Utron Ltd (UTRN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Utron Ltd ILS 5.45, price ILS 4.96, upside +10.0%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.92 ILA – 10.88 ILA · fair‑value band 3.81 ILA – 7.09 ILA · the 4.96 ILA price screens below the 5.45 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Utron Ltd provides autonomous parking solutions in Israel.
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Utron Ltd provides autonomous parking solutions in Israel. The company offers shuttle and conveyor automated parking solutions, and EV charging for automated and semi-automated parking; puzzle and stacker parking system; Utron Smart, which provides tools to users, as well as management tools for garage management; AI and data analysis; and parking solutions consulting, support packages, and modifications and upgrades. It also provides automated storage and retrieval systems, conveyor and transport systems, order fulfillment and picking systems, and automated palletizing systems; add-on solutions, including picking station screens, management screens, data management, warehouse real-time map, and custom HMI. In addition, the company offers logistics solutions consulting, detail design, and system integration services. It serves mixed use, residential, healthcare, retail, airports, 3PL, pharmaceutical, retail, deep freeze, specialty loads, e-commerce, food and beverage, and general manufacturing industries. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Airport City, Israel.
Stock analysis
Utron Ltd (UTRN) currently trades at 4.96 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.45 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 5.92 ILA per share, and 7 of the 20 models we run sit above the 4.96 ILA price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 1.11 ILA, and 13 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 3.81 ILA (bear) to 7.09 ILA (bull), the price of 4.96 ILA sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Utron Ltd reported revenue of 113M ILA in FY2025 versus 79.0M ILA in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was 3.4M ILA in FY2025, compounding +32.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 102M ILA · P/E ratio 93.5 · P/S ratio 2.81 · EPS (TTM) 0.0530 ILA · Net margin 3.0% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9% · Operating margin 2.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 10%, UTRN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 3.81 ILAFair Value 5.45 ILABull 7.09 ILA
Price 4.96 ILA · Upside +10.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0404 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.6% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +1.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−57% → 2%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 230% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 350 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Above median
Fair Value upside+10.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.0% · Above median
Return on assets1.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.20× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Utron Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UTRN
Frequently asked questions
Is Utron Ltd (UTRN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.45 ILA versus a price of 4.96 ILA, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of UTRN?
Our model-based fair value for Utron Ltd is 5.45 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4.96 ILA.
What is the quality score of UTRN?
Utron Ltd has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5.45 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.81 ILA, optimistic scenario 7.09 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Utron Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5.45 ILA, about +10% upside versus a price of 4.96 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 3.81 ILA, optimistic scenario 7.09 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
Utron Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 115M ILS (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Utron Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +0.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +21.4 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of UTRN use?
Our models discount Utron Ltd at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.02, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Utron Ltd that is +0.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Utron Ltd (UTRN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Utron Ltd grew +21.4 % a year. The price currently implies +0.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Utron Ltd (UTRN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Utron Ltd (+0.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.70 %: that much free cash flow Utron Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Utron Ltd it is 5.45 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 4.96 ILA. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Utron Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, UTRN trades below its calculated fair value: price 4.96 ILA, fair value 5.45 ILA, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UTRN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4.96 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5.45 ILA). For Utron Ltd the two are 0.4960 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Utron Ltd worth?
The market values Utron Ltd at about 102M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 4.96 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 5.45 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UTRN?
Our models span a range for Utron Ltd: cautious scenario 3.81 ILA, base 5.45 ILA, optimistic 7.09 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 4.96 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of UTRN?
Utron Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 93.5 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 5.45 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 53.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Utron Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 2.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UTRN from its 52-week high?
Utron Ltd trades at 4.96 ILA, about 8% below its 52-week high of 5.40 ILA and 13% above the low of 4.37 ILA (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5.45 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Utron Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Utron Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 4.96 ILA, calculated fair value 5.45 ILA (+10%), Quality Score 65/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UTRN calculated?
We run Utron Ltd through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5.45 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Utron Ltd currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 4.96 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 5.45 ILA, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Utron Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (3.81 ILA to 7.09 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Utron Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
The market capitalisation of Utron Ltd is 102M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Utron Ltd is 2.81 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
Earnings per share at Utron Ltd are 0.0530 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 93.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
The net margin of Utron Ltd is 3.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Utron Ltd is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Utron Ltd is 1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
The operating margin of Utron Ltd is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
Revenue at Utron Ltd is growing +2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Utron Ltd (UTRN)?
Earnings per share at Utron Ltd are growing −11.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Utron Ltd (UTRN) hold?
Utron Ltd holds more cash than debt, 14.0M ILA net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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