Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors

VusionGroup (VU) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of VusionGroup €51.43, price €135, upside -61.9%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Technology · FR · ISIN FR0010282822

V Broad data Sep 24, 2026

VusionGroup

VU · PA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €51.43 · Strongly overvalued (−62%)

!Quality 41/100

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +31.0 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 9.7% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

·0.67% dividend yield

✓Ranks above peers (9/15)

!Moderate moat 58/100

!Insider activity 45/100

!Weak on dividend: 13 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear €43.06 to bull €59.80 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 41/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €42.98 – €273.48 · fair‑value band €43.06 – €59.80 · the €135.00 price screens above the €51.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Vusion S.A. engages in the provision of digitalization solutions for commerce in France, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and the Americas.

Vusion S.A. engages in the provision of digitalization solutions for commerce in France, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and the Americas. The company offers computer vision and artificial intelligence (AI) platform, which provides inventory management with automatic monitoring and alerts; retail intelligence software; in-store digital retail media platform for digital campaigns; and IoT cloud platform that tracks, monitors, and manages retail IoT devices. It also provides electronic shelf labels; industrial IoT, an inventory management solution; VusionLive, which connects in-store operations with data-augmented intelligence; and EdgeSense, a shelf-edge rail that integrates centralized communication, precise indoor location, and direct connectivity to bluetooth-enabled devices. In addition, the company offers Vusion Connect that connects devices, data streams, and enterprise system into one cloud system, enabling real-time collaboration between stores, associates, and headquarters; Vusion Intelligence that transforms retail data into real-time insights, predictions, and automated actions; Vusion Retail IoT, which turns the physical store into a living intelligent network; and store operational excellence, local e-commerce, data driven commerce, and retail media and shopper experience solutions. The company was formerly known as VusionGroup S.A. and changed its name to Vusion S.A. in January 2026. Vusion S.A. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Nanterre, France.

Stock analysis

VusionGroup (VU) currently trades at €135.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €51.43, implying the stock looks roughly 162.5% overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €324.10 per share, and 8 of the 15 models we run sit above the €135.00 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €8.68, and 7 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €43.06 (bear) to €59.80 (bull), the price of €135.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

VusionGroup reported revenue of €955M in FY2025 versus €290M in FY2021, a compound +34.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€27.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €2.3B · P/E ratio 16.8 · P/S ratio 1.52 · EPS (TTM) €8.03 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −2.9% · Return on equity 41.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −62%, VU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €43.06 Fair Value €51.43 Bull €59.80

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€5.21 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF €397.83 €598.74 €1,225 76

Growth DCF €375.16 €654.07 €1,200 75

5Y Revenue Exit €142.00 €171.14 €227.50 74

All 15 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF €397.83 €598.74 €1,225 76

5Y Revenue Exit €142.00 €171.14 €227.50 74

5Y EBITDA Exit €196.25 €280.80 €444.84 74

10Y Revenue Exit €220.36 €324.10 €350.07 68

10Y EBITDA Exit €259.61 €438.24 €715.19 67

Earnings-Based

EPV €31.88 €32.88 €33.74 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM €5.04 €10.04 €15.21 67

DDM Multi-Stage €5.04 €8.68 €10.60 67

Multiples

EV/EBIT €50.65 €59.02 €67.39 66

EV/EBITDA €112.61 €141.63 €170.65 67

EV/Revenue €38.23 €43.67 €49.11 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) €7.44 €9.97 €14.88 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF €375.16 €654.07 €1,200 75

Rev-Margin DCF €143.96 €193.03 €285.91 73

Economic Profit

ROIC Compounder €31.88 €32.88 €33.74 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 16

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 26

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 87

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 47

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 22

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 56

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 48

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 11

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 45

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 86/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Revenue growth 1 year

+19.0%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+31.2%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+31.0%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +27.9% a year

Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+19.3%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−5.9% (2020) → 2.4% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

−17.4%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+16.4%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −19.2% a year for the price and +14.0% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)+84.9%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.1%

Projected 2028 (sales)+3.9%

Projected 2029 (sales)+3.6%

Projected 2030 (sales)+3.3%

VU screens 162% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 702 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 41% · Top 25%

Return on assets 4% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 57% · Top 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.44× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.8× · Cheaper than median

P/B 10.41× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.

