in FY2025 versus $473M in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $50.2M in FY2025, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2021.
UTL screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Unitil Schedules Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call
- What Makes Unitil (UTL) an Investment Opportunity Beyond the Technology Sector?
- Unitil Completes Purchase of Two Water Companies in New Hampshire from the Aquarion Water Authority
- Unitil (UTL) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
Peer Group
Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 38/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iberdrola, S.A IBE | €21.25 | €9.34 | -56% |
| Enel SpA ENEL | €10.28 | €5.83 | -43% |
| Engie SA 1ENGI | €26.59 | €17.39 | -35% |
| Sempra SRE | $93.15 | $47.77 | -49% |
| E.ON SE EOAN | €19.34 | €11.71 | -39% |
| RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE | €56.52 | €29.64 | -48% |
| ACWA Power Company 2082 | 198.20 SAR | 25.38 SAR | -87% |
| Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN | C$55.05 | C$17.66 | -68% |
| EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK | €69.00 | €21.11 | -69% |
| EDP, S.A EDP | €4.41 | €3.81 | -14% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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