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UNITIL Corporation (UTL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of UNITIL Corporation stock $29.41, price $56.38, that is 47.8% below the price, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities US

UC UNITIL Corporation logo Broad data Nov 4, 2026

UNITIL Corporation

UTL · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 48% below what the stock costs today.

Upbeat coverage
Broad data
Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +8.3 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 9.5% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
3.3% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 47/100 · thin data
Fair value $29.41 · Strongly overvalued (−47.8%)
Quality 38/100
Negative free cash flow
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$58.27 $35.04 Fair Value $29.41 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $35.04 – $58.27 · fair‑value band $27.57 – $36.38 · the $56.38 price screens above the $29.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Unitil Corporation, a public utility holding company, engages in the distribution of electricity and natural gas. It operates through two segments, Utility Electric Operations and Utility Gas Operations.

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The company distributes electricity in the southeastern seacoast and state capital regions of New Hampshire, and the greater Fitchburg area of north central Massachusetts; and distributes natural gas in southeastern New Hampshire and portions of southern and central Maine, including the city of Portland and the Lewiston-Auburn area; greater Bangor area of central Maine; and capital city of Augusta, as well as electricity and natural gas in the greater Fitchburg area of north central Massachusetts.

It also operates 85 miles of interstate underground natural gas transmission pipeline that provides interstate natural gas pipeline access and transportation services primarily in Maine and New Hampshire. In addition, the company provides real estate management services.

It serves approximately 110,100 electric customers and 105,000 natural gas customers. Unitil Corporation was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Hampton, New Hampshire.

Stock analysis

UNITIL Corporation (UTL) currently trades at $56.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.41, 48% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $48.18 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the $56.38 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $14.10, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $27.57 (bear) to $36.38 (bull), the price of $56.38 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

UNITIL Corporation reported revenue of $536M in FY2025 versus $473M in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $50.2M in FY2025, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $1.0B Small · P/E ratio 18.2 · P/S ratio 1.69 · EPS (TTM) $3.10 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 9.5% · Return on equity 9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −48%, UTL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $27.57 Fair Value $29.41 Bull $36.38
Price $56.38 · Downside -47.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.07 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $27.57 $29.41 $32.71 76
EPV $7.75 $14.10 $19.53 71
ROIC Compounder $7.75 $14.10 $19.53 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $18.72 $45.81 $59.28 65
PEG = 1.0 $8.21 $11.73 $15.24 57
EPV $7.75 $14.10 $19.53 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $14.10 $24.35 $36.38 67
DDM Multi-Stage $14.10 $20.62 $27.28 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $37.16 $49.55 $61.94 63
P/S Multiple $35.10 $46.80 $58.49 58
P/B Multiple $43.65 $58.20 $72.75 55
EV/EBIT $11.81 $32.62 $53.43 61
EV/EBITDA $27.48 $53.51 $79.55 64
EV/Revenue n/a $21.52 $43.16 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.60 $22.24 $33.19 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $27.57 $29.41 $32.71 76
ROIC Compounder $7.75 $14.10 $19.53 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $28.81 $41.16 $53.50 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 28
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 46
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 16
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 34
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 94
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 54
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 78
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 54
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 5 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+9.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.0% vs 4.2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 19%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

UTL screens overvalued: fair value 48% below the price. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (79 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Diversified · 49 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −47.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 9.6% · Above median
Return on assets 2.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 9.5% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 14.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 14.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 18.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.66× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 1.69× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.37× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)70 · sector 43
PAST (return on equity)38 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)48 · sector 48
DIVIDEND (yield)66 · sector 82

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Engie SA ENGI €24.20 €20.64 −15% vs UTL
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and RWE €57.64 €43.47 −25% vs UTL
Enel SpA ENEL €9.69 €5.94 −39% vs UTL
Sempra SRE $78.17 $43.34 −45% vs UTL
EDP, S.A EDP €5.00 €2.67 −47% vs UTL
E.ON SE EOAN €19.09 €8.96 −53% vs UTL
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €22.65 €10.28 −55% vs UTL
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIP $39.45 $17.67 −55% vs UTL
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €66.80 €21.11 −68% vs UTL
ACWA Power Company 2082 153.80 SAR 27.47 SAR −82% vs UTL

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UNITIL Corporation: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UNITIL Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UTL

Frequently asked questions

Is UNITIL Corporation (UTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $29.41 versus a price of $56.38, about 48% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UTL?
Our model-based fair value for UNITIL Corporation is $29.41 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $56.38.
What is the quality score of UTL?
UNITIL Corporation has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $29.41 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $27.57, optimistic scenario $36.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the UNITIL Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $29.41, about 48% lower versus a price of $56.38 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $27.57, optimistic scenario $36.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
UNITIL Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $596M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does UNITIL Corporation pay a dividend?
UNITIL Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 3.28% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of UNITIL Corporation (UTL) and when is the ex-dividend date?
UNITIL Corporation pays a dividend of $1.85 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.3%. The next ex-dividend date is Nov 13, 2026, with payment on Nov 30, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1985. The payout ratio is 59.7% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For UNITIL Corporation it is $29.41 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $56.38. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is UNITIL Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, UTL trades above its calculated fair value: price $56.38, fair value $29.41, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UTL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($56.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($29.41). For UNITIL Corporation the two are $26.97 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is UNITIL Corporation worth?
The market values UNITIL Corporation at about $1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $56.38; our models calculate a fair value of $29.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UTL?
Our models span a range for UNITIL Corporation: cautious scenario $27.57, base $29.41, optimistic $36.38 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $56.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of UTL?
UNITIL Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.2 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $29.41 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2019 ex one-offs: 20.2. Other multiples: PEG 3.4, P/B 1.7, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 7.9.
What is the PEG ratio of UTL?
The PEG ratio of UNITIL Corporation is 3.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
Balance-sheet figures for UNITIL Corporation (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 9.6%, debt of 1.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UTL from its 52-week high?
UNITIL Corporation trades at $56.38, at its 52-week high of $56.60 and 23% above the low of $45.85 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $29.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to UNITIL Corporation?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Iberdrola, S.A, Enel SpA, Engie SA, E.ON SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is UNITIL Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $56.38, calculated fair value $29.41 (−48%), Quality Score 38/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UTL calculated?
We run UNITIL Corporation through 15 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $29.41 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. UNITIL Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $56.38. Our model-based fair value is $29.41, about 48% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with UNITIL Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($36.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of UNITIL Corporation (UTL) come from?
Earnings per share at UNITIL Corporation grew +4.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.8 %, EBIT margin +1.6 %, tax rate +2.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of UNITIL Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The market capitalisation of UNITIL Corporation is $1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of UNITIL Corporation is 1.69 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
Earnings per share at UNITIL Corporation are $3.10 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The dividend yield of UNITIL Corporation is 3.3% (payout 59.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The net margin of UNITIL Corporation is 9.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of UNITIL Corporation is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of UNITIL Corporation is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
The operating margin of UNITIL Corporation is 14.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
Revenue at UNITIL Corporation is growing +14.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at UNITIL Corporation (UTL)?
Earnings per share at UNITIL Corporation are growing +5.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does UNITIL Corporation (UTL) generate?
The free cash flow of UNITIL Corporation is −$53.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does UNITIL Corporation (UTL) carry?
The net debt of UNITIL Corporation is $923M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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