Wielton S.A (WLT) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · PL · Market cap 420M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −5.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.53 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (0.5185 PLN to 1.53 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.63 PLN – 13.57 PLN · fair‑value band 0.5185 PLN – 1.53 PLN · the 5.02 PLN price screens above the 1.02 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Wielton S.A (WLT) currently trades at 5.02 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.02 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 79.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Wielton S.A generated revenue of 2.1B PLN at a net margin of -9.3%. Revenue grew 16.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -41.8%. Net debt stands at 672M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.5185 PLN (bear case) to 1.53 PLN (bull case); at 5.02 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -80%, WLT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (3.89 PLN) versus Asset-Based (3.26 PLN). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wielton S.A. manufactures and sells semi-trailers, trailers, and car bodies in Poland and internationally. The company offers curtain, tipper, closed box, and container semi-trailers; dump trucks; rigid bodies and tipper trailers; high volume combinations; and trailers for roller containers.
Full company description
Wielton S.A. manufactures and sells semi-trailers, trailers, and car bodies in Poland and internationally. The company offers curtain, tipper, closed box, and container semi-trailers; dump trucks; rigid bodies and tipper trailers; high volume combinations; and trailers for roller containers. It also provides agricultural products consisting of dolly trolleys, half-pipes, bale platforms, tandem trailers, manure spreaders, and axle trailers. The company serves the transport, construction, and agriculture sectors. Wielton S.A. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Wielun, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wielton S.A reported revenue of 2.2B PLN in FY2025 versus 2.7B PLN in FY2021, a compound −5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −160M PLN in FY2025.
WLT screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $952.41 | $307.83 | -68% |
| Deere & Company DE | $597.24 | $187.86 | -69% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 336.60 | kr 288.08 | -14% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $126.20 | $94.80 | -25% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 251.90 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €69.40 | €219.41 | +216% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.65 | ¥20.84 | +12% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.39 | ¥11.79 | +41% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.00 | HK$53.51 | +31% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.00 | +30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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