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VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 13, 2026: fair value of VIDA Global Inc. $0.27, price $1.20, upside -77.5%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · ISIN US92649G1085

VG VIDA Global Inc. logo Thin data Oct 4, 2026

VIDA Global Inc.

VIDA · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 78% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 46/100
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +3728.5 %/yr in USD)
Fair value $0.2700 · Strongly overvalued (−77.5%)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 4/100 · thin data
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$5.59 $1.20 Fair Value $0.2700 May 2026 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

5‑month range $1.20 – $5.59 · fair‑value band $0.1800 – $0.3300 · the $1.20 price screens above the $0.2700 fair value. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

VIDA Global Inc. designs and develops AI agent operating system for enterprises. The company offers a platform to build, deploy, and manage omnichannel AI agents that handle communications via call, text, email, and chat, and manage business workflows.

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VIDA Global Inc. designs and develops AI agent operating system for enterprises. The company offers a platform to build, deploy, and manage omnichannel AI agents that handle communications via call, text, email, and chat, and manage business workflows. Its services include inbound phone reception, knowledge and FAQ handling, payment processing, CRM hygiene, call routing, and customer follow-up. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Cedar Park, Texas with an additional office in Austin, Texas.

Stock analysis

VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA) currently trades at $1.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2700, 77.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.1800 (bear) to $0.3300 (bull), the price of $1.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

VIDA Global Inc. reported revenue of $551K in FY2025 versus $1.7M in FY2010, a compound −7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $31.8M · P/S ratio 29.7 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3400 · Return on equity −61.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −123% · Operating margin −453% · Revenue (TTM) $1.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) +344%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −78%, VIDA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1800 Fair Value $0.2700 Bull $0.3300
Price $1.20 · Upside -77.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.3200 $0.4300 $0.6400 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3200 $0.4300 $0.6400 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3,728.5%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,297.0% (2007) → −521.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

VIDA screens overvalued: fair value 78% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 652 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −36.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 344.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.46× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 29.66× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 41
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Adobe Inc ADBE $238.12 $454.04 +91% vs VIDA
Salesforce, Inc CRM $229.79 $342.73 +49% vs VIDA
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $71.50 $103.69 +45% vs VIDA
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $136.08 $149.69 +10% vs VIDA
SAP SE SAP €188.60 €172.46 −9% vs VIDA
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $352.84 $225.48 −36% vs VIDA
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $273.81 $150.01 −45% vs VIDA
Shopify Inc SHOP $170.85 $64.36 −62% vs VIDA
Snowflake Inc SNOW $360.37 $74.36 −79% vs VIDA
Datadog, Inc DDOG $293.26 $32.52 −89% vs VIDA

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VIDA Global Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VIDA

Frequently asked questions

Is VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2700 versus a price of $1.20, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VIDA?
Our model-based fair value for VIDA Global Inc. is $0.2700 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.20.
What is the quality score of VIDA?
VIDA Global Inc. has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2700 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1800, optimistic scenario $0.3300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the VIDA Global Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2700, about −78% upside versus a price of $1.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1800, optimistic scenario $0.3300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA)?
VIDA Global Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For VIDA Global Inc. it is $0.2700 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of $1.20. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is VIDA Global Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, VIDA trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.20, fair value $0.2700, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VIDA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2700). For VIDA Global Inc. the two are $0.9300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is VIDA Global Inc. worth?
The market values VIDA Global Inc. at about $31.8M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is $1.20; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VIDA?
Our models span a range for VIDA Global Inc.: cautious scenario $0.1800, base $0.2700, optimistic $0.3300 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price $1.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA)?
Balance-sheet figures for VIDA Global Inc. (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −61.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to VIDA Global Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is VIDA Global Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price $1.20, calculated fair value $0.2700 (−78%), Quality Score 46/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VIDA calculated?
We run VIDA Global Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. VIDA Global Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA)?
The closing price on Oct 13, 2026 was $1.20. Our model-based fair value is $0.2700, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with VIDA Global Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.1800 to $0.3300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of VIDA Global Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA)?
The market capitalisation of VIDA Global Inc. is $31.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of VIDA Global Inc. is 29.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA)?
Earnings per share at VIDA Global Inc. are $−0.3400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of VIDA Global Inc. is −61.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of VIDA Global Inc. is −123% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA)?
The operating margin of VIDA Global Inc. is −453% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA)?
Revenue at VIDA Global Inc. is growing +344% versus a year earlier (3y avg −31.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA) generate?
The free cash flow of VIDA Global Inc. is −$2.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does VIDA Global Inc. (VIDA) hold?
VIDA Global Inc. holds more cash than debt, $2.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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