Vincit Oyj (VINCIT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · FI · Market cap €14.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €2.00 to €1.98 (−1.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +3.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 108% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€1.43). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.8260 – €9.43 · fair‑value band €1.43 – €2.53 · the €0.9500 price screens below the €1.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Vincit Oyj (VINCIT) currently trades at €0.9500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.98, implying the stock looks roughly 108.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Vincit Oyj generated revenue of €66.1M at a net margin of -3.9%. Revenue declined 15.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.1%. Net debt stands at €3.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.43 (bear case) to €2.53 (bull case); at €0.9500, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 108%, VINCIT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€2.31) versus Dividend Discount (€1.09). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vincit Oyj provides service design and software development services in Finland, and internationally. The company offers Data and artificial intelligence advisory, data foundation, analytics and insights, and AI solutions; commerce consulting, omnichannel commerce, commercial data, and customer engagement; SAP cloud ERPs, business applications, extensions, …
Full company description
Vincit Oyj provides service design and software development services in Finland, and internationally. The company offers Data and artificial intelligence advisory, data foundation, analytics and insights, and AI solutions; commerce consulting, omnichannel commerce, commercial data, and customer engagement; SAP cloud ERPs, business applications, extensions, and integrations; and digital products and services. The company serves wholesale and retail, manufacturing, public sector, energy and utilities, digital platform economy, banking, finance, and insurance, and medical device industries. The company was formerly known as Vincit Group Oyj and changed its name to Vincit Oyj in May 2018. Vincit Oyj was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Tampere, Finland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vincit Oyj reported revenue of €69.1M in FY2025 versus €61.5M in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€2.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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