Vibra Energia S.A (VBREY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $7.9B
Vibra Energia S.A
VBREY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from $12.77 to $11.15 (−12.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +8.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from $8.34 (bear) to $13.90 (bull), base $11.15. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (16 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
16‑month range $5.18 – $14.30 · fair‑value band $8.34 – $13.90 · the $13.72 price screens above the $11.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Vibra Energia S.A (VBREY) currently trades at $13.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.15, implying the stock looks roughly 18.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Vibra Energia S.A generated revenue of $192B at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. Net debt stands at $18.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $8.34 (bear case) to $13.90 (bull case); at $13.72, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -19%, VBREY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($98.70) versus Earnings-Based ($17.42). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vibra Energia S.A. manufactures, processes, distributes, trades in, transports, imports, and exports oil-based products, lubricants, and other fuels. It operates in Gas Station Network, B2B, and Renewable segments. The company markets petroleum-derived fuels, lubricants, vehicular natural gas, biofuels, and convenience products.
Full company description
Vibra Energia S.A. manufactures, processes, distributes, trades in, transports, imports, and exports oil-based products, lubricants, and other fuels. It operates in Gas Station Network, B2B, and Renewable segments. The company markets petroleum-derived fuels, lubricants, vehicular natural gas, biofuels, and convenience products. It also sells fuels and lubricants, and provides associated services to its consumer's market, as well as markets aviation products and services at Brazil's airport facilities. The company was incorporated in 1971 and is based in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vibra Energia S.A reported revenue of $189B in FY2025 versus $181B in FY2022, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was $2.0B in FY2025, compounding +8.8%/yr from FY2022.
VBREY screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Casey's General Stores, Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $827.04 | $405.44 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $222.84 | $164.16 | -26% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $479.57 | $488.39 | +2% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $208.89 | $181.10 | -13% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.98 | $109.12 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥52.90 | ¥40.40 | -24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $31.01 | $35.52 | +15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $618.57 | $423.35 | -32% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $197.71 | $117.29 | -41% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 110.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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