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ViaSat Inc (VSAT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what ViaSat Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US · ISIN US92552V1008

VI ViaSat Inc logo Some data Sep 18, 2026

ViaSat Inc

VSAT · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $44.87 · Strongly overvalued (−41%)
!Quality 27/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +19.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 11 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$89.81 $6.83 Fair Value $44.87 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.83 – $89.81 · fair‑value band $43.95 – $95.95 · the $76.38 price screens above the $44.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 5 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Viasat, Inc. engages in the provision of broadband and communications products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates in segments, Communication Services; and Defense and Advanced Technologies.

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Viasat, Inc. engages in the provision of broadband and communications products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates in segments, Communication Services; and Defense and Advanced Technologies. It offers satellite-based broadband and narrowband communications solutions; broadband services, including broadband internet access and voice over internet protocol; fixed and mobile broadband and narrowband services; develops and sells satellite, wireless products, and terminals; and design, develop, and produce space system solutions for geostationary, medium, and low earth orbit. The company also provides in-flight connectivity, narrowband safety operational data, and other complementary services; multimedia connectivity for military and government; tactical and beyond-line-of-sight communications; intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance; L-band advanced communications element terminals; enterprise connectivity solutions; Internet-of-Things; and L-band managed, energy, and prepaid internet services. In addition, it offers networking, cybersecurity, and information assurance products and services; high assurance internet protocol encryption solutions; MOJO expeditionary tactical gateway; government satellite communication systems, mobile and fixed broadband modems, ground and airborne terminals, antennas and gateways, Ka-band earth stations, and other multi-band/multi-function antennas, as well as design products for manpacks, aircraft, unmanned aerial vehicles, seagoing vessels, ground-mobile vehicles, space-based systems, and fixed applications. Further, the company designs and develops GEO, LEO, and MEO satellites, payload, antenna technologies, and other small satellite platforms; develops commercial communication satellite product, orchestration of sovereign and multi-orbit solutions, and direct-to-device; and licenses intellectual property. Viasat, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.

Stock analysis

ViaSat Inc (VSAT) currently trades at $76.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.87, implying the stock looks roughly 70.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $158.77 per share, and 3 of the 10 models we run sit above the $76.38 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $22.86, and 7 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $43.95 (bear) to $95.95 (bull), the price of $76.38 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

ViaSat Inc reported revenue of $4.6B in FY2026 versus $2.4B in FY2022, a compound +17.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$34.1M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $10.3B · P/S ratio 2.15 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2500 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −0.7% · Return on equity 0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.8% · Operating margin −1.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −41%, VSAT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $43.95 Fair Value $44.87 Bull $95.95
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $21.49 $68.48 $150.11 73
Owner Earnings n/a $22.22 $67.01 73
Growth DCF $20.54 $62.02 $130.61 72
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $21.49 $68.48 $150.11 73
Owner Earnings n/a $22.22 $67.01 73
5Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a $9.03 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $74.68 $179.76 $316.16 71
10Y Revenue Exit n/a $12.06 $29.30 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $55.84 $144.29 $287.41 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.32 $2.63 $3.99 67
DDM Multi-Stage $1.32 $2.28 $2.78 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $110.57 $158.77 $206.96 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.06 $22.86 $34.12 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $20.54 $62.02 $130.61 72
Rev-Margin DCF n/a n/a $11.61 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 22
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 4
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 91
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 23
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 61/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.3%
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.4% (2021) → 2.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.8%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+4.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.1%
Projected 2031 (sales)+3.7%

VSAT screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (88 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 308 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +106% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.37× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.09× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.10× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 16.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.26× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)11 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)31 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $110.07 $121.08 +10%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥926.00 ¥378.08 −59%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥61.27 ¥15.33 −75%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥424.34 ¥353.98 −17%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.14 $3.75 −63%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $469.14 $236.33 −50%
Ciena Corporation CIEN $340.50 $48.80 −86%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 ¥461.00 ¥59.92 −87%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥261.96 ¥87.34 −67%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $10.17 $19.19 +89%

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ViaSat Inc · Fair Value
$44.87 −70%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ViaSat Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VSAT

Frequently asked questions

Is ViaSat Inc (VSAT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $44.87 versus a price of $76.38, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VSAT?
Our model-based fair value for ViaSat Inc is $44.87 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $76.38.
What is the quality score of VSAT?
ViaSat Inc has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $44.87 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $43.95, optimistic scenario $95.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ViaSat Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $44.87, about −41% upside versus a price of $76.38 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $43.95, optimistic scenario $95.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
ViaSat Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does ViaSat Inc pay a dividend?
ViaSat Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.21% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ViaSat Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +16.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.3 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VSAT use?
Our models discount ViaSat Inc at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.67, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ViaSat Inc that is +16.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ViaSat Inc (VSAT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ViaSat Inc grew +19.3 % a year. The price currently implies +16.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ViaSat Inc (VSAT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ViaSat Inc (+16.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.80 %: that much free cash flow ViaSat Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ViaSat Inc it is $44.87 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $76.38. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ViaSat Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, VSAT trades above its calculated fair value: price $76.38, fair value $44.87, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VSAT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($76.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($44.87). For ViaSat Inc the two are $31.51 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ViaSat Inc worth?
The market values ViaSat Inc at about $10.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $76.38; our models calculate a fair value of $44.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VSAT?
Our models span a range for ViaSat Inc: cautious scenario $43.95, base $44.87, optimistic $95.95 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $76.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of VSAT?
The PEG ratio of ViaSat Inc is 0.26 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
Balance-sheet figures for ViaSat Inc (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 0.1%, debt of 1.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VSAT from its 52-week high?
ViaSat Inc trades at $76.38, about 15% below its 52-week high of $89.79 and 723% above the low of $9.28 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $44.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ViaSat Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ViaSat Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $76.38, calculated fair value $44.87 (−41%), Quality Score 27/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VSAT calculated?
We run ViaSat Inc through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $44.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. ViaSat Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was $76.38. Our model-based fair value is $44.87, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ViaSat Inc right now?
Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($43.95 to $95.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of ViaSat Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
The market capitalisation of ViaSat Inc is $10.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ViaSat Inc is 2.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
Earnings per share at ViaSat Inc are $−0.2500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
The dividend yield of ViaSat Inc is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
The net margin of ViaSat Inc is −0.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ViaSat Inc is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ViaSat Inc is −1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
The operating margin of ViaSat Inc is −1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
Revenue at ViaSat Inc is growing +2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ViaSat Inc (VSAT)?
Earnings per share at ViaSat Inc are growing +35.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does ViaSat Inc (VSAT) carry?
The net debt of ViaSat Inc is $5.2B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 8.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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