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Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS TRY 4.38, price TRY 1.69, upside +159.2%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Real Estate · TR · ISIN TRAVKGYO91Q3

VG Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS

VKGYO · IS

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value 4.38 TRY · Strongly undervalued (+159.2%)
!Quality 54/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +217.7 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 26.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Moderate moat 61/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 6 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

2.37 TRY 0.3604 TRY Fair Value 4.38 TRY Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.3604 TRY – 2.37 TRY · fair‑value band 3.13 TRY – 6.34 TRY · the 1.69 TRY price screens below the 4.38 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is a real estate investment trust. Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is based in Turkey. Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS operates as a subsidiary of Türkiye Vakiflar Bankasi Türk Anonim Ortakligi.

Stock analysis

Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO) currently trades at 1.69 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.38 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 61.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 9.25 TRY per share, and 13 of the 13 models we run sit above the 1.69 TRY price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 3.40 TRY, and 0 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 3.13 TRY (bear) to 6.34 TRY (bull), the price of 1.69 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported revenue of 2.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 248M TRY in FY2021, a compound +81.2%/yr. Reported net income was 781M TRY in FY2025, compounding +13.2%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 8.6B TRY (≈ $175M) · P/E ratio 21.1 · P/S ratio 6.17 · EPS (TTM) 0.0800 TRY · Net margin 29.2% · Return on equity 1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4% · Operating margin 174%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 159%, VKGYO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 3.13 TRY Fair Value 4.38 TRY Bull 6.34 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0592 TRY per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 6.37 TRY 8.63 TRY 15.24 TRY 76
Growth DCF 6.01 TRY 9.25 TRY 14.32 TRY 75
5Y EBITDA Exit 5.39 TRY 8.44 TRY 14.39 TRY 71
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 6.37 TRY 8.63 TRY 15.24 TRY 76
5Y Revenue Exit 4.76 TRY 7.16 TRY 12.15 TRY 69
5Y EBITDA Exit 5.39 TRY 8.44 TRY 14.39 TRY 71
10Y Revenue Exit 5.25 TRY 9.31 TRY 11.52 TRY 65
10Y EBITDA Exit 5.74 TRY 10.47 TRY 18.29 TRY 64
Multiples
P/S Multiple 2.26 TRY 3.02 TRY 3.77 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 2.26 TRY 3.02 TRY 3.77 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 6.04 TRY 7.80 TRY 9.57 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 4.85 TRY 6.21 TRY 7.58 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 3.66 TRY 4.91 TRY 6.16 TRY 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.79 TRY 3.74 TRY 5.58 TRY 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 6.01 TRY 9.25 TRY 14.32 TRY 75
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3.65 TRY 3.40 TRY 3.35 TRY 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+217.7%
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+51.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+32.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+32.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 53%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−26.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −38.4% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 153 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Below median
Fair Value upside +159.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Return on assets 0.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 26.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 173.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 77.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.35× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 6.21× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 11.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.43× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)6 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 75
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 100

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Broadstone Net Lease, Inc BNL $18.91 $19.39 +3%
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.35 MYR 6.91 MYR −17%
T82U T82U 1.35 SGD 1.02 SGD −24%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VKGYO

Frequently asked questions

Is Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.38 TRY versus a price of 1.69 TRY, about +159% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VKGYO?
Our model-based fair value for Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 4.38 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.69 TRY.
What is the quality score of VKGYO?
Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4.38 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.13 TRY, optimistic scenario 6.34 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4.38 TRY, about +159% upside versus a price of 1.69 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 3.13 TRY, optimistic scenario 6.34 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS would have to grow free cash flow by -26.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +102.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VKGYO use?
Our models discount Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS at 15.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.01, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS that is -26.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS grew +102.9 % a year. The price currently implies -26.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (-26.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 28.10 %: that much free cash flow Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS it is 4.38 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1.69 TRY. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, VKGYO trades below its calculated fair value: price 1.69 TRY, fair value 4.38 TRY, a gap of about +159% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VKGYO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.69 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4.38 TRY). For Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS the two are 2.69 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS worth?
The market values Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS at about 8.6B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1.69 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 4.38 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VKGYO?
Our models span a range for Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS: cautious scenario 3.13 TRY, base 4.38 TRY, optimistic 6.34 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1.69 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VKGYO?
Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 4.38 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 0.4, P/S 6.2, EV/EBITDA 11.8.
What is the PEG ratio of VKGYO?
The PEG ratio of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 0.43 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VKGYO from its 52-week high?
Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS trades at 1.69 TRY, about 29% below its 52-week high of 2.37 TRY and at the low of 1.69 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4.38 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Stockland, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1.69 TRY, calculated fair value 4.38 TRY (+159%), Quality Score 54/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VKGYO calculated?
We run Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4.38 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS currently trades 159 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 1.69 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 4.38 TRY, about +159% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (3.13 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (3.13 TRY to 6.34 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
The market capitalisation of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 8.6B TRY (≈ $175M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 6.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
Earnings per share at Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS are 0.0800 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
The net margin of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 29.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
The operating margin of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 174% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
Revenue at Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is growing +77.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO)?
Earnings per share at Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS are growing −65.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (VKGYO) carry?
The net debt of Vakif Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 335M TRY (fiscal year 2019, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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