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WEX Inc (WEX) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $5.4B

WI WEX Inc logo WEX Inc WEX · US
Price$185.22
Fair Value$149.57
Upside-19.3%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.5% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range $76.02 – $232.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $147.72 to $149.57 (+1.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +24.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($76.02 to $232.89). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$242.22 $113.47 Fair Value $149.57 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $113.47 – $242.22 · fair‑value band $76.02 – $232.89 · the $185.22 price screens above the $149.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

WEX Inc (WEX) currently trades at $185.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $149.57, implying the stock looks roughly 19.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, WEX Inc generated revenue of $2.7B at a net margin of 11.5%. Revenue grew 5.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.8%. Net debt stands at $4.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $76.02 (bear case) to $232.89 (bull case); at $185.22, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -19%, WEX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $37.36 $123.79 $266.98 80
Residual Income $60.01 $89.56 $694.19 76
Rev-Margin DCF $26.71 $105.08 $209.60 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $39.38 $137.45 $308.23 38
Owner Earnings $105.77 $260.39 $529.66 31
5Y Revenue Exit $26.71 $107.48 $218.90 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $139.45 $346.73 $615.96 41
5Y P/E Exit $48.39 $153.49 $276.70 38
10Y Revenue Exit $26.70 $104.89 $228.65 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $103.96 $279.16 $562.91 37
10Y P/E Exit $44.21 $138.40 $277.30 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $59.65 $305.16 $421.70 54
Lynch FV $83.14 $118.77 $154.40 50
PEG = 1.0 $83.14 $118.77 $154.40 46
EPV $71.07 $94.25 $114.25 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $138.15 $184.21 $230.26 63
P/S Multiple $111.84 $149.12 $186.40 58
P/B Multiple $111.84 $149.12 $186.40 55
EV/EBIT $172.86 $255.73 $338.60 53
EV/EBITDA $207.48 $301.89 $396.31 54
EV/Revenue $20.95 $62.40 $103.84 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.80 $23.86 $35.61 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $37.36 $123.79 $266.98 80
Rev-Margin DCF $26.71 $105.08 $209.60 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $60.01 $89.56 $694.19 76
ROIC Compounder $87.00 $146.26 $223.63 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $125.40 $179.15 $232.89 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($179.15) versus Asset-Based ($23.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.8%
Net margin 11.5%
Return on equity 29.8%
Free cash flow $314M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.0
More key figures
Operating margin 23.5%
EPS (TTM) $8.61
EPS growth (YoY) +22.7%
Net debt $4.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

WEX Inc. operates a commerce platform in the United States and internationally. The Mobility segment offers fleet payment solutions, transaction processing, and information management services; and provides account activation and account retention services; authorization and billing inquiries, and account maintenance services; account management; credit and …

Full company description

WEX Inc. operates a commerce platform in the United States and internationally. The Mobility segment offers fleet payment solutions, transaction processing, and information management services; and provides account activation and account retention services; authorization and billing inquiries, and account maintenance services; account management; credit and collections services; merchant services; analytics solutions; and ancillary services and offerings. This segment markets its products directly and indirectly to businesses and government agencies with fleets of commercial vehicles; and indirectly through co-branded and private label relationships. The Corporate Payments segment provides payment solutions, including embedded payments; and accounts payable automation and spend management solutions. This segment also markets its products directly and indirectly to customers in travel, fintech, insurance, consumer bill pay, and media verticals. The Benefits segment offers software-as-a-service (SaaS) platform for consumer directed healthcare benefits and full-service benefit enrollment solutions. In addition, its SaaS platform includes embedded payment solutions and plan administration services for consumer-directed health benefits; COBRA accounts; and benefit enrollment and administration services. Further, it offers custodial and depository services for health savings accounts; and markets its products through third-party administrators, financial institutions, payroll providers, and health plans. WEX Inc. was formerly known as Wright Express Corporation and changed its name to WEX Inc. in October 2012. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Portland, Maine.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

WEX Inc reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was $304M in FY2025, compounding +642.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 94/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.7B
Latest YoY
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+13.7%
Revenue +9.5%/yr
FY21 $1.9B
FY22 $2.4B
FY23 $2.5B
FY24 $2.6B
FY25 $2.7B
Net income +642.6%/yr
FY21 $100K
FY22 $201M
FY23 $14.8M
FY24 $310M
FY25 $304M

WEX screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "WEX Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WEX

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Debt / equity 2.86× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.36× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.99× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 17.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.92× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 8 · sector 0
FUTURE 29 · sector 46
PAST 100 · sector 15
HEALTH 0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is WEX Inc (WEX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $149.57 versus a price of $185.22, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WEX?
Our model-based fair value for WEX Inc is $149.57 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $185.22.
What is the quality score of WEX?
WEX Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of WEX Inc (WEX)?
WEX Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WEX?
The net profit margin of WEX Inc is about 11.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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