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Vital Energy Inc (VUX) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CA · Market cap C$10.3M

VE Vital Energy Inc VUX · V
PriceC$0.1000
Fair ValueC$0.3600
Upside+260.0%
Quality22/100
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Evidence: Low Range C$0.1900 – C$0.3600

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from C$0.1600 to C$0.3600 (+125.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −16.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

C$0.2200 C$0.0900 Fair Value C$0.3600 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range C$0.0900 – C$0.2200 · fair‑value band C$0.1900 – C$0.3600 · the C$0.1000 price screens below the C$0.3600 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Vital Energy Inc (VUX) currently trades at C$0.1000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.3600 — implying the stock looks roughly 260.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Vital Energy Inc generated revenue of C$13.4M at a net margin of -73.6%. Revenue declined 38.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -80.7%. Net debt stands at C$25.9M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$0.1900 (bear case) to C$0.3600 (bull case); at C$0.1000, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside — at 260%, VUX screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$13.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) -38.7%
Net margin -73.6%
Return on equity -80.7%
Free cash flow −C$410K FY2025
Operating margin 22.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) C$-0.1200
EPS growth (YoY) -98.4%
Net debt C$25.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Vital Energy Inc., a junior oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of crude oil and natural gas in Western Canada. The company holds interest in the Gull Lake and Pennant projects located in the S.W. Saskatchewan; the Baxter Lake projects located in the East Central Alberta area. Vital Energy Inc. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Vital Energy Inc reported revenue of C$17.5M in FY2025 versus C$15.1M in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was −C$8.0M in FY2025.

Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY21 C$15.1M
FY22 C$19.7M
FY23 C$14.4M
FY24 C$20.9M
FY25 C$17.5M
Net income
FY21 C$8.9M
FY22 C$4.7M
FY23 −C$5.4M
FY24 C$4.0M
FY25 −C$8.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vital Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VUX

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vital Energy Inc (VUX) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.3600 versus a price of C$0.1000 — about +260% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of VUX?
Our model-based fair value for Vital Energy Inc is C$0.3600 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$0.1000.
What is the quality score of VUX?
Vital Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 22/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Vital Energy Inc (VUX)?
Vital Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$13.4M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VUX?
The net profit margin of Vital Energy Inc is about -73.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.