Webco Industries Inc (WEBC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Webco Industries Inc $263, price $320, upside -17.8%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $114.00 – $332.00 · fair‑value band $197.26 – $328.76 · the $320.00 price screens above the $263.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Webco Industries, Inc. engages in the provision of carbon steel, stainless steel, and other metal specialty tube products in the United States and internationally.
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Webco Industries, Inc. engages in the provision of carbon steel, stainless steel, and other metal specialty tube products in the United States and internationally. The company offers electric resistance welded tubing; drawn-over mandrel tubing; welded stainless and other corrosion resistant alloys; and seamless stainless and other corrosion resistant alloys. It serves industrial and agricultural, refining and processing, automotive, upstream oil and gas, data centers, construction and mining, HVAC and appliance, and power generation industries. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Sand Springs, Oklahoma.
Stock analysis
Webco Industries Inc (WEBC) currently trades at $320.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $263.01, implying the stock looks roughly 21.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $332.01 per share, and 8 of the 22 models we run sit above the $320.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $140.85, and 14 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $197.26 (bear) to $328.76 (bull), the price of $320.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Webco Industries Inc reported revenue of $585M in FY2025 versus $467M in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $9.3M in FY2025, compounding −17.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $220M · P/E ratio 7.0 · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) $46.01 · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% · Operating margin 6.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −18%, WEBC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $197.26Fair Value $263.01Bull $328.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($46.01 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.5% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−11.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11% vs 31%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 417 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−19% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
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Is Webco Industries Inc (WEBC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $263.01 versus a price of $320.00, about −18% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WEBC?
Our model-based fair value for Webco Industries Inc is $263.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $320.00.
What is the quality score of WEBC?
Webco Industries Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $263.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $197.26, optimistic scenario $328.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Webco Industries Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $263.01, about −18% upside versus a price of $320.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $197.26, optimistic scenario $328.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
Webco Industries Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $639M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Webco Industries Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +8.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WEBC use?
Our models discount Webco Industries Inc at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Webco Industries Inc that is +8.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Webco Industries Inc (WEBC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Webco Industries Inc grew +6.4 % a year. The price currently implies +8.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Webco Industries Inc (WEBC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Webco Industries Inc (+8.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.25 %: that much free cash flow Webco Industries Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Webco Industries Inc it is $263.01 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $320.00. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Webco Industries Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, WEBC trades above its calculated fair value: price $320.00, fair value $263.01, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WEBC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($320.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($263.01). For Webco Industries Inc the two are $56.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Webco Industries Inc worth?
The market values Webco Industries Inc at about $220M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $320.00; our models calculate a fair value of $263.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WEBC?
Our models span a range for Webco Industries Inc: cautious scenario $197.26, base $263.01, optimistic $328.76 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $320.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WEBC?
Webco Industries Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $263.01 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Webco Industries Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.6%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WEBC from its 52-week high?
Webco Industries Inc trades at $320.00, about 4% below its 52-week high of $332.00 and 68% above the low of $189.99 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $263.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Webco Industries Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Webco Industries Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $320.00, calculated fair value $263.01 (−18%), Quality Score 62/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WEBC calculated?
We run Webco Industries Inc through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $263.01, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Webco Industries Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $320.00. Our model-based fair value is $263.01, about −18% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Webco Industries Inc right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Webco Industries Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
The market capitalisation of Webco Industries Inc is $220M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Webco Industries Inc is 0.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
Earnings per share at Webco Industries Inc are $46.01 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
The net margin of Webco Industries Inc is 1.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Webco Industries Inc is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Webco Industries Inc is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
The operating margin of Webco Industries Inc is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
Revenue at Webco Industries Inc is growing +15.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Webco Industries Inc (WEBC)?
Earnings per share at Webco Industries Inc are growing +64.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Webco Industries Inc (WEBC) carry?
The net debt of Webco Industries Inc is $106M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026