Vmoto Ltd (VMT) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$48.4M
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from A$0.4700 to A$0.3450 (−26.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +4.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 200% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.1762). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (A$0.1762 to A$0.5212). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0560 – A$0.4650 · fair‑value band A$0.1762 – A$0.5212 · the A$0.1150 price screens below the A$0.3450 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Vmoto Ltd (VMT) currently trades at A$0.1150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.3450, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Vmoto Ltd generated revenue of A$46.8M at a net margin of -21.3%. Revenue declined 23.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$13.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.1762 (bear case) to A$0.5212 (bull case); at A$0.1150, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 98% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at 200%, VMT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.3100) versus Asset-Based (A$0.1200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vmoto Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, marketing, and distribution of electric two-wheel vehicles worldwide. The company offers electric two-wheel vehicles, including electric mopeds and motorcycles under the VMOTO and VMOTO Fleet brand names.
Full company description
Vmoto Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, marketing, and distribution of electric two-wheel vehicles worldwide. The company offers electric two-wheel vehicles, including electric mopeds and motorcycles under the VMOTO and VMOTO Fleet brand names. It also provides fast charging stations and battery swapping stations. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vmoto Ltd reported revenue of A$46.8M in FY2025 versus A$86.2M in FY2021, a compound −14.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$9.9M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +10.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −11.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Recreational Vehicles · 40 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Recreational Vehicles median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Recreational Vehicles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co 603129 | ¥283.50 | ¥199.10 | -30% |
| Brunswick Corporation BC | $82.30 | $13.56 | -84% |
| BRP Inc DOO | C$89.11 | C$86.81 | -3% |
| Polaris Inc PII | $68.52 | $29.83 | -56% |
| THOR Industries, Inc THO | $78.97 | $97.14 | +23% |
| Trigano S.A TRI | €155.50 | €273.48 | +76% |
| Patrick Industries, Inc PATK | $86.76 | $85.54 | -1% |
| Harley-Davidson, Inc HOG | $25.97 | $64.09 | +147% |
| LCI Industries, LCII | $107.15 | $156.35 | +46% |
| Sanlorenzo S.p.A SL | €39.54 | €37.41 | -5% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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