Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $7.4M
Victory Marine Holdings
VMHG · US
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −24.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0184). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0009 – $3.61 · fair‑value band $0.0156 – $0.0184 · the $0.0210 price screens above the $0.0170 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
Victory Marine Holdings (VMHG) currently trades at $0.0210, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 19.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Victory Marine Holdings generated revenue of $1.0M at a net margin of 2.9%. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0156 (bear case) to $0.0184 (bull case); at $0.0210, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at -19%, VMHG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.0800) versus Multiples ($0.0400). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Victory Marine Holdings Corp., through its subsidiary, Victory Yacht Sales Corp., engages in selling luxury vessels worldwide. It provides new and used boats, as well as financing, insurance, documentation, accessories, brokerage, and consulting services. The company was formerly known as China Good Electric, Inc.
Full company description
Victory Marine Holdings Corp., through its subsidiary, Victory Yacht Sales Corp., engages in selling luxury vessels worldwide. It provides new and used boats, as well as financing, insurance, documentation, accessories, brokerage, and consulting services. The company was formerly known as China Good Electric, Inc. and changed its name to Victory Marine Holdings Corp. in May 2018. Victory Marine Holdings Corp. was incorporated in 1954 and is based in Miami, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Victory Marine Holdings reported revenue of $694K in FY2025 versus $2.4M in FY2020, a compound −21.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$98.4K in FY2025.
VMHG screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co →
Peer Group
Recreational Vehicles · 41 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Recreational Vehicles median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Recreational Vehicles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co 603129 | ¥283.50 | ¥199.10 | -30% |
| Brunswick Corporation BC | $82.30 | $13.56 | -84% |
| BRP Inc DOO | C$89.11 | C$86.81 | -3% |
| Polaris Inc PII | $68.52 | $29.83 | -56% |
| THOR Industries, Inc THO | $78.97 | $97.14 | +23% |
| Trigano S.A TRI | €155.50 | €273.48 | +76% |
| Patrick Industries, Inc PATK | $86.76 | $85.54 | -1% |
| Harley-Davidson, Inc HOG | $25.97 | $64.09 | +147% |
| LCI Industries, LCII | $101.98 | $156.35 | +53% |
| Sanlorenzo S.p.A SL | €39.54 | €37.41 | -5% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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