Vizsla Copper Corp (VCU) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$107M
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +6.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.2465). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (C$0.1275 to C$0.2465) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range C$0.5000 – C$19.25 · fair‑value band C$0.1275 – C$0.2465 · the C$1.21 price screens above the C$0.1700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Vizsla Copper Corp (VCU) currently trades at C$1.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1700, implying the stock looks roughly 86.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
It earns a return on equity of -18.9%. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.1275 (bear case) to C$0.2465 (bull case); at C$1.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -86%, VCU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vizsla Copper Corp., a mineral exploration company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Canada. The company explores copper, gold, and molybdenum deposits. Its flagship project is the Woodjam covering an area of 90,163 hectares located in Quesnel terrrane in South-Central British Columbia. Vizsla Copper Corp.
Full company description
Vizsla Copper Corp., a mineral exploration company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Canada. The company explores copper, gold, and molybdenum deposits. Its flagship project is the Woodjam covering an area of 90,163 hectares located in Quesnel terrrane in South-Central British Columbia. Vizsla Copper Corp. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vizsla Copper Corp reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$4.2M in FY2025.
VCU screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →
Peer Group
Copper · 59 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Copper Corporation SCCO | $194.89 | $85.17 | -56% |
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX | $69.22 | $22.81 | -67% |
| Lundin Mining Corporation LUN | C$36.91 | C$18.67 | -49% |
| Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 | ¥46.47 | ¥35.19 | -24% |
| Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 | ¥6.63 | ¥3.06 | -54% |
| Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM | C$38.79 | C$21.25 | -45% |
| Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 | ¥19.38 | ¥6.39 | -67% |
| Capstone Copper Corp CSC | A$15.85 | A$7.28 | -54% |
| Yunnan Copper Co 000878 | ¥16.68 | ¥7.46 | -55% |
| Sandfire Resources Limited SFR | A$21.57 | A$3.39 | -84% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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