P/S (TTM) 1.76× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 6.7× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 13.4× · Cheaper than median

PEG 2.70× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 38

PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 16

HEALTH (low debt)78 · sector 97

DIVIDEND (yield)13 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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VusionGroup · Fair Value
€51.43 −162%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VU" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">VusionGroup · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">€51.43</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−162%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VusionGroup Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VU

Frequently asked questions

Is VusionGroup (VU) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €51.43 versus a price of €135.00, about −62% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of VU?

Our model-based fair value for VusionGroup is €51.43 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €135.00.

What is the quality score of VU?

VusionGroup has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for VusionGroup (VU)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of €51.43 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €43.06, optimistic scenario €59.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the VusionGroup stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at €51.43, about −62% upside versus a price of €135.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €43.06, optimistic scenario €59.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of VusionGroup (VU)?

VusionGroup reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does VusionGroup pay a dividend?

VusionGroup currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.67% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What growth is priced into VusionGroup (VU)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, VusionGroup would have to grow free cash flow by -17.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +31.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VU use?

Our models discount VusionGroup at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.55, country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For VusionGroup that is -17.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has VusionGroup (VU) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at VusionGroup grew +31.0 % a year. The price currently implies -17.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of VusionGroup (VU) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into VusionGroup (-17.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of VusionGroup (VU)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.00 %: that much free cash flow VusionGroup produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of VusionGroup (VU)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For VusionGroup it is €51.43 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €135.00. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is VusionGroup stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, VU trades above its calculated fair value: price €135.00, fair value €51.43, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of VU?

No. The price is what the market pays today (€135.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€51.43). For VusionGroup the two are €83.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is VusionGroup worth?

The market values VusionGroup at about €2.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €135.00; our models calculate a fair value of €51.43 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VU?

Our models span a range for VusionGroup: cautious scenario €43.06, base €51.43, optimistic €59.80 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €135.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of VU?

VusionGroup trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €51.43 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.7, P/B 10.4, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 13.4.

What is the PEG ratio of VU?

The PEG ratio of VusionGroup is 2.70 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.

How solid is the balance sheet of VusionGroup (VU)?

Balance-sheet figures for VusionGroup (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 41.4%, debt of 0.44 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is VU from its 52-week high?

VusionGroup trades at €135.00, about 48% below its 52-week high of €257.58 and 34% above the low of €100.57 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €51.43 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to VusionGroup?

From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is VusionGroup stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €135.00, calculated fair value €51.43 (−62%), Quality Score 41/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of VU calculated?

We run VusionGroup through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €51.43, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. VusionGroup itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of VusionGroup (VU)?

The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €135.00. Our model-based fair value is €51.43, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with VusionGroup right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€59.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Where does the earnings growth of VusionGroup (VU) come from?

Earnings per share at VusionGroup grew +35.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +22.8 %, EBIT margin +2.4 %, tax rate +3.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of VusionGroup

How large is the market capitalisation of VusionGroup (VU)?

The market capitalisation of VusionGroup is €2.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of VusionGroup (VU)?

The price-to-sales ratio of VusionGroup is 1.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of VusionGroup (VU)?

Earnings per share at VusionGroup are €8.03 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of VusionGroup (VU)?

The dividend yield of VusionGroup is 0.7% (payout 11.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of VusionGroup (VU)?

The net margin of VusionGroup is −2.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of VusionGroup (VU)?

The return on equity (ROE) of VusionGroup is 41.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of VusionGroup (VU)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of VusionGroup is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of VusionGroup (VU)?

The operating margin of VusionGroup is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at VusionGroup (VU)?

Revenue at VusionGroup is growing +57.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +31.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How much net cash does VusionGroup (VU) hold?

VusionGroup holds more cash than debt, €300M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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