WLCON Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · PH · Market cap 65.6B PHP
Fair value as of: Jul 10, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price +3.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from 3.48 PHP (bear) to 5.79 PHP (bull), base 4.63 PHP. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.45 PHP – 31.88 PHP · fair‑value band 3.48 PHP – 5.79 PHP · the 5.65 PHP price screens above the 4.63 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.
Analysis
WLCON (WLCON) currently trades at 5.65 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.63 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 18.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 44.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 3.48 PHP (bear case) to 5.79 PHP (bull case); at 5.65 PHP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 41% fair-value upside, at -18%, WLCON screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (5.39 PHP) versus Asset-Based (1.43 PHP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
WLCON reported revenue of 35.4B PHP in FY2025 versus 27.5B PHP in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.4B PHP in FY2025, compounding −1.1%/yr from FY2021.
WLCON screens 18% overvalued. Compare with iFamiySC Co →
Peer Group
Consumer Discretionary · 3559 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Specialty Retailers” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retailers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| iFamiySC Co 114840 | 7,920 KRW | 22,355 KRW | +182% |
| MNS MNS | 55.00 PLN | 77.70 PLN | +41% |
| Toyota Motor Corporation TMN | 3,052 MXN | 4,134 MXN | +35% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 425,000 KRW | 616,918 KRW | +45% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,803 | ₹8,236 | -40% |
| Kia Corporation 000270 | 145,000 KRW | 350,994 KRW | +142% |
| Bajaj Auto Limited BAJAJAUTO | ₹10,381 | ₹4,730 | -54% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 5,875 CLP | 8,880 CLP | +51% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 2,040 CLP | 2,516 CLP | +23% |
Compare WLCON with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is WLCON overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of WLCON?
What is the quality score of WLCON?
What is the net profit margin of WLCON?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track WLCON and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.