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Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited ₹83.21, price ₹179, upside -53.5%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · IN

VC Broad data Sep 27, 2026

Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited

VINCOFE · NSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹83.21 · Strongly overvalued (−53.5%)
!Quality 35/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +106.4 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!0.1% dividend yield · Token dividend
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Moderate moat 61/100
!Weak on dividend: 2 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹185.77 ₹77.56 Fair Value ₹83.21 Oct 2024 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

23‑month range ₹77.56 – ₹185.77 · fair‑value band ₹61.76 – ₹104.66 · the ₹178.95 price screens above the ₹83.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited, through its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the manufacture, export, and sale of coffee and beverage products in India and internationally. It also involved in dealing of information technology products.

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Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited, through its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the manufacture, export, and sale of coffee and beverage products in India and internationally. It also involved in dealing of information technology products. The company was formerly known as Spaceage Products Limited and changed its name to Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited in July 2021. Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Secunderabad, India.

Stock analysis

Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE) currently trades at ₹178.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹83.21, 53.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹226.85 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹178.95 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹26.18, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ₹61.76 (bear) to ₹104.66 (bull), the price of ₹178.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited reported revenue of ₹5.5B in FY2026 versus ₹366M in FY2022, a compound +97.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹722M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹26.0B (≈ $270M) · P/E ratio 36.1 · P/S ratio 4.71 · EPS (TTM) ₹4.96 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 13.1% · Return on equity 16.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −54%, VINCOFE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹61.76 Fair Value ₹83.21 Bull ₹104.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹2.44 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ₹38.07 ₹42.40 ₹45.90 74
Residual Income ₹32.87 ₹36.74 ₹48.03 71
EV/EBITDA ₹66.39 ₹87.83 ₹109.28 67
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹33.70 ₹234.99 ₹329.77 59
Lynch FV ₹121.40 ₹173.44 ₹225.47 57
PEG = 1.0 ₹121.40 ₹173.44 ₹225.47 53
EPV ₹38.07 ₹42.40 ₹45.90 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹0.6900 ₹1.16 ₹1.50 64
DDM Multi-Stage ₹0.6900 ₹1.10 ₹1.24 63
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹78.05 ₹104.06 ₹130.08 63
P/S Multiple ₹45.55 ₹60.74 ₹75.92 58
P/B Multiple ₹63.18 ₹84.24 ₹105.30 55
EV/EBIT ₹80.97 ₹107.28 ₹133.59 66
EV/EBITDA ₹66.39 ₹87.83 ₹109.28 67
EV/Revenue ₹41.90 ₹58.98 ₹76.07 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹19.54 ₹26.18 ₹39.07 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹32.87 ₹36.74 ₹48.03 71
ROIC Compounder ₹38.07 ₹46.80 ₹55.34 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹158.80 ₹226.85 ₹294.91 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+79.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+106.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +80.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+80.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−16% → 16%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2026, which sits 335% above its own trend.

VINCOFE screens overvalued: fair value 54% below the price. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 84 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −53.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 16.6% · Above median
Return on assets 9.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13.1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 16.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 57.2% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B 4.58× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 4.71× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 26.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)66 · sector 56
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)2 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

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10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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The Coca-Cola Company KO $86.84 $29.32 −66%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $126.72 $96.95 −23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $41.86 $46.05 +10%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$38.40 HK$42.24 +10%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP $102.87 $85.49 −17%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.03 $40.34 +30%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹434.65 ₹187.49 −57%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥110.83 ¥173.16 +56%
Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage Co 603156 ¥43.90 ¥17.77 −60%
Celsius Holdings CELH $27.99 $30.79 +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VINCOFE

Frequently asked questions

Is Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹83.21 versus a price of ₹178.95, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VINCOFE?
Our model-based fair value for Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited is ₹83.21 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹178.95.
What is the quality score of VINCOFE?
Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹83.21 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹61.76, optimistic scenario ₹104.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹83.21, about −54% upside versus a price of ₹178.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹61.76, optimistic scenario ₹104.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited pay a dividend?
Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.08% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited it is ₹83.21 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹178.95. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, VINCOFE trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹178.95, fair value ₹83.21, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VINCOFE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹178.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹83.21). For Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited the two are ₹95.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited worth?
The market values Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited at about ₹26.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹178.95; our models calculate a fair value of ₹83.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VINCOFE?
Our models span a range for Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited: cautious scenario ₹61.76, base ₹83.21, optimistic ₹104.66 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹178.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VINCOFE?
Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹83.21 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.6, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 26.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 16.6%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VINCOFE from its 52-week high?
Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited trades at ₹178.95, about 4% below its 52-week high of ₹185.77 and 46% above the low of ₹122.35 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹83.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹178.95, calculated fair value ₹83.21 (−54%), Quality Score 35/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VINCOFE calculated?
We run Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹83.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹178.95. Our model-based fair value is ₹83.21, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹104.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
The market capitalisation of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited is ₹26.0B (≈ $270M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited is 4.71 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
Earnings per share at Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited are ₹4.96 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
The dividend yield of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited is 0.1% (payout 3.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
The net margin of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited is 13.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited is 16.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
The operating margin of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
Revenue at Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited is growing +57.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +106%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE)?
Earnings per share at Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited are growing +16.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE) generate?
The free cash flow of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited is −₹1.4B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited (VINCOFE) carry?
The net debt of Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited is ₹376M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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