Wilcon Depot Inc (WLCON) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Wilcon Depot Inc PHP 4.05, price PHP 5.60, upside -27.7%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.45 PHP – 31.88 PHP · fair‑value band 2.84 PHP – 5.38 PHP · the 5.60 PHP price screens above the 4.05 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Wilcon Depot Inc (WLCON) currently trades at 5.60 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.05 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 38.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 4.68 PHP per share, and 3 of the 26 models we run sit above the 5.60 PHP price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1.42 PHP, and 23 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2.84 PHP (bear) to 5.38 PHP (bull), the price of 5.60 PHP sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Wilcon Depot Inc reported revenue of 35.4B PHP in FY2025 versus 27.5B PHP in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.4B PHP in FY2025, compounding −1.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 65.6B PHP (≈ $1.0B) · P/E ratio 44.2 · P/S ratio 3.05 · EPS (TTM) 0.3616 PHP · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 6.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −28%, WLCON screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 2.84 PHPFair Value 4.05 PHPBull 5.38 PHP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2655 PHP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.4% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.0% (2020) → 9.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Specialty Retailers” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Discretionary · 3913 stocks
Beats the sector median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside−28% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.2% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)44.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 13
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)45· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Wilcon Depot Inc (WLCON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.05 PHP versus a price of 5.60 PHP, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WLCON?
Our model-based fair value for Wilcon Depot Inc is 4.05 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.60 PHP.
What is the quality score of WLCON?
Wilcon Depot Inc has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wilcon Depot Inc (WLCON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4.05 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.84 PHP, optimistic scenario 5.38 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wilcon Depot Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4.05 PHP, about −28% upside versus a price of 5.60 PHP (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.84 PHP, optimistic scenario 5.38 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Wilcon Depot Inc pay a dividend?
Wilcon Depot Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.25% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Wilcon Depot Inc (WLCON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wilcon Depot Inc it is 4.05 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 5.60 PHP. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wilcon Depot Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, WLCON trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.60 PHP, fair value 4.05 PHP, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WLCON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.60 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4.05 PHP). For Wilcon Depot Inc the two are 1.55 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wilcon Depot Inc worth?
The market values Wilcon Depot Inc at about 65.6B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 5.60 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 4.05 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WLCON?
Our models span a range for Wilcon Depot Inc: cautious scenario 2.84 PHP, base 4.05 PHP, optimistic 5.38 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 5.60 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WLCON?
Wilcon Depot Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 44.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 4.05 PHP is built from several models across several years.
How far is WLCON from its 52-week high?
Wilcon Depot Inc trades at 5.60 PHP, about 39% below its 52-week high of 9.22 PHP and 3% above the low of 5.45 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4.05 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wilcon Depot Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value AUTOW, P24, Amazon.com, Inc, Tesla, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wilcon Depot Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 5.60 PHP, calculated fair value 4.05 PHP (−28%), Quality Score 61/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WLCON calculated?
We run Wilcon Depot Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4.05 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Wilcon Depot Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wilcon Depot Inc (WLCON)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 5.60 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 4.05 PHP, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wilcon Depot Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.38 PHP). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (2.84 PHP to 5.38 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Wilcon Depot Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Wilcon Depot Inc (WLCON)?
The market capitalisation of Wilcon Depot Inc is 65.6B PHP (≈ $1.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wilcon Depot Inc (WLCON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wilcon Depot Inc is 3.05 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wilcon Depot Inc (WLCON)?
Earnings per share at Wilcon Depot Inc are 0.3616 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 44.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wilcon Depot Inc (WLCON)?
The dividend yield of Wilcon Depot Inc is 2.2% (payout 34.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wilcon Depot Inc (WLCON)?
The net margin of Wilcon Depot Inc is 6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wilcon Depot Inc (WLCON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wilcon Depot Inc is 11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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