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Vmoto Ltd (VMT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Vmoto Ltd A$0.08, price A$0.08, upside +7.7%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · AU · ISIN AU000000VMT4

VL Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Vmoto Ltd

VMT · AU

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

Low debt
Fair value A$0.0808 · Fairly valued (+7.7%)
Quality 32/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.1 %/yr in AUD)
Loss-making · -21.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.4650 A$0.0560 Fair Value A$0.0808 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0560 – A$0.4650 · fair‑value band A$0.0523 – A$0.0998 · the A$0.0750 price screens below the A$0.0808 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Vmoto Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, marketing, and distribution of electric two-wheel vehicles worldwide. The company offers electric two-wheel vehicles, including electric mopeds and motorcycles under the VMOTO and VMOTO Fleet brand names.

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Vmoto Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, marketing, and distribution of electric two-wheel vehicles worldwide. The company offers electric two-wheel vehicles, including electric mopeds and motorcycles under the VMOTO and VMOTO Fleet brand names. It also provides fast charging stations and battery swapping stations. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Vmoto Ltd (VMT) currently trades at A$0.0750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0808, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.2%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0523 (bear) to A$0.0998 (bull), the price of A$0.0750 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Vmoto Ltd reported revenue of A$46.8M in FY2025 versus A$86.2M in FY2021, a compound −14.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$9.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$38.3M (≈ $26.6M) · P/S ratio 1.03 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Net margin −21.2% · Return on equity −12.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5% · Operating margin −27.1% · Revenue (TTM) A$46.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 60% fair-value upside, at 8%, VMT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0523 Fair Value A$0.0808 Bull A$0.0998
Price A$0.0750 · Upside +7.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0900 A$0.1200 A$0.1800 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0900 A$0.1200 A$0.1800 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.2% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.3% (2020) → −31.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Recreational Vehicles · 39 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +7.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −6.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −21.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −27.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −23.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Recreational Vehicles median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.36× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.57× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.50× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)44 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 14
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 10
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 60

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Recreational Vehicles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co 603129 ¥290.75 ¥465.45 +60%
Brunswick Corporation BC $67.19 $59.96 −11%
BRP Inc DOO $57.17 $62.89 +10%
THOR Industries, Inc THO $70.16 $61.25 −13%
Polaris Inc PII $52.54 $129.03 +146%
Trigano S.A TRI €125.20 €273.48 +118%
Harley-Davidson, Inc HOG $24.55 $64.82 +164%
Patrick Industries, Inc PATK $67.78 $88.30 +30%
LCI Industries, LCII $83.67 $167.42 +100%
Sanlorenzo S.p.A SL €35.92 €36.60 +2%

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Vmoto Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0808 +7%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vmoto Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VMT

Frequently asked questions

Is Vmoto Ltd (VMT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0808 versus a price of A$0.0750, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VMT?
Our model-based fair value for Vmoto Ltd is A$0.0808 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0750.
What is the quality score of VMT?
Vmoto Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0808 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0523, optimistic scenario A$0.0998. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vmoto Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0808, about +8% upside versus a price of A$0.0750 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0523, optimistic scenario A$0.0998. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
Vmoto Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$46.8M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vmoto Ltd it is A$0.0808 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of A$0.0750. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vmoto Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, VMT trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0750, fair value A$0.0808, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VMT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0750); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0808). For Vmoto Ltd the two are A$0.0058 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vmoto Ltd worth?
The market values Vmoto Ltd at about A$38.3M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0750; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0808 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VMT?
Our models span a range for Vmoto Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0523, base A$0.0808, optimistic A$0.0998 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price A$0.0750). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of VMT?
The PEG ratio of Vmoto Ltd is 2.50 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vmoto Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −12.2%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VMT from its 52-week high?
Vmoto Ltd trades at A$0.0750, about 48% below its 52-week high of A$0.1450 and 27% above the low of A$0.0590 (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0808 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vmoto Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co, Brunswick Corporation, BRP Inc, THOR Industries, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vmoto Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price A$0.0750, calculated fair value A$0.0808 (+8%), Quality Score 32/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VMT calculated?
We run Vmoto Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0808, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Vmoto Ltd currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was A$0.0750. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0808, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vmoto Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0523 to A$0.0998) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Vmoto Ltd (VMT) come from?
Earnings per share at Vmoto Ltd grew +11.0 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.5 %, EBIT margin +3.6 %, tax rate +3.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Vmoto Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
The market capitalisation of Vmoto Ltd is A$38.3M (≈ $26.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vmoto Ltd is 1.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
Earnings per share at Vmoto Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
The net margin of Vmoto Ltd is −21.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vmoto Ltd is −12.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vmoto Ltd is 1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
The operating margin of Vmoto Ltd is −27.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
Revenue at Vmoto Ltd is growing −23.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vmoto Ltd (VMT)?
Earnings per share at Vmoto Ltd are growing −12.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Vmoto Ltd (VMT) generate?
The free cash flow of Vmoto Ltd is −A$8.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Vmoto Ltd (VMT) hold?
Vmoto Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$13.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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