Viva Wine Group (VIVA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · SE · Market cap 3.4B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from kr 46.57 to kr 39.52 (−15.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 29.45 to kr 54.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range kr 25.76 – kr 52.56 · fair‑value band kr 29.45 – kr 54.14 · the kr 38.20 price screens below the kr 39.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Viva Wine Group (VIVA) currently trades at kr 38.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 39.52, implying the stock looks roughly 3.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Viva Wine Group generated revenue of 6.0B SEK at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 51.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.8%. Net debt stands at 1.3B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 29.45 (bear case) to kr 54.14 (bull case); at kr 38.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 3%, VIVA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 53.96) versus Asset-Based (kr 12.07). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Viva Wine Group AB develops, markets, imports, and sells wines. The company operates through B2B and B2C segments. It Vicampo, Weinfürst, and Wine in Black. The company also operates e-commerce platforms that sell wine directly to consumers. It serves consumers, wholesalers, hotels, and restaurants.
Full company description
Viva Wine Group AB develops, markets, imports, and sells wines. The company operates through B2B and B2C segments. It Vicampo, Weinfürst, and Wine in Black. The company also operates e-commerce platforms that sell wine directly to consumers. It serves consumers, wholesalers, hotels, and restaurants. It operates in Sweden, Finland, Norway, Germany, the Czech Republic, Switzerland, Austria, France, the Netherlands, Italy, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, and Bulgaria, and internationally. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Viva Wine Group reported revenue of kr 5.5B in FY2025 versus kr 3.3B in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was kr 207M in FY2025, compounding −15.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,251 | ¥1,238 | -1% |
| Diageo plc DEON | 1,487 MXN | 1,239 MXN | -17% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥73.69 | ¥48.44 | -34% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥110.50 | ¥185.80 | +68% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €65.24 | €76.68 | +18% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥83.12 | ¥149.17 | +79% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $26.60 | $28.15 | +6% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,376 | ₹440.56 | -68% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4450 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +55% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥38.08 | ¥27.82 | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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