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Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Volkswagen AG Pref $26.85, price $7.55, upside +255.6%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ADR · Home Germany · ISIN US9286625010

VA Volkswagen AG Pref logo Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Volkswagen AG Pref

VWAPY · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $26.85 · Strongly undervalued (+255.6%)
!Quality 45/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.1% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!7.1% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 12 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$15.43 $7.36 Fair Value $26.85 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.36 – $15.43 · fair‑value band $20.48 – $30.23 · the $7.55 price screens below the $26.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Volkswagen AG manufactures automobiles and commercial vehicles in Europe, Germany, North America, South America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles; Commercial Vehicles; and Financial Services.

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Volkswagen AG manufactures automobiles and commercial vehicles in Europe, Germany, North America, South America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles; Commercial Vehicles; and Financial Services. The Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles segment develops vehicles, engines and motors, vehicle software, and vehicle batteries; produces and sells passenger cars and light commercial vehicles, and the parts. This segment also offers compact cars, luxury vehicles, and motorcycles, as well as mobility solutions. The Commercial Vehicles segment engages in the development of vehicles, engines, and motors; production and sale of trucks and buses, parts, and related services. The Financial Services segment engages in the dealership and customer financing, leasing, direct banking, and insurance activities; and provision of fleet management, and mobility services. In addition, the company is involved in the large-bore diesel engines, turbomachinery, and propulsion components businesses. It sells its products under the Volkswagen Passenger Cars, "koda, SEAT/CUPRA, Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Audi, Lamborghini, Bentley, Ducati, Porsche, Scania, MAN, Volkswagen Truck & Bus, TRATON, and Bugatti Rimac, and international commercial vehicles brands to individual, corporate, and fleet customers. The company was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Wolfsburg, Germany. Volkswagen AG operates as a subsidiary of Porsche Automobil Holding SE.

Stock analysis

Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR (VWAPY) currently trades at $7.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.85, implying the stock looks roughly 71.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $37.12 per share, and 17 of the 17 models we run sit above the $7.55 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $8.10, and 0 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $20.48 (bear) to $30.23 (bull), the price of $7.55 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR reported revenue of €309B in FY2025 versus €250B in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was €7.0B in FY2025, compounding −17.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $42.9B · P/E ratio 6.1 · P/S ratio 0.14 · EPS (TTM) $1.40 · Dividend yield 7.1% · Net margin 2.3% · Return on equity 3.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 256%, VWAPY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $20.48 Fair Value $26.85 Bull $30.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $29.34 $29.35 $30.50 75
Owner Earnings $18.34 $37.12 $64.75 72
EPV $10.56 $15.59 $19.99 72
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $18.34 $37.12 $64.75 72
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $10.74 $28.97 $37.94 62
Lynch FV $5.67 $8.10 $10.53 58
PEG = 1.0 $5.67 $8.10 $10.53 55
EPV $10.56 $15.59 $19.99 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.83 $18.37 $29.14 64
DDM Multi-Stage $8.83 $13.76 $19.01 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $26.06 $34.75 $43.44 61
P/S Multiple $20.14 $26.85 $33.57 56
P/B Multiple $20.14 $26.85 $33.57 53
EV/EBIT $30.16 $46.75 $63.35 63
EV/EBITDA $74.50 $105.88 $137.25 65
EV/Revenue $13.94 $28.32 $42.70 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $19.53 $26.17 $39.06 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income $29.34 $29.35 $30.50 75
ROIC Compounder $10.56 $15.59 $19.99 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $20.48 $29.25 $38.03 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+6.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−12.7% vs −1.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 102 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3.1% · Below median
Return on assets 1.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.73× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.25× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.68× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 32
PAST (return on equity)12 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)64 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tesla, Inc TSLA $354.81 $40.97 −88%
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $183.10 $211.47 +15%
BYD Company 002594 ¥83.31 ¥61.43 −26%
General Motors Company GM $77.00 $60.53 −21%
Ferrari N.V RACE $392.85 $432.14 +10%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 353,500 KRW 362,081 KRW +2%
Ford Motor Company F $12.27 $12.59 +3%
Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 €43.00 €22.09 −49%
Mercedes-Benz Group MBG €39.73 €106.67 +169%
Honda Motor Co HMC $31.62 $20.31 −36%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VWAPY

Frequently asked questions

Is Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $26.85 versus a price of $7.55, about +256% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VWAPY?
Our model-based fair value for Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR is $26.85 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.55.
What is the quality score of VWAPY?
Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $26.85 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario $20.48, optimistic scenario $30.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $26.85, about +256% upside versus a price of $7.55 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $20.48, optimistic scenario $30.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €320B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR pay a dividend?
Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.09% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR it is $26.85 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $7.55. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, VWAPY trades below its calculated fair value: price $7.55, fair value $26.85, a gap of about +256% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VWAPY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($26.85). For Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR the two are $19.30 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR worth?
The market values Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR at about $42.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $7.55; our models calculate a fair value of $26.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VWAPY?
Our models span a range for Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR: cautious scenario $20.48, base $26.85, optimistic $30.23 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $7.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VWAPY?
Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.1 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $26.85 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 0.3, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
What is the PEG ratio of VWAPY?
The PEG ratio of Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR is 0.68 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 3.1%, debt of 0.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VWAPY from its 52-week high?
Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR trades at $7.55, about 37% below its 52-week high of $11.91 and at the low of $7.55 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $26.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, General Motors Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $7.55, calculated fair value $26.85 (+256%), Quality Score 45/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VWAPY calculated?
We run Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $26.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR currently trades 72 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $7.55. Our model-based fair value is $26.85, about +256% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($20.48). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY) come from?
Earnings per share at Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR grew +3.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.7 %, EBIT margin +2.8 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR

How large is the market capitalisation of Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
The market capitalisation of Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR is $42.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR is 0.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
Earnings per share at Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR are $1.40 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
The dividend yield of Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR is 7.1% (payout 38.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
The net margin of Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR is 2.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
The operating margin of Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
Revenue at Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR is growing −2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY)?
Earnings per share at Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR are growing −29.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY) generate?
The free cash flow of Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR is −€9.0B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Volkswagen AG Pref (VWAPY) carry?
The net debt of Volkswagen AG Pref 1/10 ADR is €240B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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