Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 7, 2026: fair value of Victory Marine Holdings $0.02, price $0.02, upside -28.6%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0009 – $3.61 · fair‑value band $0.0147 – $0.0196 · the $0.0227 price screens above the $0.0162 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Victory Marine Holdings Corp., through its subsidiary, Victory Yacht Sales Corp., engages in selling luxury vessels worldwide. It provides new and used boats, as well as financing, insurance, documentation, accessories, brokerage, and consulting services. The company was formerly known as China Good Electric, Inc.
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Victory Marine Holdings Corp., through its subsidiary, Victory Yacht Sales Corp., engages in selling luxury vessels worldwide. It provides new and used boats, as well as financing, insurance, documentation, accessories, brokerage, and consulting services. The company was formerly known as China Good Electric, Inc. and changed its name to Victory Marine Holdings Corp. in May 2018. Victory Marine Holdings Corp. was incorporated in 1954 and is based in Miami, Florida.
Stock analysis
Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG) currently trades at $0.0227, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0162, 28.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.0147 (bear) to $0.0196 (bull), the price of $0.0227 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Victory Marine Holdings reported revenue of $694K in FY2025 versus $2.4M in FY2020, a compound −21.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$98.4K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $7.3M · P/S ratio 6.90 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0010 · Net margin −14.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1,364% · Operating margin −40.6% · Revenue (TTM) $1.0M · Free cash flow −$40.5K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 2,422% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 60% fair-value upside, at −29%, VMHG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0147Fair Value $0.0162Bull $0.0196
Price $0.0227 · Upside -28.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.12/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.8%
’08
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7.8% (2019) → −13.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Victory Marine Holdings with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Recreational Vehicles · 39 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Below median
Fair Value upside−28.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets10.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)2.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−40.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Recreational Vehicles median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
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Is Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0162 versus a price of $0.0227, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VMHG?
Our model-based fair value for Victory Marine Holdings is $0.0162 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0227.
What is the quality score of VMHG?
Victory Marine Holdings has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0162 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0147, optimistic scenario $0.0196. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Victory Marine Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0162, about −29% upside versus a price of $0.0227 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0147, optimistic scenario $0.0196. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG)?
Victory Marine Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Victory Marine Holdings it is $0.0162 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $0.0227. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Victory Marine Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, VMHG trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0227, fair value $0.0162, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VMHG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0227); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0162). For Victory Marine Holdings the two are $0.0065 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Victory Marine Holdings worth?
The market values Victory Marine Holdings at about $7.3M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $0.0227; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0162 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VMHG?
Our models span a range for Victory Marine Holdings: cautious scenario $0.0147, base $0.0162, optimistic $0.0196 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $0.0227). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Victory Marine Holdings (as of Oct 3, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VMHG from its 52-week high?
Victory Marine Holdings trades at $0.0227, about 48% below its 52-week high of $0.0434 and 2,422% above the low of $0.0009 (as of Oct 7, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0162 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Victory Marine Holdings?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co, Brunswick Corporation, BRP Inc, THOR Industries, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Victory Marine Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $0.0227, calculated fair value $0.0162 (−29%), Quality Score 42/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VMHG calculated?
We run Victory Marine Holdings through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0162, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Victory Marine Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG)?
The closing price on Oct 7, 2026 was $0.0227. Our model-based fair value is $0.0162, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Victory Marine Holdings right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0196). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Victory Marine Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG)?
The market capitalisation of Victory Marine Holdings is $7.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Victory Marine Holdings is 6.90 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG)?
Earnings per share at Victory Marine Holdings are $−0.0010. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG)?
The net margin of Victory Marine Holdings is −14.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Victory Marine Holdings is −1,364% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG)?
The operating margin of Victory Marine Holdings is −40.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG) generate?
The free cash flow of Victory Marine Holdings is −$40.5K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG) carry?
The net debt of Victory Marine Holdings is $227K (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 3, 2026