Naked Wines plc (WINE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · GB · Market cap 48.8M GBX · ISIN GB00B021F836
What is Naked Wines plc really worth?
A solid business, trading 80% below our fair value of £3.34.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Naked Wines plc is £3.34 per share against a price of £0.6640, so the fair value sits 403% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from £3.51 to £3.34 (−4.8%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −9.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (£2.56). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.2850 – £8.79 · fair‑value band £2.56 – £4.37 · the £0.6640 price screens below the £3.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Naked Wines plc (WINE) currently trades at £0.6640, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £3.34, implying the stock looks roughly 80.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £3.61 per share, and 7 of the 9 models we run sit above the £0.6640 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £0.5400, and 2 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Naked Wines plc generated revenue of £227M at a net margin of −0.7%. Revenue declined 20.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £23.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £2.56 (bear case) to £4.37 (bull case); at £0.6640, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 403%, WINE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (£3.61) versus Dividend Discount (£0.5400). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Naked Wines plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the direct-to-consumer retailing of wines in Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States. It also operates as an online wine retailer. The company was formerly known as Majestic Wine plc and changed its name to Naked Wines plc in August 2019.
Full company description
Naked Wines plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the direct-to-consumer retailing of wines in Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States. It also operates as an online wine retailer. The company was formerly known as Majestic Wine plc and changed its name to Naked Wines plc in August 2019. Naked Wines plc was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Norwich, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Naked Wines plc reported revenue of £250M in FY2025 versus £340M in FY2021, a compound −7.4%/yr. Reported net income was −£4.9M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 93 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,303 | ¥1,238 | −5% |
| Diageo plc DEO | $92.99 | $73.29 | −21% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥71.89 | ¥48.44 | −33% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥116.39 | ¥185.80 | +60% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €63.20 | €76.13 | +20% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥84.50 | ¥149.17 | +77% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $28.72 | $27.69 | −4% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,528 | ₹285.39 | −81% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4650 SGD | 0.7000 SGD | +51% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥39.59 | ¥27.82 | −30% |
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